Middlesbrough vs Lincoln Prediction

Middlesbrough
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Lincoln
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough·Robert Madley, England 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.41
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
Middlesbrough Rest
7 days
Lincoln Rest
7 days

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln: result, form and history

Middlesbrough beat Lincoln 2-1 in the Championship on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Middlesbrough tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 3.4 for Lincoln.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.40
X
24%4.55
2
25%7.19
Double Chance
1X
75%1.08
X2
49%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.88
No
46%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.13 = 2.55
Over 1.5
73%1.21
Over 2.5
49%1.72
Over 3.5
30%2.73
Under 1.5
27%4.08
Under 2.5
51%2.10
Under 3.5
70%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.32
Over 9.5
51%1.61
Over 10.5
40%2.00
Under 8.5
40%2.91
Under 9.5
49%2.19
Under 10.5
60%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
48%1.83
Over 4.5
29%2.81
Under 3.5
52%1.83
Under 4.5
71%1.38

Match Events

12'A. ReachAssist: T. Darikwa
36'F. DraperUnsportsmanlike conduct
59'F. Draper INT. Olaofe out
59'D. Jefferies INR. Street out
62'W. Lankshear
63'A. Kante INR. McGree out
63'L. Castledine INM. Peart-Harris out
63'Neto Borges INM. Arfsten out
71'K. Joseph INJ. Sarmiento out
71'B. House INR. Hackett-Fairchild out
89'T. OlaofeFoul
90+1'W. LankshearAssist: R. McGree
90+2'A. Reach INT. Bayliss out
90+2'T. Darikwa INA. Coubis out
90+2'M. Whittaker INA. Jones out

Lineups

Middlesbrough
4-2-2-2Coach: Kim Hellberg
Lincoln
5-3-2
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.67
Radek Vitek6.31R. Vitek
Callum Brittain6.22C. Brittain
Luke AylingC7.512L. Ayling
Adilson Malanda7.929A. Malanda
Neto Borges6.330N. Borges
Abdoulaye Kanté7.342A. Kanté
Sebastian Berhalter7.36S. Berhalter
Morgan Whittaker6.311M. Whittaker
Leo Castledine6.319L. Castledine
Will Lankshear7.27W. Lankshear
Kyle Joseph6.622K. Joseph
George Wickens6.91G. Wickens
Tendayi DarikwaC6.02T. Darikwa
Thomas Hamer6.322T. Hamer
Deji Elerewe6.625D. Elerewe
Ryley Towler6.76R. Towler
Adam Reach7.03A. Reach
Dom Jefferies6.616D. Jefferies
Ivan Varfolomeev7.224I. Varfolomeev
Conor McGrandles7.014C. McGrandles
Freddie Draper6.234F. Draper
Ben House7.318B. House

Middlesbrough Substitutes

17Maximilian Arfsten63'for Neto Borges7.2
14Myles Peart-Harris63'for L. Castledine6.9
8Riley McGree63'for A. Kante6.9
16Jeremy Sarmiento71'for K. Joseph6.7
31Solomon Brynn
25George Edmundson
5Alfie Jones90+2'for M. Whittaker
46Finlay Cartwright
44Cruz Ibeh

Lincoln Substitutes

19Isaac Olaofe59'for F. Draper89'6.5
17Robert Street59'for D. Jefferies6.9
7Reeco Hackett-Fairchild71'for B. House6.2
46Joe Gauci
4Andrei Coubiș90+2'for T. Darikwa
23Joshua Honohan
8Tom Bayliss90+2'for A. Reach
20Callum Elder
10Mason Melia

Match Stats

MiddlesbroughLincoln
76%Ball Possession24%
5Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
23Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots4
12Fouls12
0Offsides4
0Goalkeeper Saves5
629Total Passes185
555Passes Accurate106
88%Pass Accuracy57%

