Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense Prediction

Lusitânia Lourosa
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Farense
Estadio Do Lusitania, Lorosa·Claudio Pereira 01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-3.2%
Lusitânia Lourosa Rest
7 days
Farense Rest
7 days

Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense: the result in context

Lusitânia Lourosa and Farense drew 1-1 in the Segunda Liga on 1 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.56
X
29%3.10
2
33%2.64
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
62%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.83
No
48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.15 = 2.61
Over 1.5
69%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.13
Over 3.5
25%3.75
Under 1.5
31%2.88
Under 2.5
54%1.67
Under 3.5
75%1.23
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'Dylan João Raymond Collard
9'Nermin Zolotic
13'Micael correia
32'Fabijan Buntić
34'Micael correia(Penalty)
43'André CandeiasAssist: Joao·Resende
46'Nermin Zolotic INRodrigo Borges out
56'Nelson Oliveira INEdi Semedo out
57'Micael correia
71'João Santos INJoão Silva out
71'Arsénio Nunes INMiguel Teixeira out
74'Joao·Resende INBruno Miguel Vicente dos Santos out
78'Claudio Falcão
81'Paulo Miguel·Gomes Ferreira INSaliou Mandiang out
84'André Candeias INVictor Hugo da Silva Barbara out
84'Sarpreet Singh INMiguel menino out

Lineups

Lusitânia Lourosa
4-3-3
Farense
4-3-3Coach: José Faria
Brian Araújo29B. Araújo
Ricardinho24Ricardinho
Bruno Faria22B. Faria
D. Collard4D. Collard
F. Machado52F. Machado
Arsénio12Arsénio
Diogo Paulo20D. Paulo
Fabinho27Fabinho
Paulité21Paulité
João Santos17J. Santos
77M. correia
F. Buntić97F. Buntić
Alex Pinto78A. Pinto
Gonçalo Silva37G. Silva
N. Zolotić44N. Zolotić
Derick Poloni6D. Poloni
S. Singh10S. Singh
Cláudio Falcão29C. Falcão
Mattheus Oliveira27M. Oliveira
André Candeias17A. Candeias
Nélson Oliveira11N. Oliveira
João Resende7J. Resende

Lusitânia Lourosa Substitutes

42Guilherme Soares
90Iuri Moreira
19Saliou81'for Paulo Miguel·Gomes Ferreira
80Manel
6António Montez
23Marco Sousa
10André Ricardo
16Luís Rocha
9João Silva71'for João Santos
5Silvério
11M. Tablante
88Miguel Teixeira71'for Arsénio Nunes

Farense Substitutes

70Victor84'for André Candeias
1J. Tånnander
99Edi Semedo56'for Nelson Oliveira
88Rafael Teixeira
19Leonardo Oliveira
8Miguel Menino84'for Sarpreet Singh
22Toni Herrero
9Gabriel Barbosa
5Rodrigo Borges46'for Nermin Zolotic
43Dário Miranda
18Bruno Santos74'for Joao·Resende
3Lucas D'Agrella

Match Stats

Lusitânia LourosaFarense
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots8
3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa
FarenseFarense
1596Elo Rating 1566
1.97Attack 2.15
1.73Defense 1.73
54%Hit Rate 73%
15.3Shots per Game 13.1
5.3Shots on Target 6.7
6.3Corners per Game 7.8
2.6Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
FarenseFarense
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
FarenseFarense2Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda Liga01/03/2026
FarenseLusitânia Lourosa
21
Segunda Liga04/10/2025
Lusitânia LourosaFarense
12

Recent Form

Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa
7W3D0L
25/10/2026
Felgueiras 1932Lusitânia Lourosa
22
D
18/10/2026
Lusitânia LourosaOs Limianos
21
W
11/10/2026
Lusitânia LourosaChaves
11
D
20/09/2026
MadalenaLusitânia Lourosa
13
W
14/09/2026
Sporting CP BLusitânia Lourosa
12
W
07/09/2026
Lusitânia LourosaAVS
21
W
29/08/2026
AcademicaLusitânia Lourosa
02
W
22/08/2026
Lusitânia LourosaTorreense
22
D
16/08/2026
AmaranteLusitânia Lourosa
01
W
10/08/2026
Lusitânia LourosaFC Porto B
20
W
FarenseFarense
6W2D2L
24/10/2026
FarensePenafiel
14
L
17/10/2026
FarenseAD Marco 09
30
W
11/10/2026
FarenseFeirense
21
W
04/10/2026
FarenseChaves
40
W
20/09/2026
SacavenenseFarense
01
W
13/09/2026
AVSFarense
00
D
30/08/2026
Sporting CP BFarense
21
L
24/08/2026
FarenseFelgueiras 1932
11
D
16/08/2026
FC Porto BFarense
13
W
09/08/2026
FarenseTorreense
21
W

Referee Profile

Claudio Pereira165 matches

5.29Cards per match
5.07Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Claudio Pereira5.29
Other referees5.53

5.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.53).

Cards come from 116 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sporting CP BSporting CP B970215:7+821WWWLW
2PenafielPenafiel961219:8+1119WWLWW
3Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa954015:8+719DDDWW
4Benfica BBenfica B952211:6+517WDWWL
5FarenseFarense943215:11+415DLWWD
6AcademicaAcademica950415:12+315LWWLL
7TondelaTondela950412:10+215WLWWW
8VizelaVizela942310:9+114WLLDW
9União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria942313:11+214WDLDW
10AVSAVS933311:10+112LWWDL
11PortimonensePortimonense93246:10-411DLWLL
12TorreenseTorreense92438:10-210DWLDW
13LeixoesLeixoes931510:14-410LLLDW
14AmaranteAmarante92258:12-48WLLDL
15ChavesChaves92259:18-98LWDLW
16FC Porto BFC Porto B92258:17-98LDWDL
17Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193291449:12-37LDLLL
18FeirenseFeirense90272:11-92LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sporting CP BSporting CP B915:721
2PenafielPenafiel919:819
3Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa915:819
4Benfica BBenfica B911:617
5FarenseFarense915:1115
6AcademicaAcademica915:1215
7TondelaTondela912:1015
8VizelaVizela910:914
9União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria913:1114
10AVSAVS911:1012
11PortimonensePortimonense96:1011
12TorreenseTorreense98:1010
13LeixoesLeixoes910:1410
14AmaranteAmarante98:128
15ChavesChaves99:188
16FC Porto BFC Porto B98:178
17Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193299:127
18FeirenseFeirense92:112
PromotionRelegation

About the Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lusitânia Lourosa and Farense in the Segunda Liga table

Lusitânia Lourosa and Farense are close in the Segunda Liga table, 3rd and 5th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Lusitânia Lourosa 15-8, Farense 15-11. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lusitânia Lourosa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Farense have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lusitânia Lourosa and Farense have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.