Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno Prediction

Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo·Derlis Lopez 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-1.4%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Rest
7 days
Cerro Porteno Rest
7 days

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno: result, form and history

Cerro Porteno beat Club Sp. San Lorenzo 3-1 in the Division Profesional - Clausura on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Cerro Porteno had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Cerro Porteno have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. Cerro Porteno tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 4.3 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
13%7.20
X
20%4.33
2
67%1.40
Double Chance
1X
33%2.81
X2
87%1.08
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Leandro EstecheOG
36'Pablo VegettiAssist: Derlis Osmar Rodríguez Maciel
41'Luis CáceresArgument
45'R. Amarilla INKevin Ferreira Gonzalez out
45'Ángel Benítez INLucas Andres Cohener Gonzalez out
45'Santiago Salcedo INMarcelo Augusto Ferreira Bordón out
45+2'Goal cancelledIván Ramírez
47'J. Barrios
51'Cesar BobadillaFoul
51'Lucas MerollaFoul
65'Derlis Osmar Rodríguez Maciel INIgnacio Aliseda out
65'Cesar Bobadilla INPablo Gamarra out
66'Hugo GonzálezFoul
77'Mateo Klimowicz INA. Cañete out
78'Carlos Daniel Meza Montiel INI Fretes out
78'Hugo González INElias Ortiz out
83'Jorge MorelDissent
84'Alexis DoldánHandball
86'Pablo Vegetti INSergio Araujo out
86'Carlos Rubén Chena Báez INGastón Giménez out
90+1'Ignacio AlisedaAssist: Sergio Araujo
90+5'Marcelo Augusto Ferreira BordónFoul

Lineups

Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4-4-2Coach: S. Orteman
Cerro Porteno
4-1-4-1Coach: G. Costas
Avg rating6.11
Avg rating6.99
L. Franco6.631L. Franco
L. Esteche5.42L. Esteche
Luis Fernando Cáceres Maciel6.519L. Fernando Cáceres Maciel
A. Doldán6.24A. Doldán
D. Meza Montiel6.220D. Meza Montiel
R. Amarilla5.98R. Amarilla
Á. Benítez5.716Á. Benítez
H. Gonzalez6.021H. Gonzalez
P. Gerzel5.328P. Gerzel
S. Salcedo6.37S. Salcedo
J. Barrios7.69J. Barrios
A. Martínez7.212A. Martínez
I. Ramírez7.716I. Ramírez
G. Velázquez7.023G. Velázquez
L. Merolla7.46L. Merolla
B. Riveros7.115B. Riveros
J. Morel6.55J. Morel
D. Rodríguez6.97D. Rodríguez
C. Bobadilla6.532C. Bobadilla
C. Chena7.034C. Chena
M. Klimowicz7.240M. Klimowicz
P. Vegetti8.119P. Vegetti

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Substitutes

39Lucas Andres Cohener Gonzalez45'replaced by Ángel Benítez66'78'replaced by Elias Ortiz
33Gustavo Luis Centurion Villalba
25K. Fernández
23M. Ferreira45'for Santiago Salcedo90+5'6.3
22K. Ferreira45'for R. Amarilla5.8
13Isaias Fretes78'for Carlos Daniel Meza Montiel6.5
27Elias Ortiz78'for Hugo González5.8
5T. Paredes
38Iovan Darko Roganovich
37Santiago Exequiel Salcedo Bernatto
6H. Villamayor
24Matias Aguero

Cerro Porteno Substitutes

31I. Aliseda65'for Derlis Osmar Rodríguez Maciel90+1'7.3
20E. Almendra
21S. Araújo86'for Pablo Vegetti6.8
4A. Cañete77'for Mateo Klimowicz6.6
35M. Chaparro
38Amín Cristaldo
28C. Franco
18A. Gamarra65'for Cesar Bobadilla6.3
30G. Giménez86'for Carlos Rubén Chena Báez6.4
1M. Roffo
39L. J. Servin
27J. Torres

Match Stats

Club Sp. San LorenzoCerro Porteno
53%Ball Possession47%
5Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots20
5Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal10
4Shots Inside Box13
7Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots4
11Fouls10
2Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves4
404Total Passes471
326Passes Accurate389
8Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
1378Elo Rating 1614
1.36Attack 1.86
1.37Defense 1.53
0%Hit Rate 34%
12.7Shots per Game 14.6
3.5Shots on Target 5.9
4.3Corners per Game 7.8
2.8Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno3Wins · 75%
3.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Copa Paraguay15/10/2026
Cerro PortenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
5232
Division Profesional - Clausura16/08/2026
Cerro PortenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
Division Profesional - Apertura29/03/2026
Cerro PortenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
20
Division Profesional - Apertura28/01/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoCerro Porteno
24

Recent Form

Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
1W3D6L
19/10/2026
Sportivo LuquenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
32
L
15/10/2026
Cerro PortenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
5232
L
10/10/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoSportivo Trinidense
11
D
03/10/2026
Club GuaraniClub Sp. San Lorenzo
11
D
28/09/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoDeportivo Recoleta
00
D
23/09/2026
Club Sp. San Lorenzo4 de Mayo
21
W
20/09/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoOlimpia
03
L
11/09/2026
Sportivo AmelianoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
L
05/09/2026
Club Sp. San Lorenzo2 de Mayo
12
L
01/09/2026
Rubio NUClub Sp. San Lorenzo
31
L
Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
6W2D2L
18/10/2026
Cerro PortenoSportivo Ameliano
22
D
15/10/2026
Cerro PortenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
5232
W
11/10/2026
Sportivo LuquenoCerro Porteno
03
W
06/10/2026
Cerro Porteno2 de Mayo
02
L
01/10/2026
Cerro PortenoRubio NU
21
W
27/09/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseCerro Porteno
21
L
19/09/2026
Cerro PortenoRubio NU
10
W
12/09/2026
Club GuaraniCerro Porteno
11
D
07/09/2026
Cerro PortenoNacional Asuncion
10
W
03/09/2026
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteno
13
W

Referee Profile

Derlis Lopez114 matches

5.02Cards per match
4.62Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Derlis Lopez5.02
Other referees4.90

5.02 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia16103328:12+1633WWDDW
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1693426:14+1230WWDWW
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1693424:17+730WLDWL
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1685323:9+1429LWWDD
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1685318:17+129DLWWD
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1667318:14+425WLDDW
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1673623:17+624WDWLL
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1647519:21-219LDLLD
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno16511017:30-1316LWLLL
10Rubio NURubio NU1634915:27-1213LLDWD
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta16331016:28-1212DWLLD
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo1604128:29-214LLDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia1628:1233
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1626:1430
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1624:1730
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1623:929
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1618:1729
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1618:1425
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1623:1724
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1619:2119
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1617:3016
10Rubio NURubio NU1615:2713
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1616:2812
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo168:294
Promotion

About the Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Cerro Porteno in the Division Profesional - Clausura table

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Cerro Porteno are 7th and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 12th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 8-29, Cerro Porteno 23-17. The full standings are on the Division Profesional - Clausura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cerro Porteno have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.