Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC Prediction
Ecuador · Placement Group - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Libertad Rest
7 days
Guayaquil City FC Rest
6 days
Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC: result, form and history
Libertad beat Guayaquil City FC 4-0 in the Liga Pro on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 4 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%1.89
X29%3.25
223%3.95
Double Chance
1X77%1.20
X252%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.88
No50%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 0.95 = 2.48
Over 1.569%1.32
Over 2.545%2.10
Over 3.526%3.71
Under 1.531%2.94
Under 2.555%1.67
Under 3.574%1.23
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
16'Bryan CaicedoFoul
23'Rodrigo MorinigoFoul
40'Gabriel CortezAssist: Jostin Bravo
48'Vilinton German Branda MerlinAssist: Jostin Bravo
55'P. GonzálezDissent
59'Vilinton German Branda MerlinAssist: Elvis Patta
65'Edu Pineda INcristhian valencia out
65'Antony Chere INEnrique Rafael Caicedo Borja out
67'Jackson RodriguezAssist: Vilinton German Branda Merlin
67'Goal confirmedJackson Rodriguez
68'Pablo Mancilla INS Laurino out
76'Vilinton German Branda Merlin INHancel Batalla out
76'Bryan Caicedo INCarlos Gruezo out
79'Dixon Arroyo INKevin Sambonino out
79'R. Arias INJonathan Miller Ordóñez Cruz out
80'David Cabezas INPublio Del Piero Mina Loor out
90+5'Junior Ayovi INAnderson Naula out
90+5'Edinson Mero INManuel de Jesús Palma Escobar out
Lineups
LibertadGuayaquil City FC
4-3-1-2Coach: P. GavilánezAvg ratingAvg rating
12D. Cabezas
17E. Patta
6B. Caicedo
2R. Morinigo
19O. Quiñónez
20J. Rodríguez
70V. Germán Branda Merlín
80X. Pineda
30J. Bravo
10G. Cortéz
33A. Chére
30J. Pinos
33R. Caicedo
3Y. Rodríguez
4E. Ladines
6R. Arias
17J. Ayovi
14D. Arroyo
70P. Mancilla
80P. González
21D. Dorregaray
11E. MeroLibertad Substitutes
8Stick Carlos Castro Palma
49D. Coronel
9E. Caicedo65'for Antony Chere
66J. Estacio
5C. Gruezo76'for Bryan Caicedo
23J. Guisamano
25M. Lucas
1P. Mina80'for David Cabezas
7Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quiñónez
63C. Valencia65'for Edu Pineda
11H. Batalla76'for Vilinton German Branda Merlin
Guayaquil City FC Substitutes
23M. Bolaños
51E. Cabezas
7J. Caicedo
20S. Laurino68'for Pablo Mancilla
1G. Napa
19A. Naula90+5'for Junior Ayovi
16J. Ordóñez79'for R. Arias
9M. Palma90+5'for Edinson Mero
12Rodrigo Ramiro Perea Salazar
29J. Quiñónez
15K. Sambonino79'for Dixon Arroyo
28J. Vivar
Match Stats
LibertadGuayaquil City FC 47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box5
11Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots5
16Fouls5
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
386Total Passes447
344Passes Accurate386
5Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
LibertadGuayaquil City FC1590Elo Rating 1532
2.63Attack 1.80
2.31Defense 0.54
83%Hit Rate 39%
15.2Shots per Game 10.8
5.8Shots on Target 4.1
4.5Corners per Game 3.3
1.9Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Libertad- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Guayaquil City FC- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Libertad1Wins · 25%Draws250%
Guayaquil City FC1Wins · 25%
1Wins · 25%2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4
Previous meetings
15/08/2026Guayaquil City FCLibertad22
22/04/2026LibertadGuayaquil City FC01
10/10/2023LibertadGuayaquil City FC10
06/05/2023Guayaquil City FCLibertad11
Recent Form
Libertad6W2D2L
09/10/2026Libertad
Leones del Norte
EmelecLibertadLibertadEmelec
AucasLibertadLibertad
Universidad CatolicaLibertad
Orense SC
LibertadLeones del Norte30
W20/09/2026EmelecLibertad12
W14/09/2026Libertad
Independiente del Valle
LibertadIndependiente del Valle23
L07/09/2026
Deportivo CuencaLibertad
04/09/2026Deportivo CuencaLibertad01
WLibertadEmelec11
D30/08/2026AucasLibertad10
L25/08/2026Libertad
Macara
LibertadMacara10
W15/08/2026Guayaquil City FCLibertad
10/08/2026Guayaquil City FCLibertad22
DLibertadUniversidad Catolica21
W01/08/2026LibertadOrense SC30
WGuayaquil City FC4W3D3L
10/10/2026Guayaquil City FCEmelecGuayaquil City FCLeones del NorteGuayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico UniversitarioGuayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FCEmelecMacaraGuayaquil City FC
Guayaquil City FCEmelec32
W19/09/2026Guayaquil City FCLeones del Norte11
D12/09/2026Guayaquil City FCMushuc Runa SC31
W08/09/2026Orense SCGuayaquil City FC
Orense SCGuayaquil City FC43
L02/09/2026Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FC
Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FC10
L29/08/2026Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
22/08/2026Guayaquil City FCLDU de Quito21
WTecnico UniversitarioGuayaquil City FC23
W15/08/2026Guayaquil City FCLibertad
10/08/2026Guayaquil City FCLibertad22
DGuayaquil City FCEmelec00
D02/08/2026MacaraGuayaquil City FC21
LReferee Profile
4.96Cards per match
4.66Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.96 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).
Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LDLLD |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | DLDLD |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WWDDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWWDD |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Placement Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:39 | +4 | 50 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:40 | -3 | 43 | WLLDL |
| 10 | Emelec | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31:41 | -10 | 42 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 34 | 43:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 38:43 | 46 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 10 | Emelec | 34 | 31:41 | 42 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Universidad Catolica vs Macara 11/10/26
- Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca 11/10/26
- LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC 11/10/26
- Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario 16/10/26
- Macara vs Independiente del Valle 17/10/26
- Aucas vs LDU de Quito 17/10/26
- Delfin SC vs Manta FC 18/10/26
- Leones del Norte vs Emelec 18/10/26
About the Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Libertad and Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro table
Libertad and Guayaquil City FC are close in the Liga Pro table, 7th and 9th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Libertad 33-34, Guayaquil City FC 33-36. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.