Libertad vs Orense SC Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 23
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.49
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.49
SignalHIGHModel35%SurpriseMediumGap+12.3%
Libertad Rest
4 days
Orense SC Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.75
X33%3.15
227%2.45
Double Chance
1X73%1.49
X260%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%1.75
No53%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 0.97 = 2.29
Over 1.567%1.31
Over 2.541%2.02
Over 3.522%3.50
Under 1.533%3.15
Under 2.559%1.75
Under 3.578%1.27
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
38'V. BrandaAssist: D. Coronel
45+1'A. Chere
46'R. Jaramilo INE. Pluas out
60'A. Chere INE. Caicedo out
60'V. Branda ING. J. Cortez Casierra out
60'D. Coronel INC. Orejuela out
69'G. Rostagno INE. S. Zambrano Pesantez out
73'J. Bravo INX. E. Pineda Arana out
81'C. Valencia INJ. Estacio out
82'G. J. Cortez CasierraAssist: E. Caicedo
Lineups
LibertadOrense SC
4-3-3Coach: Hernan TorresAvg ratingAvg rating
C12D. Cabezas
17E. Patta
6B. Caicedo
2R. Morinigo
19O. Quinonez
20J. Rodríguez
70V. Branda
63C. Valencia
30J. Bravo
49D. Coronel
33A. Chére
22J. Ortiz
C31P. Velasco
6S. Callegari
45Ó. Quiñónez
15B. Caicedo
7S. Vásquez
21G. Martin Rostagno
25R. Jaramillo
11A. Herrera
19M. Bermúdez
13Á. MenaLibertad Substitutes
66Johan Estacio81'for C. Valencia
52Ariel Bao
18Yerman Quinonez
8Stick Castro
7Carlos Orejuela60'for D. Coronel
80Xavier Pineda
25Manuel Lucas
9Enrique Caicedo60'for A. Chere
10Gabriel Cortez60'for V. Branda82'
Orense SC Substitutes
12Rolando Silva
4Steven Quiñónez
2Bryan Quinonez
24Gabriel Achilier
50Eddie Hernandez
51Christian Ortíz
57Sleyder Mairongo
54Erick Zambrano69'for G. Rostagno
14Erick Plúas46'for R. Jaramilo
59Jostin Hurtado
53Luis Garces
33David Quintero
Match Stats
LibertadOrense SC 39%Ball Possession61%
2Corner Kicks4
13Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal13
9Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box9
0Blocked Shots3
20Fouls7
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
354Total Passes549
294Passes Accurate476
83%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
LibertadOrense SC1567Elo Rating 1473
1.79Attack 1.52
1.94Defense 2.25
50%Hit Rate 23%
15.6Shots per Game 13.7
5.3Shots on Target 6.0
4.0Corners per Game 4.3
2.0Cards per Game 1.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Libertad- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Orense SC- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Libertad3Wins · 33%Draws222%
Orense SC4Wins · 45%
4Wins · 45%2.4Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9
Previous meetings
12/04/2026Orense SCLibertad21
21/12/2025Orense SCLibertad32
05/10/2025LibertadOrense SC20
13/07/2025Orense SCLibertad01
15/03/2025LibertadOrense SC41
19/10/2024Orense SCLibertad10
27/04/2024LibertadOrense SC11
01/10/2023Orense SCLibertad30
30/04/2023LibertadOrense SC00
Recent Form
Libertad4W1D5L
27/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCLibertad
21/07/2026Mushuc Runa SCLibertad02
WLibertad
Delfin SC10
W19/07/2026
Barcelona SCLibertad10
L15/07/2026Libertad
Tecnico Universitario10
W12/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLibertad00
D04/07/2026Libertad
Leones del Norte13
L30/05/2026
Manta FCLibertad
Manta FCLibertad21
L23/05/2026
Independiente del ValleLibertad
Independiente del ValleLibertad23
W20/05/2026
LDU PortoviejoLibertad
LDU PortoviejoLibertad4121
L16/05/2026Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
LibertadDeportivo Cuenca01
LOrense SC2W1D7L
26/07/2026Orense SCIndependiente del ValleOrense SC
AucasMushuc Runa SCOrense SCOrense SC
EmelecOrense SCTecnico UniversitarioLDU de QuitoOrense SC
Orense SCIndependiente del Valle23
L23/07/2026Orense SCAucas21
W20/07/2026Mushuc Runa SCOrense SC21
L17/07/2026Orense SCEmelec02
L11/07/2026Manta FCOrense SC
07/07/2026Manta FCOrense SC00
DOrense SCTecnico Universitario12
L02/07/2026LDU de QuitoOrense SC30
L27/05/2026
CuniburoOrense SC
CuniburoOrense SC21
L23/05/2026Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Orense SCUniversidad Catolica12
L19/05/2026
Guayaquil City FCOrense SC
Guayaquil City FCOrense SC01
WReferee Profile
4.45Cards per match
3.91Yellow cards per match
0.55Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.45 cards a match, 0.34 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.79).
Cards come from 22 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DLDWL |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LWLDL |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | DLLDW |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | DLWLL |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LDLWW |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | DDWLW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | WLLWL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WLWWD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | LDWLL |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWLWW |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | WWLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Placement Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 43:40 | +3 | 51 | LDLWW |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 39:44 | -5 | 48 | DDWLW |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 47 | DWWLL |
| 10 | Emelec | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 45 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 36 | 43:40 | 51 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 36 | 39:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 36 | 40:41 | 47 |
| 10 | Emelec | 36 | 32:43 | 45 |
Liga Pro: Relegation Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 33:42 | -9 | 47 | WLWWD |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 43 | WLLDL |
| 13 | Orense SC | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 43:53 | -10 | 39 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Delfin SC | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 31:43 | -12 | 38 | LWLWW |
| 15 | Tecnico Universitario | 36 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 35:49 | -14 | 37 | LDWLL |
| 16 | Manta FC | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 27:52 | -25 | 33 | WWLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 36 | 33:42 | 47 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 36 | 43:50 | 43 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 36 | 43:53 | 39 |
| 14 | Delfin SC | 36 | 31:43 | 38 |
| 15 | Tecnico Universitario | 36 | 35:49 | 37 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 36 | 27:52 | 33 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC 24/07/26
- Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC 26/07/26
- Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle 26/07/26
- Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec 28/07/26
- Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa SC 01/08/26
- Universidad Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario 01/08/26
- Emelec vs Aucas 02/08/26
- Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca 02/08/26
About the Libertad vs Orense SC forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Libertad and Orense SC in the Liga Pro table
In the Liga Pro table, Libertad are 7th and Orense SC 13th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Libertad 33-34, Orense SC 36-47. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.