Millwall vs Newcastle Prediction

League CupEngland England · Round of 32
CupKnockout
Millwall
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Newcastle
The Den, London 08/09/2026
MillwallMillwall
0-1
Finished
NewcastleNewcastle

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.45
SignalHIGHModel68%RiskMediumGap+5.7%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.45
SignalHIGHModel74%RiskMediumGap+7.8%
Millwall Rest
3 days
Newcastle Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
9%6.50
X
18%4.65
2
73%1.45
Double Chance
1X
27%2.69
X2
91%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.73
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.92 + 1.87 = 2.79
Over 1.5
85%1.17
Over 2.5
55%1.60
Over 3.5
36%2.50
Under 1.5
15%4.75
Under 2.5
45%2.30
Under 3.5
64%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'Amar Dedić INValentino Livramento out
62'Romain Esse INYanis Ali Issoufou out
62'Zakariya Lovelace INTaïryk Arconte out
66'Yoane Wissa INMatias Fernandez-Pardo out
66'Jacob Murphy INAnthony Elanga out
67'Jenson MetcalfeFoul
69'Jacob RamseyFoul
81'Joe WillockAssist: Lewis Hall
83'Jacob Ramsey INLewis Miley out
87'Lyndon Dykes INRegan Monty Anderson out
87'D. Kelly INAlfie Massey out
88'Jordi Osei-Tutu INTristan Parkes out
90+1'Alfie MasseyFoul
90+1'Joe Willock INSean Steur out

Lineups

Millwall
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Neil
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Coach: Matthias Jaissle
F. Marschall34F. MarschallF. Marschall
J. Osei-Tutu2J. Osei-TutuJ. Osei-Tutu
C. Taylor6C. TaylorC. Taylor
J. Cooper5J. CooperJ. Cooper
E. Baggott12E. BaggottE. Baggott
D. Kelly16D. KellyD. Kelly
Jenson Metcalfe14J. MetcalfeJenson Metcalfe
R. Esse11R. EsseR. Esse
L. Dykes13L. DykesL. Dykes
C. Neghli10C. NeghliC. Neghli
Z. Lovelace29Z. LovelaceZ. Lovelace
L. Horníček21L. HorníčekL. Horníček
A. Dedić37A. DedićA. Dedić
F. Schär5F. SchärF. Schär
S. Botman4S. BotmanS. Botman
L. Hall3L. HallL. Hall
Nico González6N. GonzálezNico González
J. Ramsey41J. RamseyJ. Ramsey
J. Murphy23J. MurphyJ. Murphy
J. Willock28J. WillockJ. Willock
H. Barnes11H. BarnesH. Barnes
Y. Wissa9Y. WissaY. Wissa

Millwall Substitutes

7T. ArconteF
35Y. IssoufouF
44Alfie MasseyM
55Tristan ParkesD
3Zak Norton SturgeD
51S. T. VieiraM
57Regan Monty AndersonF
41G. EvansG
37G BeaumontM

Newcastle Substitutes

17B. TouréF
12M. ThiawD
14Sean SteurM
1N. PopeG
67L. MileyM
2T. LivramentoD
20M. Fernandez-PardoF
19A. ElangaF
8A. BambaM

Match Stats

MillwallNewcastle
37%Ball Possession63%
1Corner Kicks15
2Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots25
2Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box17
1Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots10
15Fouls12
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
275Total Passes462
203Passes Accurate393
12Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

MillwallMillwall
NewcastleNewcastle
1666Elo Rating 1835
1.19Attack 1.64
0.76Defense 1.25
19%Hit Rate 54%
12.2Shots per Game 13.2
3.2Shots on Target 4.4
3.5Corners per Game 7.6
1.9Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

MillwallMillwall
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NewcastleNewcastle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

