Everton vs Manchester United Prediction

Everton
2-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Manchester United
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool·J. Brooks 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
Everton Rest
7 days
Manchester United Rest
6 days

Everton vs Manchester United: the result in context

Everton and Manchester United drew 2-2 in the Premier League on 6 Sep 2026. Everton had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Manchester United.

Manchester United have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%3.40
X
29%3.60
2
36%2.10
Double Chance
1X
64%1.73
X2
65%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.53
No
35%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.64 = 2.93
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
60%1.68
Over 3.5
37%2.63
Under 1.5
17%4.50
Under 2.5
40%2.20
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.1 = 9.4
Over 8.5
57%1.44
Over 9.5
47%1.79
Over 10.5
31%2.21
Under 8.5
43%2.56
Under 9.5
53%2.00
Under 10.5
69%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.6 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.58
Over 4.5
33%2.13
Under 3.5
47%2.27
Under 4.5
67%1.65

Match Events

13'Harrison ArmstrongFoul
34'Brennan JohnsonFoul
46'Bryan MbeumoAssist: Kobbie Mainoo
62'Luke ShawFoul
64'Merlin RöhlFoul
66'Brennan Johnson INJack Grealish out
70'Matheus Cunha INBenjamin Šeško out
70'Marcus Rashford INPatrick Dorgu out
75'Merlin Röhl INHayden Hackney out
77'James Garner INAinsley Maitland-Niles out
79'Harry MaguireDissent
81'Diogo DalotFoul
83'Tyrique GeorgeAssist: Hayden Hackney
84'Kobbie Mainoo INAndrey Santos out
84'Diogo Dalot INLeny Yoro out
88'Benjamin ŠeškoAssist: Luke Shaw
90+1'Luke Shaw INNoussair Mazraoui out
90+6'Ainsley Maitland-Niles

Lineups

Everton
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Moyes
Manchester United
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Carrick
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.74
J. Pickford6.11J. Pickford
M. Röhl6.534M. Röhl
J. Tarkowski7.16J. Tarkowski
J. Branthwaite7.24J. Branthwaite
V. Mykolenko6.916V. Mykolenko
H. Armstrong6.245H. Armstrong
J. Garner6.637J. Garner
B. Johnson6.122B. Johnson
K. Dewsbury-Hall6.58K. Dewsbury-Hall
Tyrique George8.219T. George
T. Barry6.311T. Barry
S. Lammens6.71S. Lammens
Diogo Dalot6.12D. Dalot
H. Maguire6.35H. Maguire
Lisandro Martínez6.86L. Martínez
L. Shaw7.223L. Shaw
Y. Tielemans7.118Y. Tielemans
K. Mainoo7.737K. Mainoo
B. Mbeumo7.919B. Mbeumo
Bruno Fernandes6.38B. Fernandes
M. Rashford6.59M. Rashford
Matheus Cunha6.510M. Cunha

Everton Substitutes

58B. Graham
30H. Hackney75'for Merlin Röhl6.3
24C. Alcaraz
20T. Dibling
10J. Grealish66'for Brennan Johnson6.4
15J. O'Brien
5M. Keane
2A. Maitland-Niles77'for James Garner90+6'7.6
12M. Travers

Manchester United Substitutes

11J. Zirkzee
30B. Šeško70'for Matheus Cunha88'7.7
7M. Mount
13P. Dorgu70'for Marcus Rashford6.4
17Andrey Santos84'for Kobbie Mainoo6.3
15L. Yoro84'for Diogo Dalot6.4
3N. Mazraoui90+1'for Luke Shaw6.1
26A. Heaven
12K. Darlow

Match Stats

EvertonManchester United
45%Ball Possession55%
4Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
14Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box8
7Blocked Shots6
7Fouls11
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
418Total Passes527
361Passes Accurate458
86%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

EvertonEverton
Manchester UnitedManchester United
1844Elo Rating 1808
1.62Attack 1.12
1.92Defense 0.61
69%Hit Rate 27%
12.3Shots per Game 14.1
5.2Shots on Target 4.8
3.7Corners per Game 4.5
2.6Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EvertonEverton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Manchester UnitedManchester United
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

