Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction

BMO Stadium, Los Angeles· R. Fierro 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.65
SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+14.1%
Los Angeles FC Rest
3 days
Sporting Kansas City Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.25
X
17%6.28
2
16%9.10
Double Chance
1X
84%1.06
X2
33%3.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.65
No
29%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.09 + 1.03 = 3.12
Over 1.5
81%1.08
Over 2.5
61%1.33
Over 3.5
38%1.85
Under 1.5
19%7.10
Under 2.5
39%3.30
Under 3.5
62%1.94
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
58%1.37
Over 9.5
44%1.63
Over 10.5
31%1.96
Under 8.5
42%2.88
Under 9.5
56%2.15
Under 10.5
69%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.5
64%1.90
Over 4.5
46%2.62
Under 3.5
36%1.81
Under 4.5
54%1.37

Match Events

2'M. Garcia
5'Son Heung-Min
37'D. BouangaAssist: M. Choiniere
45+4'D. MartinezAssist: D. Bouanga
46'T. Tillman INE. Segura out
62'M. Garcia INK. Agyabeng out
62'S. Afrifa INS. Suleymanov out
62'M. Delgado INJ. Terry out
69'O. Blorian INM. Mosquera out
75'C. Harris
78'R. Hollingshead INR. Raposo out
78'D. Martinez INT. Boyd out
85'D. BouangaAssist: T. Boyd
85'Son Heung-Min INJ. Ebobisse out

Lineups

Los Angeles FC
4-3-3Coach: Marc Dos Santos
Sporting Kansas City
4-2-3-1Coach: Raphael Wicky
Hugo Lloris1H. LlorisHugo Lloris
Ryan Hollingshead24R. HollingsheadRyan Hollingshead
Ryan Porteous5R. PorteousRyan Porteous
Aaron Long33A. LongAaron Long
Yevhen Cheberko23Y. CheberkoYevhen Cheberko
Timothy Tillman11T. TillmanTimothy Tillman
Mathieu Choinière66M. ChoinièreMathieu Choinière
Mark Delgado8M. DelgadoMark Delgado
David Martínez Morales30D. Martínez MoralesDavid Martínez Morales
Son Heung-min7S. Heung-minSon Heung-min
Denis Bouanga99D. BouangaDenis Bouanga
Stefan Cleveland30S. ClevelandStefan Cleveland
Jacob Davis8J. DavisJacob Davis
Or Blorian5O. BlorianOr Blorian
Wyatt Meyer28W. MeyerWyatt Meyer
Emir Karić18E. KarićEmir Karić
Zorhan Bassong22Z. BassongZorhan Bassong
Lasse Berg Johnsen4L. Berg JohnsenLasse Berg Johnsen
Stephen Afrifa17S. AfrifaStephen Afrifa
Manu García6M. GarcíaManu García
Calvin Harris11C. HarrisCalvin Harris
Dejan Joveljić9D. JoveljićDejan Joveljić

Los Angeles FC Substitutes

4Eddie SeguraD
22Jude TerryM
21Ryan RaposoM
19Tyler BoydF
17Jeremy EbobisseF
12Thomas HasalG
91Nkosi TafariD
45Kenny NielsenD
18Jacob ShaffelburgF

Sporting Kansas City Substitutes

20Kwaku AgyabengM
93Shapi SuleymanovF
3Moises MosqueraD
1John PulskampG
23Ethan BartlowD
15Jansen MillerD
2Ian JamesD
99Jayden ReidD
16Jacob BartlettD

Match Stats

Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas City
47%Ball Possession53%
5Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal1
1Shots off Goal2
5Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
7Fouls11
0Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
593Total Passes680
544Passes Accurate630
92%Pass Accuracy93%

Team Comparison

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
1656Elo Rating 1439
1.26Attack 1.80
1.66Defense 0.76
23%Hit Rate 27%
20.2Shots per Game 16.8
7.1Shots on Target 5.0
9.9Corners per Game 5.7
1.5Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+217 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.12 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Los Angeles FC 69%Draw 31%0% Sporting Kansas City
2.45Avg Goals
44%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
3W0D2L
23/07/2026
Los Angeles FCReal Salt Lake
31
W
18/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
03
W
25/05/2026
Los Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
10
W
18/05/2026
Nashville SCLos Angeles FC
32
L
14/05/2026
St. Louis CityLos Angeles FC
21
L
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
3W0D2L
23/07/2026
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
21
W
17/07/2026
St. Louis CitySporting Kansas City
32
L
24/05/2026
Sporting Kansas CityNew York Red Bulls
12
L
17/05/2026
AustinSporting Kansas City
12
W
14/05/2026
Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles Galaxy
31
W

Referee Profile

R. Fierro · 13 matches analysed

3.5Avg Yellows
3.7Avg Cards
26.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 7% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Los Angeles FC and Sporting Kansas City have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.45 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.