Everton vs Manchester United Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Everton vs Manchester United: the result in context
Everton and Manchester United drew 2-2 in the Premier League on 6 Sep 2026. Everton had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Manchester United.
Manchester United have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
1J. Pickford
34M. Röhl
6J. Tarkowski
4J. Branthwaite
16V. Mykolenko
45H. Armstrong
37J. Garner
22B. Johnson
8K. Dewsbury-Hall
19T. George
11T. Barry
1S. Lammens
2D. Dalot
5H. Maguire
6L. Martínez
23L. Shaw
18Y. Tielemans
37K. Mainoo
19B. Mbeumo
8B. Fernandes
9M. Rashford
10M. CunhaEverton Substitutes
Manchester United Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.1 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.17 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).
Cards come from 175 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | 27 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | 22 | WWLWW | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 21 | LLLWW | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 | WLWWL | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 | LWLWW | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | WWLLD | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 15 | WWWWL | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | 14 | LWDLD | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 | WLDDL | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 | DDWWD | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | LWWWD | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | DLWLL | |
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 | LDDLD | |
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 | LDDLW | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 | DDWWL | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 | WLDLL | |
| 17 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | LWLLW | |
| 18 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 8 | DLLDD | |
| 19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | WLDLL | |
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 15:5 | 27 | |
| 2 | 10 | 26:7 | 22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 21:13 | 21 | |
| 4 | 10 | 14:10 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 19:16 | 16 | |
| 6 | 10 | 12:10 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 16:14 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 16:11 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 10:8 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 14:17 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 10:11 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 13:16 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 11:11 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 15:20 | 11 | |
| 15 | 10 | 10:12 | 10 | |
| 16 | 10 | 9:13 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | 10:19 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 14:19 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 8:17 | 8 | |
| 20 | 10 | 10:24 | 7 |
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This match
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About the Everton vs Manchester United forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Everton and Manchester United in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Everton are 6th and Manchester United 18th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Everton 12-10, Manchester United 14-19. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


