Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense Prediction

Estádio Arsenio Erico, Asunción·Blas Romero 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
Nacional Asuncion Rest
7 days
Sportivo Trinidense Rest
5 days

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense: result, form and history

Sportivo Trinidense beat Nacional Asuncion 1-0 in the Division Profesional - Clausura on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.30
X
29%3.10
2
29%3.00
Double Chance
1X
71%1.33
X2
58%1.56
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'Nelson Ariel Gauto CastilloFoul
31'José Gabriel Arrúa OvelarDissent
52'Hugo Adrián BenítezFoul
61'Nicolás Maná INJunior Samuel Gamarra Figueredo out
65'Hugo Valdez INIgnacio Bailone out
69'Luis Carlos Abreu Benegas INLuis De la Cruz out
69'Diego Melgarejo INSergio Mendoza out
76'Goal cancelledJunior Samuel Gamarra Figueredo
77'Mauro Alexis Coronel GomezFoul
77'Thomas GutierrezDissent
79'Fabrizio Jara INOrlando Gaona Lugo out
79'Josué Colmán INMatías Facundo Almeida Martínez out
82'Clementino González INDeivis Faustino Barone Mora out
82'Nelson Ariel Gauto Castillo INNéstor Camacho out
85'Rodrigo MelgarejoFoul
90+2'Junior Samuel Gamarra Figueredo

Lineups

Nacional Asuncion
4-1-4-1Coach: V. Bernay
Sportivo Trinidense
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Arrúa
Avg rating6.19
Avg rating6.45
S. Rojas6.930S. Rojas
C. Espínola5.623C. Espínola
R. Melgarejo6.822R. Melgarejo
M. Coronel5.93M. Coronel
S. Vargas5.929S. Vargas
Á. Cardozo Lucena5.815Á. Cardozo Lucena
J. Colmán6.510J. Colmán
F. Jara5.78F. Jara
L. Meza6.413L. Meza
I. Valdez6.418I. Valdez
H. Benítez6.19H. Benítez
V. Samudio6.712V. Samudio
C. Benítez6.123C. Benítez
A. da Silveira6.440A. da Silveira
A. Cañete6.56A. Cañete
D. Melgarejo6.64D. Melgarejo
N. Gauto6.35N. Gauto
G. Viera6.121G. Viera
N. Maná6.310N. Maná
L. Abreu5.711L. Abreu
A. Morinigo6.231A. Morinigo
C. González5.920C. González

Nacional Asuncion Substitutes

7I. Bailone65'for Hugo Valdez6.3
11Matías Facundo Almeida Martínez79'replaced by Josué Colmán
38T. Vega
5G. Benítez
35Elias Enrique Villlar Fleitas
33O. Gaona79'for Fabrizio Jara6.3
4T. Gutiérrez77'
36F. Pelozo
32F. Pumpido
25Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez
17J. Santacruz
6S. Torales

Sportivo Trinidense Substitutes

13Deivis Faustino Barone Mora82'replaced by Clementino González
7N. Camacho82'for Nelson Ariel Gauto Castillo6.6
19A. Cano
30R. Cornet
1M. Dufour
22J. Gamarra61'for Nicolás Maná90+2'7.8
9O. Giménez
37L. Gonzalez
14S. Mendoza69'for Diego Melgarejo6.6
2A. Ruiz Díaz
3D. Villalba
8L. de la Cruz69'for Luis Carlos Abreu Benegas6.7

Match Stats

Nacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks14
4Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots14
1Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots3
11Fouls10
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
366Total Passes282
253Passes Accurate160
8Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense
1642Elo Rating 1601
1.10Attack 1.47
2.28Defense 2.33
42%Hit Rate 81%
11.9Shots per Game 14.4
3.9Shots on Target 4.3
5.3Corners per Game 7.2
2.4Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense3Wins · 30%
1.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Division Profesional - Clausura15/08/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
11
Division Profesional - Apertura10/05/2026
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
21
Division Profesional - Apertura09/03/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
11
Copa Paraguay03/10/2025
Sportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
2040
Division Profesional - Apertura21/05/2025
Sportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
20
Division Profesional - Apertura18/03/2025
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
11
Division Profesional - Apertura11/05/2024
Sportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
01
Division Profesional - Apertura19/02/2024
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
21
Division Profesional - Apertura11/06/2023
Sportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
21
Division Profesional - Apertura08/04/2023
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
01

Recent Form

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
6W2D2L
17/10/2026
Club GuaraniNacional Asuncion
02
W
13/10/2026
Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
10
W
07/10/2026
OlimpiaNacional Asuncion
11
D
30/09/2026
Independiente F.b.c.Nacional Asuncion
4232
L
26/09/2026
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
11
D
18/09/2026
Nacional Asuncion2 de Mayo
30
W
13/09/2026
Rubio NUNacional Asuncion
01
W
07/09/2026
Cerro PortenoNacional Asuncion
10
L
02/09/2026
Nacional AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
30
W
28/08/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoNacional Asuncion
03
W
Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense
5W1D4L
19/10/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseLibertad Asuncion
10
W
10/10/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoSportivo Trinidense
11
D
05/10/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Luqueno
32
W
27/09/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseCerro Porteno
21
W
18/09/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseClub Guarani
01
L
12/09/2026
Deportivo RecoletaSportivo Trinidense
13
W
06/09/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseOlimpia
12
L
02/09/2026
Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Trinidense
03
W
29/08/2026
Sportivo Trinidense2 de Mayo
01
L
25/08/2026
SOL DE AmericaSportivo Trinidense
21
L

Referee Profile

Blas Romero63 matches

4.78Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Blas Romero4.78
Other referees4.54

4.78 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.54).

Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia16103328:12+1633WWDDW
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1693426:14+1230WWDWW
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1693424:17+730WLDWL
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1685323:9+1429LWWDD
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1685318:17+129DLWWD
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1667318:14+425WLDDW
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1673623:17+624WDWLL
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1647519:21-219LDLLD
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno16511017:30-1316LWLLL
10Rubio NURubio NU1634915:27-1213LLDWD
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta16331016:28-1212DWLLD
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo1604128:29-214LLDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia1628:1233
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1626:1430
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1624:1730
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1623:929
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1618:1729
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1618:1425
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1623:1724
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1619:2119
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1617:3016
10Rubio NURubio NU1615:2713
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1616:2812
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo168:294
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About the Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nacional Asuncion and Sportivo Trinidense in the Division Profesional - Clausura table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Sportivo Trinidense are 2nd in the Division Profesional - Clausura, 1 point ahead of Nacional Asuncion in 4th. League goal record so far: Nacional Asuncion 23-9, Sportivo Trinidense 26-14. The full standings are on the Division Profesional - Clausura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.