Middlesbrough vs Millwall Prediction

Middlesbrough
2-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Millwall
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough· R. Madley 15/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.56
SignalSTRONGModel70%RiskMediumGap+7.8%
Middlesbrough Rest
3 days
Millwall Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.45
X
27%4.60
2
22%6.10
Double Chance
1X
78%1.11
X2
50%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.07 = 2.49
Over 1.5
73%1.14
Over 2.5
50%1.53
Over 3.5
27%2.38
Under 1.5
27%5.00
Under 2.5
50%2.38
Under 3.5
73%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 4.4 = 11.3
Over 8.5
95%1.23
Over 9.5
83%1.44
Over 10.5
50%1.75
Under 8.5
5%3.47
Under 9.5
17%2.51
Under 10.5
50%1.96
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.5
49%1.85
Over 4.5
29%2.88
Under 3.5
51%1.88
Under 4.5
71%1.39

Match Events

11'Taïryk ArconteAssist: Camiel Neghli
36'Lyndon DykesAssist: Caleb Taylor
45'Sebastian Berhalter INKyle Joseph out
45'Neto Borges INMax Arfsten out
45'Tommy Conway INJeremy Sarmiento out
50'Amario Cozier-Duberry
56'Lyndon Dykes INElkan Baggott out
59'Derek Mazou SackoFoul
61'will lankshearAssist: Luke Ayling
66'Riley McGreeFoul
75'Jenson Metcalfe IND. Kelly out
75'Taïryk Arconte INZakariya Lovelace out
78'Riley McGree INMyles Peart-Harris out
84'Zak Sturge INLuke Cundle out
84'Mark Sykes INYanis Ali Issoufou out
85'Amario Cozier-Duberry INDavid Strelec out

Lineups

Middlesbrough
4-2-3-1Coach: K. Hellberg
Millwall
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Neil
R. Vítek1R. VítekR. Vítek
C. Brittain2C. BrittainC. Brittain
L. Ayling12L. AylingL. Ayling
A. Phillips4A. PhillipsA. Phillips
Neto Borges30N. BorgesNeto Borges
A. Morris10A. MorrisA. Morris
S. Berhalter6S. BerhalterS. Berhalter
A. Cozier-Duberry11A. Cozier-DuberryA. Cozier-Duberry
R. McGree8R. McGreeR. McGree
T. Conway9T. ConwayT. Conway
W. Lankshear7W. LankshearW. Lankshear
M. Crocombe15M. CrocombeM. Crocombe
J. Osei-Tutu2J. Osei-TutuJ. Osei-Tutu
C. Taylor6C. TaylorC. Taylor
J. Cooper5J. CooperJ. Cooper
Zak Norton Sturge3Z. Norton SturgeZak Norton Sturge
Jenson Metcalfe14J. MetcalfeJenson Metcalfe
D. Mazou-Sacko49D. Mazou-SackoD. Mazou-Sacko
M. Sykes17M. SykesM. Sykes
L. Dykes13L. DykesL. Dykes
C. Neghli10C. NeghliC. Neghli
T. Arconte7T. ArconteT. Arconte

Middlesbrough Substitutes

14M. Peart-HarrisM
21R. PukštasM
13D. StrelecF
16J. SarmientoF
17M. ArfstenD
31S. BrynnG
3S. ByramD
19Leo CastledineM
22K. JosephF

Millwall Substitutes

25L. CundleM
35Y. IssoufouF
16D. KellyM
29Z. LovelaceF
34F. MarschallG
44Alfie MasseyM
55Tristan ParkesD
12E. BaggottD
23D. BatthD

Match Stats

MiddlesbroughMillwall
80%Ball Possession20%
14Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box11
10Shots Outside Box0
10Blocked Shots1
3Fouls12
4Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves5
643Total Passes159
592Passes Accurate98
10Free Kicks3

Team Comparison

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
MillwallMillwall
1710Elo Rating 1666
1.86Attack 1.19
1.20Defense 0.76
61%Hit Rate 19%
16.2Shots per Game 12.2
5.5Shots on Target 3.2
4.5Corners per Game 3.5
1.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend41% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MillwallMillwall
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Middlesbrough 54%Draw 0%46% Millwall
2.42Avg Goals
41%BTTS Rate
64%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
3W1D1L
12/09/2026
MiddlesbroughNorwich
43
W
08/09/2026
Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough
30
L
05/09/2026
QPRMiddlesbrough
01
W
02/09/2026
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
11
D
29/08/2026
MiddlesbroughWest Brom
31
W
MillwallMillwall
1W0D4L
12/09/2026
BlackburnMillwall
31
L
08/09/2026
MillwallNewcastle
01
L
05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
40
W
02/09/2026
MillwallWrexham
03
L
29/08/2026
SouthamptonMillwall
51
L

Referee Profile

R. Madley · 139 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.2Avg Cards
22.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 30% of referees analysed

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1West HamWest Ham742120:9+1114WWWWD
2SwanseaSwansea742111:5+614WLDWW
3West BromWest Brom742110:7+314DWWDL
4MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough641112:8+413WWDWL
5QPRQPR73318:5+312DDLWW
6CharltonCharlton73316:7-112DDLDW
7WolvesWolves632114:10+411WDLWW
8SouthamptonSouthampton742118:8+1010WWDDW
9BirminghamBirmingham724110:9+110WLDDW
10Stoke CityStoke City731311:11010WDWWL
11Bristol CityBristol City631210:11-110LWWWD
12NorwichNorwich730413:1309LWWLW
13MillwallMillwall630311:1109LWLLW
14Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd72328:9-19LWLWD
15BlackburnBlackburn722310:1008WLLDL
16LincolnLincoln62225:6-18WDDWL
17WatfordWatford72237:9-28LWLLD
18PortsmouthPortsmouth62137:8-17DWLLW
19WrexhamWrexham71427:11-47LDDWL
20BoltonBolton72147:12-57WLLLL
21CardiffCardiff70437:11-44LDLLD
22DerbyDerby71156:13-74LLLWL
23PrestonPreston71066:13-73LLWLL
24BurnleyBurnley70348:16-83LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1West HamWest Ham720:914
2SwanseaSwansea711:514
3West BromWest Brom710:714
4MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough612:813
5QPRQPR78:512
6CharltonCharlton76:712
7WolvesWolves614:1011
8SouthamptonSouthampton718:810
9BirminghamBirmingham710:910
10Stoke CityStoke City711:1110
11Bristol CityBristol City610:1110
12NorwichNorwich713:139
13MillwallMillwall611:119
14Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd78:99
15BlackburnBlackburn710:108
16LincolnLincoln65:68
17WatfordWatford77:98
18PortsmouthPortsmouth67:87
19WrexhamWrexham77:117
20BoltonBolton77:127
21CardiffCardiff77:114
22DerbyDerby76:134
23PrestonPreston76:133
24BurnleyBurnley78:163
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Middlesbrough vs Millwall Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Championship

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Middlesbrough have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Middlesbrough and Millwall have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.42 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.