Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani Prediction

Dr. Nicolás Leoz, Asunción·Derlis Lopez 12/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Libertad Asuncion Rest
6 days
Club Guarani Rest
8 days

Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani: result, form and history

Libertad Asuncion and Club Guarani drew 2-2 in the Division Profesional - Clausura on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Club Guarani tend to win more corners, 5.6 a game to 3.3 for Libertad Asuncion.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.05
X
28%3.21
2
27%3.50
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
55%1.70
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'Gustavo Aguilar
21'Maximiliano Nahuel Añasco Dornells
25'Victor·CespedesFoul
45'Robert Rojas INThiago Ismael Fernández Martínez out
45'Martín Maldonado INDiego·Fernandez out
56'Federico CarrizoOG
61'Federico Carrizo INAgustín Manzur out
61'Hugo Fernandez INIvan Emanuel Ramirez Ferreira out
61'Ivan Franco INRodrigo Villalba out
65'Maximiliano Nahuel Añasco Dornells INMiguel Jacquet out
74'Penalty confirmedAlan Benítez
75'Jorge RecaldeDissent
75'Cristian Leandro AllendeDissent
77'Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez(Penalty)
81'Victor·Cespedes INFernando Fernandez out
81'Jorge Recalde INThiago Ezequiel Romero out
83'Gustavo Aguilar INMarcelo Fernández out
85'L. MartínezFoul
87'Giovanni Emanuel Gómez Lezcano INJ. Llano out
90+3'Agustín ManzurFoul

Lineups

Libertad Asuncion
4-4-2Coach: Nelson Valdez
Club Guarani
4-1-4-1Coach: F. Arce
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.44
R. Morínigo6.812R. Morínigo
A. Benítez6.92A. Benítez
R. Rojas6.53R. Rojas
G. Flores7.05G. Flores
N. Giménez6.14N. Giménez
F. Carrizo6.38F. Carrizo
H. Fernández6.220H. Fernández
L. Sanabria6.921L. Sanabria
I. Franco6.019I. Franco
G. Aguilar8.09G. Aguilar
E. Vera7.811E. Vera
M. Martínez7.131M. Martínez
A. Méndez6.24A. Méndez
I. Segovia6.32I. Segovia
T. Servín6.615T. Servín
L. Allende5.433L. Allende
L. Martínez6.736L. Martínez
M. Maldonado5.934M. Maldonado
M. Añasco8.110M. Añasco
G. Gómez6.325G. Gómez
V. Céspedes6.017V. Céspedes
J. Recalde6.49J. Recalde

Libertad Asuncion Substitutes

13J. Bogarín
30O. Acuña
38J. Estigarribia Meza
28M. Fernández83'for Gustavo Aguilar6.6
31T. Fernández45'for Robert Rojas6.6
7A. Manzur61'for Federico Carrizo90+3'6.7
33C. Martínez
32L. Nequecaur
26I. Ramirez61'for Hugo Fernandez6.5
29V. Rojas
24R. Villalba61'for Ivan Franco6.4
22P. Villalba

Club Guarani Substitutes

12G. Dionisi
40F. Fernández81'for Victor·Cespedes6.5
26D. Fernández45'for Martín Maldonado6.5
11J. García
23M. Jacquet65'for Maximiliano Nahuel Añasco Dornells6.1
29F. Llano87'for Giovanni Emanuel Gómez Lezcano6.0
14R. Rodríguez
39C. Rolón
16Lucas Mario Romañach Doria
18T. Romero81'for Jorge Recalde6.8
22Javier Velazquez Palma
21C. Arrúa

Match Stats

Libertad AsuncionClub Guarani
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal8
10Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots0
12Fouls11
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves6
530Total Passes377
446Passes Accurate289
84%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
Club GuaraniClub Guarani
1559Elo Rating 1541
0.99Attack 1.24
2.07Defense 1.99
44%Hit Rate 41%
13.1Shots per Game 15.0
4.2Shots on Target 4.7
3.3Corners per Game 5.6
2.4Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Club GuaraniClub Guarani
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Club GuaraniClub Guarani3Wins · 30%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Division Profesional - Clausura02/08/2026
Club GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
21
Division Profesional - Apertura06/04/2026
Club GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
10
Division Profesional - Apertura08/02/2026
Libertad AsuncionClub Guarani
33
Copa Paraguay02/10/2025
Libertad AsuncionClub Guarani
3242
Division Profesional - Apertura19/04/2025
Libertad AsuncionClub Guarani
13
Division Profesional - Apertura10/02/2025
Club GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
01
Division Profesional - Apertura07/04/2024
Libertad AsuncionClub Guarani
21
Division Profesional - Apertura22/01/2024
Club GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
11
Division Profesional - Apertura14/04/2023
Club GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
00
Division Profesional - Apertura26/01/2023
Libertad AsuncionClub Guarani
10

Recent Form

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
6W2D2L
05/10/2026
Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion
12
W
29/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionOlimpia
01
L
23/09/2026
Fernando De La MoraLibertad Asuncion
2131
W
19/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
11
D
11/09/2026
2 de MayoLibertad Asuncion
02
W
06/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionRubio NU
42
W
02/09/2026
Nacional AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
30
L
30/08/2026
Cerro PortenoLibertad Asuncion
11
D
24/08/2026
Libertad AsuncionClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
W
20/08/2026
TacuaryLibertad Asuncion
3040
W
Club GuaraniClub Guarani
3W5D2L
03/10/2026
Club GuaraniClub Sp. San Lorenzo
11
D
25/09/2026
Sportivo LuquenoClub Guarani
01
W
18/09/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseClub Guarani
01
W
12/09/2026
Club GuaraniCerro Porteno
11
D
07/09/2026
Club GuaraniDeportivo Recoleta
20
W
02/09/2026
OlimpiaClub Guarani
11
D
30/08/2026
Club GuaraniSportivo Ameliano
11
D
25/08/2026
2 de MayoClub Guarani
00
D
15/08/2026
Club GuaraniRubio NU
23
L
12/08/2026
Sportivo ItenoClub Guarani
21
L

Referee Profile

Derlis Lopez114 matches

5.02Cards per match
4.62Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Derlis Lopez5.02
Other referees4.90

5.02 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia16103328:12+1633WWDDW
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1693426:14+1230WWDWW
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1693424:17+730WLDWL
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1685323:9+1429LWWDD
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1685318:17+129DLWWD
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1667318:14+425WLDDW
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1673623:17+624WDWLL
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1647519:21-219LDLLD
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno16511017:30-1316LWLLL
10Rubio NURubio NU1634915:27-1213LLDWD
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta16331016:28-1212DWLLD
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo1604128:29-214LLDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia1628:1233
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1626:1430
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1624:1730
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1623:929
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1618:1729
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1618:1425
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1623:1724
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1619:2119
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1617:3016
10Rubio NURubio NU1615:2713
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1616:2812
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo168:294
Promotion

About the Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Libertad Asuncion and Club Guarani in the Division Profesional - Clausura table

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Libertad Asuncion are 3rd and Club Guarani 6th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Libertad Asuncion 24-17, Club Guarani 18-14. The full standings are on the Division Profesional - Clausura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.