Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 3
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin, Bogota· Sebastian Toro Gomez, Colombia 05/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.62SignalGOODModel61%RiskMediumGap+7.7%
Millonarios Rest
3 days
Deportivo Pasto Rest
3 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
160%1.45
X26%4.08
214%6.90
Double Chance
1X86%1.09
X240%2.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes38%2.05
No62%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 0.74 = 2.06
Over 1.567%1.29
Over 2.531%1.90
Over 3.512%3.25
Under 1.533%3.40
Under 2.569%1.85
Under 3.588%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4 = 10.4
Over 8.566%1.62
Over 9.552%1.96
Over 10.537%2.50
Under 8.534%2.22
Under 9.548%1.75
Under 10.563%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.7 = 5.3
Over 3.574%-
Over 4.557%-
Under 3.526%-
Under 4.543%-
Match Events
11'A. Llinas
20'E. C. Serje Orozco
20'R. Urena
21'F. Bustos
25'A. LlinasAssist: F. Chaverra
27'J. Micolta Piedahita
29'J. Micolta Piedahita INM. S. Jimenez out
32'E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
34'L. Castro(Penalty missed)
47'J. Quinones
63'L. CastroAssist: R. Contreras
66'S. Cordoba INJ. Obregon out
66'D. Chavez INA. Ibarguen out
66'J. Quinones INH. Mancilla out
69'L. Castro IND. Ruiz out
70'M. Garcia INS. Viveros out
75'S. Valencia INA. Estupinan out
83'J. Arias
83'F. Chaverra IND. Banguero out
84'R. Contreras IND. Silva out
85'E. C. Serje Orozco INF. Martinez out
Lineups
MillonariosDeportivo Pasto
4-4-2Coach: Jonathan Risueno
1J. BurraiJavier Burrai
34J. GuerreroJhonier Guerrero
26A. LlinásAndrés Llinás
6S. MosqueraSergio Mosquera
17J. AriasJorge Arias
22S. ValenciaSebastián Valencia
13F. ChaverraFrancisco Chaverra
19M. GarcíaMateo García
18R. UreñaRodrigo Ureña
23L. CastroLeonardo Castro
27R. ContrerasRodrigo Contreras
1E. CabezasEderson Cabezas
33M. GaravitoMateo Garavito
36J. QuiñonesJulián Quiñones
5N. Gil UribeNicolas Gil Uribe
27H. GoyesHervin Goyes
18J. MicoltaJoider Micolta
8E. SerjeEnrique Serje
23Y. GóezYeiler Góez
16M. GilMayer Gil
10D. ChávezDiego Chávez
29S. CórdobaSantiago CórdobaMillonarios Substitutes
10Daniel RuizF
30Sebastián del CastilloM
11Andrey EstupiñánF
20Danovis BangueroD
14David Macalister SilvaM
31Jhostin DiazG
3Samuel MartínD
4Stiven BarreiroD
25Darwin QuinteroM
Deportivo Pasto Substitutes
6Santiago JiménezD
11Andrés IbargüenF
15Harrinson MancillaM
9Jorge ObregónF
35Frank MartínezM
12Geovanni BangueraG
3Joyce OssaD
17John MéndezF
19Patrick PreciadoF
Match Stats
MillonariosDeportivo Pasto 33%Ball Possession67%
7Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots5
10Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
20Fouls11
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves8
244Total Passes521
186Passes Accurate460
76%Pass Accuracy88%
Team Comparison
MillonariosDeportivo Pasto1636Elo Rating 1468
1.29Attack 1.19
1.81Defense 1.22
27%Hit Rate 27%
13.1Shots per Game 12.5
6.9Shots on Target 4.4
5.0Corners per Game 4.4
2.8Cards per Game 4.2
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+168 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Millonarios- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo Pasto- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Millonarios 56%Draw 17%27% Deportivo Pasto
1.66Avg Goals
41%BTTS Rate
41%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Millonarios2W0D3L
02/08/2026
JuniorMillonariosMillonarios
Bucaramanga
JuniorMillonarios01
W26/07/2026MillonariosBucaramanga01
L19/07/2026Millonarios
Colo Colo
MillonariosColo Colo01
L11/07/2026
UniversitarioMillonarios
UniversitarioMillonarios20
L30/05/2026
Depor FCMillonarios
Depor FCMillonarios18
WDeportivo Pasto1W0D4L
01/08/2026Deportivo Pasto
Águilas Doradas
Independiente MedellinDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo PastoÁguilas Doradas12
L29/07/2026
Bogota FCDeportivo Pasto
25/07/2026Bogota FCDeportivo Pasto03
WIndependiente MedellinDeportivo Pasto32
L22/07/2026Deportivo PastoBogota FC
Deportivo PastoBogota FC01
L14/05/2026Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima02
LReferee Profile
Sebastian Toro Gomez, Colombia · 8 matches analysed
5.0Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
24.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 86% of referees analysed
League Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDDWD |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WWLWD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | LWLLD |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | DDWDW |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWLDW |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | LWWLW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | DDWLD |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DWLWD |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | WDDDW |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DDLLW |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DLWLD |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LLWLW |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DDLLD |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLLWL |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | LWDLL |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LDDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:5 | +15 | 20 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Millonarios | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 19 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | +11 | 18 | LWWLW |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | +6 | 16 | LWLLD |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 16 | DDWLD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | WLWDL |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | +4 | 14 | WDDDW |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 12 | DWLDW |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 12 | WWLWD |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 | DWLWD |
| 11 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 | DDLLW |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 | DDWDW |
| 13 | Cucuta | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 | LWDLL |
| 14 | Fortaleza FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 | DDLLD |
| 16 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Jaguares | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 | LDDLL |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 | WDDWD |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 20:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Millonarios | 11 | 15:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional | 7 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 9 | 16:10 | 16 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 8 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 12:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 8 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 9 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 8 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 9 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 10 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Cucuta | 9 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza FC | 9 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 10 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Chico | 9 | 7:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Jaguares | 8 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 8 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 9 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 8:13 | 3 |
Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera A
ScorePredicts covers Colombia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Millonarios and Deportivo Pasto have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.66 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.