Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction
England · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Manchester United vs Manchester City: the result in context
Manchester City beat Manchester United 1-0 in the Premier League on 13 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Manchester City had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Manchester United.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Manchester United
Avg ratingAvg rating
1S. Lammens
2D. Dalot
5H. Maguire
6L. Martínez
13P. Dorgu
18Y. Tielemans
37K. Mainoo
19B. Mbeumo
8B. Fernandes
9M. Rashford
10M. Cunha
1G. Donnarumma
27M. Nunes
6M. Guéhi
3R. Dias
24J. Gvardiol
17E. Fernández
5E. Anderson
47P. Foden
10R. Cherki
42A. Semenyo
9E. HaalandManchester United Substitutes
Manchester City Substitutes
Match Stats
Manchester UnitedManchester City Team Comparison
Manchester UnitedManchester CityAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Manchester United- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Manchester City- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Manchester United4Wins · 40%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
17/01/2026Manchester UnitedManchester City14/09/2025Manchester CityManchester United06/04/2025Manchester UnitedManchester City15/12/2024Manchester CityManchester United
25/05/2024Manchester CityManchester United03/03/2024Manchester CityManchester United29/10/2023Manchester UnitedManchester City03/06/2023Manchester CityManchester United14/01/2023Manchester UnitedManchester City02/10/2022Manchester CityManchester UnitedRecent Form
Manchester UnitedManchester United
Sabah FA
EvertonManchester UnitedManchester United
Ipswich
Hull CityManchester UnitedManchester United
AC Milan
LeedsManchester United
Paris Saint GermainManchester UnitedManchester United
Atletico Madrid
RosenborgManchester UnitedManchester United
WrexhamManchester City
FC PortoManchester CityManchester City
Coventry
Crystal PalaceManchester CityManchester City
Bournemouth
ArsenalManchester CityManchester CityAtletico Madrid
K-League StarsManchester CityManchester City
InterManchester City
Aston VillaBournemouthManchester CityLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:7 | +12 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | +6 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | +18 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 | DLDWD |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | +1 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 9 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 | LDLDD |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 | LWLWL |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 | LLWLD |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 | WDWLD |
| 13 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 | LWDLW |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 16 |  Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | WDLDD |
| 17 | Coventry | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 18 |  Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 | LLLWD |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 7 | 19:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 23:5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 17:13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull City | 7 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 7 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 9:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Coventry | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Fulham | 7 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 6:14 | 4 |
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This match
About the Manchester United vs Manchester City forecast
As a derby, this Premier League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Manchester United and Manchester City in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Manchester City are 1st and Manchester United 13th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Manchester United 10-10, Manchester City 19-7. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Manchester City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.