Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows Prediction

Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria 03/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.6 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.34
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Mamelodi Sundowns Rest
2 days
Golden Arrows Rest
3 days

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows: the result in context

Mamelodi Sundowns beat Golden Arrows 1-0 in the League Cup on 3 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Mamelodi Sundowns had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Golden Arrows.

Mamelodi Sundowns have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Mamelodi Sundowns tend to win more corners, 11.0 a game to 2.3 for Golden Arrows.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.34
X
19%4.60
2
9%7.80
Double Chance
1X
91%1.05
X2
28%2.95
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'B. J. Aubaas
9'S. Sithole
60'N. Gasa INR. Van Neel out
67'S. Mkhulise INM. Allende out
67'Arthur Sales INC. Mailula out
67'T. Morena INT. Matuludi out
69'I. RaynersAssist: A. van Wyk
69'S. Sithole INP. Kumalo out
69'O. Maluleke INS. Cele out
69'S. Msomi INN. Mabaso out
77'K. Shezi
77'N. Zwane INN. Sibiya out
78'F. Basadien INA. Modiba out
84'A. van Wyk INN. Santos out

Team Comparison

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
Golden ArrowsGolden Arrows
1727Elo Rating 1496
1.55Attack 0.78
2.61Defense 2.34
69%Hit Rate 19%
22.0Shots per Game 12.1
9.0Shots on Target 2.0
11.0Corners per Game 2.3
1.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+230 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Golden ArrowsGolden Arrows
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Golden ArrowsGolden Arrows2Wins · 20%
2.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Soccer League06/09/2026
Golden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
12
8 Cup30/08/2026
Golden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
23
8 Cup23/08/2026
Mamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
01
Premier Soccer League04/03/2026
Mamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
21
Premier Soccer League24/09/2025
Golden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
10
Premier Soccer League05/03/2025
Golden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
11
Premier Soccer League02/02/2025
Mamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
40
League Cup19/10/2024
Mamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
50
Premier Soccer League08/05/2024
Golden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
00
Premier Soccer League15/08/2023
Mamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
40

Recent Form

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
7W3D0L
31/10/2026
Mamelodi SundownsDurban City
41
W
27/10/2026
Mamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants
10
W
23/10/2026
Mamelodi SundownsWiliete
11
D
18/10/2026
WilieteMamelodi Sundowns
00
D
13/10/2026
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
14
W
10/10/2026
Orlando PiratesMamelodi Sundowns
02
W
19/09/2026
Mamelodi SundownsAl-Ahli Jeddah
21
W
12/09/2026
Chippa UnitedMamelodi Sundowns
11
D
09/09/2026
Mamelodi SundownsSiwelele
30
W
06/09/2026
Golden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
12
W

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Golden Arrows4
Chippa United0
Polokwane City03
Siwelele04
On penalties
Kruger United0
Amazulu1
Sekhukhune United3
Richards Bay1
Kaizer Chiefs3
TS Galaxy0
Durban City0
Stellenbosch2
Orlando Pirates1
Sekhukhune United0
Stellenbosch2
Amazulu1
Kaizer Chiefs2
Siwelele1
Orlando Pirates1
Sekhukhune United0
Stellenbosch2
Amazulu1
Kaizer Chiefs2
Siwelele1

About the Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mamelodi Sundowns have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.