LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC Prediction
Ecuador · Championship Group - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
LDU de Quito Rest
20 days
Barcelona SC Rest
27 days
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC: the result in context
LDU de Quito beat Barcelona SC 2-1 in the Liga Pro on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
160%1.53
X25%3.89
215%5.60
Double Chance
1X85%1.10
X240%2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.89
No50%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.06 = 2.70
Over 1.572%1.25
Over 2.549%1.84
Over 3.529%3.00
Under 1.528%3.50
Under 2.551%1.91
Under 3.571%1.33
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
39'Jesús PretellOG
51'Bryan CarabaliFoul
53'Fernando Cornejo
57'Gian Franco AllalaFoul
60'Johan Garcia INJhonny Quinonez out
67'Bryan Carabali INJandry Gomez out
67'Jefferson Wila INDarío Benedetto out
72'Leonel Quinonez INJose Carabali out
72'Lucas Rodriguez INAlexander Alvarado out
73'Janner Corozo INElvis Kevin Velasco Chere out
78'Damián Díaz INTomás Martínez out
78'Tomás Rodríguez INSergio Díaz out
79'Jhonny QuinonezFoul
80'José ContrerasFoul
81'Alexander Alvarado
83'Alexander AlvaradoFoul
83'Christian Javier BáezFoul
90'Fernando Cornejo INSebastián González out
90'Michael Estrada INDeyverson out
90+4'William VargasViolent conduct
90+6'DeyversonViolent conduct
Lineups
LDU de QuitoBarcelona SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Pablo TrobbianiAvg ratingAvg rating
1G. Valle
30G. Allala
4R. Ade
33L. Enrique Quiñónez Padilla
57M. Weigandt
20F. Cornejo
8J. Pretell
7L. Rodríguez
23Y. Quinonez
13J. Corozo
11M. Estrada
1J. Contreras
18B. Carabalí
33J. Báez
4G. Vallecilla
15J. Perlaza
32M. Lugo
27W. Vargas
50J. García
10D. Díaz
51J. Wila
11T. RodríguezLDU de Quito Substitutes
77K. Velasco73'for Janner Corozo
44L. Segovia
31J. RodrÃguez
18Washington Nahir Olvera Zambrano
3Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
26I. Zambrano
10Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel72'for Lucas Rodriguez81'83'
16Deyverson90'for Michael Estrada90+6'
67J. Carabalí72'for Leonel Quinonez
28J. Cuero
22Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
5Sebastían González Baquero90'for Fernando Cornejo
Barcelona SC Substitutes
8S. Díaz78'for Tomás Rodríguez
44J. Chalá
26B. Castillo
16L. Cano
9D. Benedetto67'for Jefferson Wila
13José Luis Angulo
80Jandry Gomez67'replaced by Bryan Carabali
23T. Martínez78'for Damián Díaz
70M. Mejía
7E. Mendoza
28J. Quiñónez60'for Johan Garcia79'
14A. Rangel
Match Stats
LDU de QuitoBarcelona SC 55%Ball Possession45%
8Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards1
21Total Shots16
8Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal7
14Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots5
19Fouls9
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves6
413Total Passes262
339Passes Accurate181
9Free Kicks18
Team Comparison
LDU de QuitoBarcelona SC1677Elo Rating 1551
1.76Attack 1.14
1.83Defense 1.50
59%Hit Rate 14%
16.8Shots per Game 10.3
5.0Shots on Target 3.6
7.5Corners per Game 6.4
1.4Cards per Game 3.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+125 Elo
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
LDU de Quito- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Barcelona SC- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
LDU de Quito5Wins · 50%Draws110%
Barcelona SC4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.2Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
27/07/2026Barcelona SCLDU de Quito01
04/04/2026LDU de QuitoBarcelona SC02
23/11/2025Barcelona SCLDU de Quito22
18/10/2025LDU de QuitoBarcelona SC30
25/07/2025Barcelona SCLDU de Quito01
19/06/2025LDU de QuitoBarcelona SC31
01/09/2024LDU de QuitoBarcelona SC30
23/05/2024Barcelona SCLDU de Quito20
18/09/2023Barcelona SCLDU de Quito10
16/04/2023LDU de QuitoBarcelona SC01
Recent Form
LDU de Quito5W2D3L
21/09/2026LDU de Quito
Universidad CatolicaLDU de Quito
PalmeirasLDU de Quito
Deportivo CuencaPalmeirasLDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SCLDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica21
W17/09/2026LDU de QuitoPalmeiras3342
L13/09/2026LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca11
D10/09/2026PalmeirasLDU de Quito10
L05/09/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioLDU de Quito
02/09/2026Tecnico UniversitarioLDU de Quito13
WLDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SC00
D29/08/2026
Guayaquil City FCLDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FCLDU de Quito21
L27/08/2026LDU de Quito
Aucas
LDU de QuitoAucas10
W24/08/2026LDU de Quito
Emelec
21/08/2026LDU de QuitoEmelec20
WLDU de QuitoMirassol5040
WBarcelona SC3W4D3L
14/09/2026Barcelona SC
Delfin SCBarcelona SC
Independiente del ValleBarcelona SC
Orense SCBarcelona SC
Macara
Leones del NorteBarcelona SC
Barcelona SCDelfin SC11
D07/09/2026AucasBarcelona SC
03/09/2026AucasBarcelona SC11
DBarcelona SCIndependiente del Valle21
W30/08/2026
Manta FCBarcelona SC
23/08/2026Manta FCBarcelona SC20
LBarcelona SCOrense SC30
W16/08/2026Mushuc Runa SCBarcelona SC
09/08/2026Mushuc Runa SCBarcelona SC00
DBarcelona SCMacara12
L06/08/2026
LDU PortoviejoBarcelona SC
03/08/2026LDU PortoviejoBarcelona SC01
WLeones del NorteBarcelona SC11
D27/07/2026Barcelona SCLDU de Quito
Barcelona SCLDU de Quito01
LReferee Profile
5.13Cards per match
4.71Yellow cards per match
0.43Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.03).
Cards come from 68 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | DLLDD |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | LLDDW |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | DLDLD |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WWDDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | LLDWL |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWWDD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 75:35 | +40 | 78 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 47:35 | +12 | 63 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 53:31 | +22 | 53 | DWLLW |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 37:29 | +8 | 53 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Aucas | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 36:33 | +3 | 51 | DLLDD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 34:28 | +6 | 45 | LLDDW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 75:35 | 78 |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 47:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 53:31 | 53 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 37:29 | 53 |
| 5 | Aucas | 33 | 36:33 | 51 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 32 | 34:28 | 45 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario 10/10/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec 10/10/26
- Universidad Catolica vs Macara 11/10/26
- Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca 11/10/26
- Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario 16/10/26
- Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC 17/10/26
- Macara vs Independiente del Valle 17/10/26
- Aucas vs LDU de Quito 17/10/26
About the LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro table
LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC are close in the Liga Pro table, 5th and 6th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: LDU de Quito 31-24, Barcelona SC 32-25. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.