EvertonEverton2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
Manchester UnitedManchester United7Wins · 70%
2.5Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League23/02/2026
EvertonManchester United
01
Premier League24/11/2025
Manchester UnitedEverton
01
Premier League22/02/2025
EvertonManchester United
22
Premier League01/12/2024
Manchester UnitedEverton
40
Premier League09/03/2024
Manchester UnitedEverton
20
Premier League26/11/2023
EvertonManchester United
03
Premier League08/04/2023
Manchester UnitedEverton
20
FA Cup06/01/2023
Manchester UnitedEverton
31
Premier League09/10/2022
EvertonManchester United
12
Premier League09/04/2022
EvertonManchester United
10

Recent Form

EvertonEverton
5W3D2L
29/08/2026
BournemouthEverton
11
D
26/08/2026
PrestonEverton
04
W
22/08/2026
EvertonCrystal Palace
20
W
15/08/2026
EvertonLille
11
D
12/08/2026
NewcastleEverton
13
W
08/08/2026
VfB StuttgartEverton
31
L
01/08/2026
Hamburger SVEverton
12
W
28/07/2026
Stoke CityEverton
10
L
25/07/2026
BoltonEverton
00
D
18/07/2026
DundeeEverton
04
W
Manchester UnitedManchester United
5W1D4L
30/08/2026
Manchester UnitedIpswich
52
W
22/08/2026
Hull CityManchester United
20
L
15/08/2026
Manchester UnitedAC Milan
24
L
12/08/2026
LeedsManchester United
5141
L
08/08/2026
Paris Saint GermainManchester United
11
D
01/08/2026
Manchester UnitedAtletico Madrid
21
W
24/07/2026
RosenborgManchester United
05
W
18/07/2026
Manchester UnitedWrexham
01
L
24/05/2026
BrightonManchester United
03
W
17/05/2026
Manchester UnitedNottingham Forest
32
W

Referee Profile

J. Brooks177 matches

4.17Cards per match
4.04Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

J. Brooks4.17
Other referees3.79

4.17 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).

Cards come from 175 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal1090115:5+1027WWWWW
2BrightonBrighton1071226:7+1922WWLWW
3Manchester CityManchester City1070321:13+821LLLWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool1053214:10+418WLWWL
5ChelseaChelsea1051419:16+316LWLWW
6EvertonEverton1044212:10+216WWLLD
7BournemouthBournemouth1043316:14+215WWWWL
8BrentfordBrentford1035216:11+514LWDLD
9LeedsLeeds1035210:8+214WLDDL
10Aston VillaAston Villa1034314:17-313DDWWD
11TottenhamTottenham1033410:11-112LWWWD
12NewcastleNewcastle1033413:16-312DLWLL
13Hull CityHull City1025311:11011LDDLD
14IpswichIpswich1032515:20-511LDDLW
15FulhamFulham1024410:12-210DDWWL
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest102359:13-49WLDLL
17CoventryCoventry1030710:19-99LWLLW
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1015414:19-58DLLDD
19SunderlandSunderland102268:17-98WLDLL
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1021710:24-147LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal1015:527
2BrightonBrighton1026:722
3Manchester CityManchester City1021:1321
4LiverpoolLiverpool1014:1018
5ChelseaChelsea1019:1616
6EvertonEverton1012:1016
7BournemouthBournemouth1016:1415
8BrentfordBrentford1016:1114
9LeedsLeeds1010:814
10Aston VillaAston Villa1014:1713
11TottenhamTottenham1010:1112
12NewcastleNewcastle1013:1612
13Hull CityHull City1011:1111
14IpswichIpswich1015:2011
15FulhamFulham1010:1210
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest109:139
17CoventryCoventry1010:199
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1014:198
19SunderlandSunderland108:178
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1010:247
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Everton vs Manchester United forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Everton and Manchester United in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Everton are 6th and Manchester United 18th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Everton 12-10, Manchester United 14-19. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.