Team Comparison

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
LincolnLincoln
1730Elo Rating 1657
2.42Attack 1.34
1.65Defense 0.67
56%Hit Rate 19%
21.7Shots per Game 12.3
7.5Shots on Target 3.5
7.0Corners per Game 3.4
0.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LincolnLincoln
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
3W5D2L
07/08/2026
MiddlesbroughWrexham
10
W
01/08/2026
MiddlesbroughEspanyol
33
D
18/07/2026
CelticMiddlesbrough
11
D
23/05/2026
Hull CityMiddlesbrough
10
L
12/05/2026
SouthamptonMiddlesbrough
2111
L
09/05/2026
MiddlesbroughSouthampton
00
D
02/05/2026
WrexhamMiddlesbrough
22
D
25/04/2026
MiddlesbroughWatford
51
W
22/04/2026
MiddlesbroughSheffield Wednesday
10
W
19/04/2026
IpswichMiddlesbrough
22
D
LincolnLincoln
6W0D4L
08/08/2026
DerbyLincoln
12
W
01/08/2026
BarnsleyLincoln
30
L
01/08/2026
DoncasterLincoln
01
W
28/07/2026
GrimsbyLincoln
51
L
17/07/2026
LincolnLeyton Orient
02
L
11/07/2026
Boston UnitedLincoln
01
W
10/07/2026
Lincoln UnitedLincoln
21
L
02/05/2026
Port ValeLincoln
02
W
25/04/2026
LincolnWycombe
43
W
21/04/2026
DoncasterLincoln
02
W

Referee Profile

Robert Madley173 matches

4.02Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robert Madley4.02
Other referees3.72

4.02 cards a match, 0.30 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.72).

Cards come from 171 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BirminghamBirmingham1585228:14+1429WWWLW
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1585230:19+1129DLWWD
3Stoke CityStoke City1592424:18+629WWWDW
4WolvesWolves1584326:18+828DWWWD
5West BromWest Brom1584323:15+828WDWDW
6SwanseaSwansea1582522:18+426LLWLL
7SouthamptonSouthampton1584329:15+1424LDWWD
8QPRQPR1566324:18+624WDLWL
9West HamWest Ham1565437:23+1423LDLLW
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1564521:19+222LWWDW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1564520:18+222LWDWD
12NorwichNorwich1570832:24+821WWWWL
13BlackburnBlackburn1563622:23-121WLLWL
14CardiffCardiff1546527:27018WDLWD
15WrexhamWrexham1546518:20-218DWLLW
16MillwallMillwall1553723:27-418LLWLD
17Bristol CityBristol City1553716:24-818LLWDL
18BoltonBolton1552820:29-917LWLLD
19CharltonCharlton1545613:23-1017WLLLL
20WatfordWatford1543813:23-1015DWLLW
21LincolnLincoln1543815:26-1115LLLWD
22BurnleyBurnley1517722:31-910LDDLL
23DerbyDerby1524914:30-1610WLLDL
24PrestonPreston15221113:30-178WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BirminghamBirmingham1528:1429
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1530:1929
3Stoke CityStoke City1524:1829
4WolvesWolves1526:1828
5West BromWest Brom1523:1528
6SwanseaSwansea1522:1826
7SouthamptonSouthampton1529:1524
8QPRQPR1524:1824
9West HamWest Ham1537:2323
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1521:1922
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1520:1822
12NorwichNorwich1532:2421
13BlackburnBlackburn1522:2321
14CardiffCardiff1527:2718
15WrexhamWrexham1518:2018
16MillwallMillwall1523:2718
17Bristol CityBristol City1516:2418
18BoltonBolton1520:2917
19CharltonCharlton1513:2317
20WatfordWatford1513:2315
21LincolnLincoln1515:2615
22BurnleyBurnley1522:3110
23DerbyDerby1514:3010
24PrestonPreston1513:308
PromotionRelegation

About the Middlesbrough vs Lincoln forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Middlesbrough and Lincoln in the Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Middlesbrough are 2nd in the Championship, while Lincoln sit 21st, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: Middlesbrough 30-19, Lincoln 15-26. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Middlesbrough and Lincoln have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.