Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction

Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, Sofia·Marijan Grebencharski, Bulgaria 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.42
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+6.3%
Levski Sofia Rest
2 days
Septemvri Sofia Rest
5 days

Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia: the result in context

Levski Sofia beat Septemvri Sofia 3-0 in the First League on 1 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Levski Sofia had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Septemvri Sofia.

Levski Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
92%1.22
X
5%5.70
2
3%12.00
Double Chance
1X
97%1.02
X2
8%3.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.30
No
49%1.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.2 + 0.82 = 3.02
Over 1.5
81%1.20
Over 2.5
58%1.67
Over 3.5
29%2.65
Under 1.5
19%4.10
Under 2.5
42%2.10
Under 3.5
71%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

34'A. Bouras
37'Y. Baurenski
46'A. Liberal INN. Fontaine out
56'A. Mitkov INEverton Bala out
56'M. Soula INSerginho out
65'M. Hristov
67'D. Kusso INS. Hevertton out
67'Reinaldo INA. Oko-Flex out
70'A. Oko-Flex
75'A. Bouras INM. Moubarik out
76'A. Oko-Flex
79'Serginho
82'A. Dzhamov INV. Mihaylov out
82'S. Stoichkov INZ. A. Atanasov out
89'F. Herard INV. Dobrev out
90+2'Z. A. Atanasov

Lineups

Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Julio Velazquez
Septemvri Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Simao Freitas
Svetoslav Vutsov92S. Vutsov
Aldair21Aldair
Nikola Serafimov31N. Serafimov
Christian Makoun4C. Makoun
Álex Centelles20Á. Centelles
Gašper Trdin18G. Trdin
Asen Ivanov Mitkov10A. Ivanov Mitkov
David Kusso27D. Kusso
Akram Bouras47A. Bouras
Mazire Soula22M. Soula
Reinaldo7Reinaldo
Vladimir Ivanov12V. Ivanov
Kubrat Onashchi13K. Onashchi
Martin Hristov4M. Hristov
Sebas Wade3S. Wade
Bozhidar Penchev8B. Penchev
Yoan Baurenski5Y. Baurenski
Pedro Ferreira6P. Ferreira
Stoyan Stoichkov28S. Stoichkov
Aleksandar Dzhamov11A. Dzhamov
Frantzety Herard29F. Herard
André Liberal27A. Liberal

Levski Sofia Substitutes

17Everton Bala56'for A. Mitkov
35Serginho56'for M. Soula79'
2Hevertton Santos67'for D. Kusso
11Armstrong Oko-Flex67'for Reinaldo70'76'
19El Mehdi Moubarik75'for A. Bouras
78Martin Lukov
1Ognyan Vladimirov
50Kristian Dimitrov
77Adrian Raychev
28Steven Stoyanchov
9Juan Perea

Septemvri Sofia Substitutes

17Nicolas Fontaine46'for A. Liberal
24Zahari Atanasov82'for S. Stoichkov90+2'
16Venislav Mihaylov82'for A. Dzhamov
30Viktor Dobrev89'for F. Herard
21Nikolay Krastev
26Valentine Ozornwafor
20Bozhidar Tomovski
24Nikola Genchev
14Aleksandar Vutov
23Borislav Stoichkov

Team Comparison

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
1739Elo Rating 1379
1.56Attack 0.76
2.34Defense 0.87
56%Hit Rate 0%
8.5Shots per Game 10.4
3.1Shots on Target 3.2
3.9Corners per Game 4.5
0.8Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+361 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia5Wins · 72%
Draws114%
Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1Wins · 14%
2.9Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

First League30/11/2025
Levski SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
70
First League27/07/2025
Septemvri SofiaLevski Sofia
12
First League21/04/2025
Septemvri SofiaLevski Sofia
01
First League09/11/2024
Levski SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
23
First League04/05/2023
Levski SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
20
First League16/10/2022
Septemvri SofiaLevski Sofia
00
Cup02/03/2022
Septemvri SofiaLevski Sofia
02

Recent Form

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
7W3D0L
29/07/2026
Universitatea CraiovaLevski Sofia
22
D
25/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaLevski Sofia
12
W
22/07/2026
Levski SofiaUniversitatea Craiova
10
W
17/07/2026
Levski SofiaDunav Ruse
21
W
14/07/2026
Levski SofiaBorac Banja Luka
40
W
07/07/2026
Borac Banja LukaLevski Sofia
11
D
30/06/2026
Levski SofiaRadnik Surdulica
50
W
27/06/2026
Levski SofiaBotev Vratsa
11
D
23/06/2026
Levski SofiaEtar Veliko Tarnovo
60
W
19/06/2026
Levski SofiaAkademik Svishtov
40
W
Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
5W2D3L
26/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
21
L
18/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
11
D
10/07/2026
LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
10
L
07/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaHebar 1918
21
W
04/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaSlavia Sofia
23
L
01/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaVihren
20
W
27/06/2026
Septemvri SofiaMarek
30
W
28/05/2026
Septemvri SofiaYantra 2019
21
W
22/05/2026
Septemvri SofiaDobrudzha
11
D
18/05/2026
BeroeSeptemvri Sofia
01
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1363418:19-121WDLDL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1333714:22-812WWLDD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
11Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1432912:25-1311WLLLL
12Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1324710:22-1210LDLDD
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1416715:26-119LLDDW
14Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1318:1921
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1314:2212
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
11Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1412:2511
12Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1310:2210
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1415:269
14Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Levski Sofia and Septemvri Sofia in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: Levski Sofia are 1st in the First League, while Septemvri Sofia sit 11th, 21 points behind. League goal record so far: Levski Sofia 25-5, Septemvri Sofia 12-25. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Levski Sofia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.