MillwallMillwall
3W0D2L
05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
40
W
02/09/2026
MillwallWrexham
03
L
29/08/2026
SouthamptonMillwall
51
L
25/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedMillwall
01
W
22/08/2026
MillwallNorwich
30
W
NewcastleNewcastle
2W2D1L
05/09/2026
NewcastleBournemouth
22
D29/08/2026
TottenhamNewcastle
02
W26/08/2026
NewcastleWest Brom
32
W23/08/2026
NewcastleLiverpool
22
D
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
L

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Bristol City0
Walsall1
Wolves3
Port Vale0
Wycombe1
Stevenage2
Middlesbrough1
Wrexham0
Cambridge United2
Barnet1
QPR10
Millwall12
On penalties
AFC Wimbledon15
Newport County14
On penalties
Barnsley16
Wigan15
On penalties
Bristol Rovers0
Peterborough1
Bromley14
Reading15
On penalties
Burnley14
Notts County13
On penalties
Burton Albion1
Blackburn2
Cardiff3
Swindon Town2
Crewe2
Accrington ST1
Derby1
Lincoln2
Fleetwood Town1
Chesterfield0
Gillingham0
Luton3
Norwich4
Milton Keynes Dons1
Grimsby1
Blackpool3
Leicester1
Northampton0
Leyton Orient2
Oxford United0
Preston14
Huddersfield13
On penalties
Salford City13
Shrewsbury14
On penalties
Sheffield Wednesday1
Bolton0
Stockport County14
Doncaster15
On penalties
Stoke City2
Oldham0
Swansea0
Birmingham1
West Ham3
Portsmouth1
Bradford2
Rochdale0
Watford1
Crawley Town0
Cheltenham1
Charlton3
Colchester0
Southampton2
Rotherham1
West Brom4
Mansfield Town0
Sheffield Utd3
Plymouth2
Exeter City0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Ipswich
Seeded
Coventry
Seeded
Hull City
Seeded
Nottingham Forest
Seeded
Leeds
Seeded
Brentford
Seeded
Newcastle
Seeded
Tottenham
Seeded
Everton
Seeded
Chelsea
Seeded
Fulham
Seeded
Cardiff1
Norwich2
Doncaster1
Middlesbrough3
Barnsley3
Crewe2
Blackpool1
Lincoln4
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Ipswich3
Leicester1
Southampton1
West Ham4
Stevenage0
Reading3
Blackburn1
Sheffield Utd2
Fleetwood Town4
Shrewsbury0
Plymouth2
Coventry4
Sheffield Wednesday0
Wolves2
Stoke City14
Hull City15
On penalties
Walsall05
Leyton Orient06
On penalties
Watford1
Peterborough5
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Birmingham1
Brentford6
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Newcastle3
West Brom2
Tottenham5
Charlton1
Preston0
Everton4
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Bournemouth4
Lincoln0
Crystal Palace3
Middlesbrough0
Leyton Orient1
Bradford3
Sunderland1
Hull City0
Millwall0
Newcastle1
Chelsea6
Leeds3
Peterborough37
Barnsley36
On penalties
West Ham2
Fulham3
Liverpool3
Tottenham1
Reading1
Brentford2
Ipswich2
Arsenal4
Everton-
Wolves-
16/09/2026
Fleetwood Town-
Sheffield Utd-
16/09/2026
Coventry-
Aston Villa-
16/09/2026
Manchester United-
Brighton-
16/09/2026
Manchester City-
Norwich-
17/09/2026
Bournemouth4
Lincoln0
Crystal Palace3
Middlesbrough0
Leyton Orient1
Bradford3
Sunderland1
Hull City0
Millwall0
Newcastle1
Chelsea6
Leeds3
Peterborough37
Barnsley36
On penalties
West Ham2
Fulham3
Liverpool3
Tottenham1
Reading1
Brentford2
Ipswich2
Arsenal4
Everton-
Wolves-
16/09/2026
Fleetwood Town-
Sheffield Utd-
16/09/2026
Coventry-
Aston Villa-
16/09/2026
Manchester United-
Brighton-
16/09/2026
Manchester City-
Norwich-
17/09/2026

Millwall vs Newcastle Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Millwall and Newcastle have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.