Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow Prediction

CupRussia Russia · Group Stage - 1
Lokomotiv
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-1AET 0-0PEN 4-5
CSKA Moscow
RZD Arena, Moscow 04/08/2026
LokomotivLokomotiv
1-1
After Penalties
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.46
SignalHIGHModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+7.6%
Lokomotiv Rest
3 days
CSKA Moscow Rest
3 days

Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow: result, form and history

CSKA Moscow beat Lokomotiv on penalties (5-4) after a 1-1 draw in the Cup on 4 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Lokomotiv had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for CSKA Moscow.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.50
X
26%3.41
2
28%2.70
Double Chance
1X
72%1.46
X2
54%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.59
No
56%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
39%1.79
Over 3.5
19%2.82
Under 1.5
36%3.86
Under 2.5
61%2.06
Under 3.5
81%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

31'A. Rudenko INZ. Bakaev out
40'Matheus Reis
46'M. Kislyak INI. Oblyakov out
46'K. Glebov INM. Popovic out
46'M. Shchetinin INA. Karpukas out
46'L. Vera INI. Eremeev out
59'A. Kovalenko INS. Pinyaev out
59'V. Rakov INV. Golubev out
61'M. Gajic IND. Krugovoy out
61'I. Firov INHenrique Carmo out
76'Matheus Alves IND. Kozlov out
86'I. Oblyakov
87'E. Morozov
89'D. Barinov
90+2'A. Silyanov

Penalty Shootout4 - 5

1E. Morozov(Penalty)
1I. Oblyakov(Penalty)
2Z. Bakaev(Penalty)
2D. Krugovoy(Penalty)
3V. Golubev(Penalty)
3D. Kozlov(Penalty)
4A. Batrakov(Penalty)
4M. Popovic(Penalty)
5A. Silyanov(Penalty missed)
5T. Musaev(Penalty)

Lineups

Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1Coach: Mikhail Galaktionov
CSKA Moscow
4-2-3-1Coach: Dmitriy Igdisamov
Ilya Lantratov22I. Lantratov
Maksim Nenakhov24M. Nenakhov
Evgeniy Morozov85E. Morozov
Georgi Dzhikiya14G. Dzhikiya
Aleksandr Silyanov45A. Silyanov
Mikhail Shchetinin88M. Shchetinin
Aleksandr Kovalenko8A. Kovalenko
Lucas Vera32L. Vera
Aleksey Batrakov10A. Batrakov
Aleksandr Rudenko19A. Rudenko
Vadim Rakov11V. Rakov
Maksim Borisko39M. Borisko
Milan Gajić22M. Gajić
Matvey Lukin90M. Lukin
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov23D. Abdulkadyrov
Matheus Reis2M. Reis
Matvey Kislyak31M. Kislyak
Dmitriy Barinov6D. Barinov
Imran Firov62I. Firov
Matheus Alves7M. Alves
Kirill Glebov17K. Glebov
Tamerlan Musaev11T. Musaev

Lokomotiv Substitutes

7Zelimkhan Bakaev31'for A. Rudenko
75Ilya Eremeev46'for L. Vera
93Artem Karpukas46'for M. Shchetinin
9Sergey Pinyaev59'for A. Kovalenko
63Vladislav Golubev59'for V. Rakov
16Daniil Veselov
5Gerzino Nyamsi
59Egor Pogostnov
3Lucas Fasson
74Daniil Chevardin
17Nikita Saltykov

CSKA Moscow Substitutes

10Ivan Oblyakov46'for M. Kislyak86'
20Matija Popović46'for K. Glebov
3Danil Krugovoy61'for M. Gajic
37Henrique Carmo61'for I. Firov
18Danila Kozlov76'for Matheus Alves
49Vladislav Torop
99Nikolay Barovskiy
27Moisés
4João Victor
52Artem Bandikyan
32Luciano Gondou

Match Stats

LokomotivCSKA Moscow
1Yellow Cards2

Team Comparison

LokomotivLokomotiv
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
1561Elo Rating 1634
2.32Attack 2.41
1.51Defense 1.88
19%Hit Rate 59%
11.0Shots per Game 13.8
5.4Shots on Target 5.4
3.1Corners per Game 4.9
3.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LokomotivLokomotiv
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LokomotivLokomotiv3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow3Wins · 30%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs14/07/2026
LokomotivCSKA Moscow
10
Premier League17/05/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
31
Premier League18/10/2025
LokomotivCSKA Moscow
30
Cup01/10/2025
LokomotivCSKA Moscow
2040
Cup30/07/2025
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
21
Premier League19/05/2025
LokomotivCSKA Moscow
22
Premier League18/08/2024
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
01
Premier League13/04/2024
Lokomotiv MoscowCSKA Moscow
33
Premier League05/08/2023
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv Moscow
41
Premier League23/04/2023
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv Moscow
11

Recent Form

LokomotivLokomotiv
6W2D2L
01/08/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaLokomotiv
21
L26/07/2026
LokomotivAkhmat
11
D
18/07/2026
LokomotivRubin
31
W
14/07/2026
LokomotivCSKA Moscow
10
W
11/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Moscow
20
W
11/07/2026
LokomotivAkron
30
W
03/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Kostroma
20
W
27/06/2026
LokomotivRodina Moskva
00
D
17/05/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
31
L
10/05/2026
LokomotivBaltika
10
W
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
3W3D4L
01/08/2026
CSKA MoscowKrylia Sovetov
11
D24/07/2026
CSKA MoscowBaltika
21
W
18/07/2026
DynamoCSKA Moscow
52
L
14/07/2026
LokomotivCSKA Moscow
10
L
11/07/2026
FC OrenburgCSKA Moscow
20
L
04/07/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
11
D
30/06/2026
CSKA MoscowShinnik Yaroslavl
11
D
17/05/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
31
W
11/05/2026
Nizhny NovgorodCSKA Moscow
12
W
06/05/2026
Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscow
10
L

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About the Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Cup

More Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA Moscow have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.