Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction

Estádio Arsenio Erico, Asunción·Mario Alberto Diaz De Vivar 13/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
Nacional Asuncion Rest
6 days
Deportivo Recoleta Rest
7 days

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta: the result in context

Nacional Asuncion beat Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 in the Division Profesional - Clausura on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.74
X
24%3.60
2
23%4.35
Double Chance
1X
77%1.19
X2
47%1.98
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

41'Penalty confirmedHugo Adrián Benítez
41'Wilfrido BaezDissent
42'Pedro David Ríos GaleanoFoul
43'Hugo Adrián Benítez(Penalty missed)
45'Ronal Iván Domínguez Colmán INJosé Espínola out
52'Renzo José Martino Campuzano INR. Ortiz out
53'Wilfrido Baez INManuel Shupp Astigarraga out
56'Leandro MezaAssist: Carlos Espinola
67'Juan FrancoFoul
68'Sebastian Vargas INGaston Benitez out
76'Leandro Meza INJordan·Santacruz out
76'Hugo Adrián Benítez INIgnacio Bailone out
76'Aldo Walmor González Román INThiago Vidal out
79'R. Ortiz INKevin Daniel Parzajuk Rodríguez out
85'Josué Colmán INHugo Valdez out
85'Fabrizio Jara INRoberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez out
90+1'Rodrigo MelgarejoFoul

Lineups

Nacional Asuncion
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Bernay
Deportivo Recoleta
4-4-2Coach: J. González
Avg rating7.07
Avg rating6.51
S. Rojas7.930S. Rojas
C. Espínola7.323C. Espínola
R. Melgarejo7.222R. Melgarejo
M. Coronel8.03M. Coronel
S. Vargas7.629S. Vargas
F. Jara6.38F. Jara
Á. Cardozo Lucena7.115Á. Cardozo Lucena
O. Gaona7.233O. Gaona
L. Meza8.213L. Meza
J. Colmán6.410J. Colmán
H. Benítez6.69H. Benítez
O. Toledo7.613O. Toledo
F. A. Echeguren Zarza6.92F. A. Echeguren Zarza
N. Marotta6.65N. Marotta
L. Monzón6.932L. Monzón
P. Rios6.518P. Rios
B. Ferreira6.436B. Ferreira
R. Domínguez6.47R. Domínguez
J. Franco6.338J. Franco
W. Báez6.817W. Báez
2525R. José Martino Campuzano
A. González5.933A. González

Nacional Asuncion Substitutes

20Rodolfo Arguello
11Matías Facundo Almeida Martínez
7I. Bailone76'for Hugo Adrián Benítez6.5
5G. Benítez68'for Sebastian Vargas6.9
39D. Caballero
36F. Pelozo
32F. Pumpido
25Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez85'for Fabrizio Jara6.8
17J. Santacruz76'for Leandro Meza6.8
18I. Valdez85'for Josué Colmán6.5
38T. Vega
35Elias Enrique Villlar Fleitas

Deportivo Recoleta Substitutes

8F. Galeano
21C. Garay
1A. Marsegno
15B. Medina
23J. Núñez
9R. Ortiz52'replaced by Renzo José Martino Campuzano79'for Kevin Daniel Parzajuk Rodríguez6.6
11K. Parzajuk79'replaced by R. Ortiz6.3
4M. Pereira
31M. Shupp53'for Wilfrido Baez6.3
10A. Silva
24T. Vidal76'for Aldo Walmor González Román6.1
6J. Espínola45'for Ronal Iván Domínguez Colmán6.7

Match Stats

Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
13Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots1
10Fouls12
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves5
373Total Passes301
303Passes Accurate236
12Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
1642Elo Rating 1453
1.10Attack 0.89
2.28Defense 2.24
42%Hit Rate 41%
11.9Shots per Game 12.4
3.9Shots on Target 2.3
5.3Corners per Game 6.3
2.4Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+189 Elo
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1Wins · 17%
Draws350%
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta2Wins · 33%
2.8Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Division Profesional - Clausura03/08/2026
Deportivo RecoletaNacional Asuncion
32
Division Profesional - Apertura24/04/2026
Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
21
CONMEBOL Sudamericana05/03/2026
Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
4151
Division Profesional - Apertura27/02/2026
Deportivo RecoletaNacional Asuncion
22
Division Profesional - Apertura22/04/2025
Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
11
Division Profesional - Apertura08/02/2025
Deportivo RecoletaNacional Asuncion
10

Recent Form

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
6W2D2L
07/10/2026
OlimpiaNacional Asuncion
11
D
30/09/2026
Independiente F.b.c.Nacional Asuncion
4232
L
26/09/2026
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
11
D
18/09/2026
Nacional Asuncion2 de Mayo
30
W
13/09/2026
Rubio NUNacional Asuncion
01
W
07/09/2026
Cerro PortenoNacional Asuncion
10
L
02/09/2026
Nacional AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
30
W
28/08/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoNacional Asuncion
03
W
24/08/2026
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
20
W
18/08/2026
Benjamín AcevalNacional Asuncion
02
W
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
2W1D7L
05/10/2026
Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion
12
L
28/09/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoDeportivo Recoleta
00
D
24/09/2026
Deportivo RecoletaGuairena FC
31
W
20/09/2026
Sportivo LuquenoDeportivo Recoleta
10
L
12/09/2026
Deportivo RecoletaSportivo Trinidense
13
L
07/09/2026
Club GuaraniDeportivo Recoleta
20
L
03/09/2026
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteno
13
L
29/08/2026
Deportivo RecoletaOlimpia
12
L
26/08/2026
Deportivo SantaniDeportivo Recoleta
02
W
22/08/2026
Sportivo AmelianoDeportivo Recoleta
31
L

Referee Profile

Mario Alberto Diaz De Vivar4 matches analysed

4.41Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 39% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia16103328:12+1633WWDDW
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1693426:14+1230WWDWW
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1693424:17+730WLDWL
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1685323:9+1429LWWDD
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1685318:17+129DLWWD
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1667318:14+425WLDDW
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1673623:17+624WDWLL
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1647519:21-219LDLLD
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno16511017:30-1316LWLLL
10Rubio NURubio NU1634915:27-1213LLDWD
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta16331016:28-1212DWLLD
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo1604128:29-214LLDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia1628:1233
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1626:1430
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1624:1730
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1623:929
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1618:1729
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1618:1425
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1623:1724
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1619:2119
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1617:3016
10Rubio NURubio NU1615:2713
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1616:2812
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo168:294
Promotion

About the Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta forecast

The forecasts for this Division Profesional - Clausura match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nacional Asuncion and Deportivo Recoleta in the Division Profesional - Clausura table

The table shows a wide gap: Nacional Asuncion are 4th in the Division Profesional - Clausura, while Deportivo Recoleta sit 11th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Nacional Asuncion 23-9, Deportivo Recoleta 16-28. The full standings are on the Division Profesional - Clausura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.