Lusitânia Lourosa vs Chaves Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Chaves: the result in context
Lusitânia Lourosa and Chaves drew 1-1 in the Segunda Liga on 11 Oct 2026. Lusitânia Lourosa had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Chaves.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2. Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva averages 5.84 cards a game, 0.64 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Lusitânia Lourosa
29B. Araújo
24Ricardinho
4D. Collard
22B. Faria
52F. Machado
12Arsénio
20D. Paulo
27Fabinho
19Saliou
17J. Santos
21Paulité
1J. Valido
23L. Alabá
33T. Simões
34R. Alves
14N. Araújo
42A. Tavares
19G. García
10A. Rodrigues
30Costinha
7R. EsajasLusitânia Lourosa Substitutes
Chaves Substitutes
Match Stats
Lusitânia LourosaChaves Team Comparison
Lusitânia LourosaChavesAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Lusitânia Lourosa- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Chaves- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Lusitânia Lourosa0Wins · 0%1Wins · 33%Previous meetings
24/01/2026ChavesLusitânia Lourosa16/08/2025Lusitânia LourosaChaves
20/10/2024ChavesLusitânia LourosaRecent Form
Lusitânia Lourosa
MadalenaLusitânia Lourosa
Sporting CP BLusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa
AVS
AcademicaLusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa
Torreense
AmaranteLusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa
FC Porto B
ParedesLusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa
Arouca
LeçaLusitânia LourosaChaves
FarenseChaves
GuardaChavesChaves
Feirense
Felgueiras 1932ChavesChavesAVSSporting CP BChavesChavesAcademica
GuimaraesChavesChaves
Guimaraes BChavesAmaranteReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.84 cards a match, 0.64 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).
Cards come from 25 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 | DDWWW |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | +10 | 16 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 5 | Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 6 |  Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 | DWWLL |
| 7 | AVS | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 12 | WWDLW |
| 8 |  Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 | LWWWL |
| 9 |  Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 | LLDWW |
| 10 |  União de Leiria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 13 | Torreense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 | WLDWL |
| 14 | Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 17 | Amarante | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 18 | Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 8 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 5 | Farense | 8 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 8 | 8:5 | 14 |
| 7 | AVS | 8 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Tondela | 8 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 9 | Vizela | 8 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 10 | União de Leiria | 8 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 8 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 8 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Torreense | 8 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 14 | Chaves | 8 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 8 | 7:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Amarante | 8 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 8 | 2:10 | 2 |
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About the Lusitânia Lourosa vs Chaves forecast
The forecasts for this Segunda Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lusitânia Lourosa and Chaves in the Segunda Liga table
In the Segunda Liga table, Lusitânia Lourosa are 1st and Chaves 14th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Lusitânia Lourosa 14-7, Chaves 8-15. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Chaves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.