CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction

CSKA Sofia
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Botev Plovdiv
Vasil Levski National Stadium, Sofia·Martin Velikov, Bulgaria 27/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
CSKA Sofia Rest
4 days
Botev Plovdiv Rest
5 days

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv: result, form and history

CSKA Sofia beat Botev Plovdiv 3-2 in the First League on 27 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

CSKA Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game. Referee Martin Velikov averages 4.18 cards a game, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.62
X
26%3.75
2
12%5.15
Double Chance
1X
88%1.13
X2
38%2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%1.80
No
58%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 0.89 = 2.58
Over 1.5
72%1.25
Over 2.5
49%1.82
Over 3.5
27%2.95
Under 1.5
28%3.65
Under 2.5
51%1.92
Under 3.5
73%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'M. Brahimi
31'T. Ouorou INPastor out
38'C. Algarra
41'J. Zwarts
46'P. Panayotov INS. Sensi out
46'M. Brahimi INI. Pittas out
62'A. Yordanov INA. Martino out
62'O. M. Chidera INMascote out
62'N. Iliev ING. Milanov out
62'C. Meotti INM. Rodrigues out
63'C. Algarra
69'T. Awany
70'T. Awany INN. Soldo out
73'B. Jordao INJ. Gbamin out
78'S. Kalu
84'J. Zwarts
84'S. Kalu INLucas Araujo out
90'J. ZwartsAssist: I. Pittas
90+2'
90+4'

Lineups

CSKA Sofia
4-3-3Coach: Hristo Yanev
Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: Stanislav Genchev
Fedor Lapoukhov21F. Lapoukhov
Tamimou Ouorou3T. Ouorou
Facundo Rodríguez32F. Rodríguez
Teodor Ivanov14T. Ivanov
Andrey Yordanov19A. Yordanov
Max Ebong7M. Ebong
Bruno Jordão6B. Jordão
Petko Panayotov30P. Panayotov
Mohamed Amine Brahimi11M. Amine Brahimi
Joël Zwarts10J. Zwarts
Léo Pereira38L. Pereira
Daniel Naumov29D. Naumov
Timothy Awany20T. Awany
Simeon Petrov87S. Petrov
Vladimir Mendes82V. Mendes
Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein27B. Chibuike Hein
Asen Chandarov10A. Chandarov
Carlos Algarra López14C. Algarra López
Carlos Meotti66C. Meotti
Nikola Iliev7N. Iliev
Samuel Kalu90S. Kalu
Chidera Micheal Okoh9C. Micheal Okoh

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

25Dimitar Evtimov
2Pastor31'for T. Ouorou
17Ángelo Martino62'for A. Yordanov
5Jean-Philippe Gbamin73'for B. Jordao
15Aleks Tunchev
8Stefano Sensi46'for P. Panayotov
34Vasil Kaymakanov
94Isaac Solet
99James Eto'o
9Leandro Godoy
28Ioannis Pittas46'for M. Brahimi

Botev Plovdiv Substitutes

1Hristiyan Slavkov
15Bogdan Kostov
6Ivaylo Videv
4Nikola Soldo70'for T. Awany
17Georgi Milanov62'for N. Iliev
77Lucas Araujo84'for S. Kalu
45Edson Silva
23Dimitar Tonev
16Veliyan Vidolov
19Mauro Rodrigues62'for C. Meotti
30Franklin Mascote62'for O. M. Chidera

Team Comparison

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
1707Elo Rating 1592
1.98Attack 2.60
1.93Defense 1.54
61%Hit Rate 77%
16.3Shots per Game 12.3
6.6Shots on Target 5.6
5.1Corners per Game 4.8
4.0Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+114 Elo
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv3Wins · 30%
2.6Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

First League22/11/2025
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
21
First League19/07/2025
Botev PlovdivCSKA Sofia
11
First League26/05/2025
Botev PlovdivCSKA Sofia
04
First League09/05/2025
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
30
First League22/02/2025
Botev PlovdivCSKA Sofia
03
First League30/08/2024
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
01
Cup01/05/2024
Botev PlovdivCSKA Sofia
20
Cup17/04/2024
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
01
First League17/03/2024
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
40
First League22/09/2023
Botev PlovdivCSKA Sofia
12

Recent Form

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
4W3D3L
23/07/2026
QarabagCSKA Sofia
00
D
20/07/2026
Slavia SofiaCSKA Sofia
00
D
16/07/2026
Derry CityCSKA Sofia
12
W
09/07/2026
CSKA SofiaDerry City
32
W
03/07/2026
CSKA SofiaMarek
30
W
24/06/2026
CSKA SofiaPolessya
04
L
25/05/2026
LudogoretsCSKA Sofia
10
L
20/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA Sofia
3141
W
16/05/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA Sofia
20
L
13/05/2026
CSKA SofiaCSKA 1948
11
D
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
6W1D3L
21/07/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
12/07/2026
Botev PlovdivBeroe
40
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivEtar Veliko Tarnovo
12
L
01/07/2026
Botev PlovdivChernomorets 1919 Burgas
40
W
26/06/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
21
W
23/06/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Pleven
40
W
25/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
21
L
16/05/2026
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
50
W
12/05/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
12
L

Referee Profile

Martin Velikov68 matches

4.18Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Velikov4.18
Other referees4.91

4.18 cards a match, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.91).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CSKA Sofia and Botev Plovdiv in the First League table

In the First League table, CSKA Sofia are 2nd and Botev Plovdiv 5th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: CSKA Sofia 29-9, Botev Plovdiv 22-20. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA Sofia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Botev Plovdiv have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.