Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno Prediction

Dr. Nicolás Leoz, Asunción·Juan Gabriel Benitez 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Libertad Asuncion Rest
5 days
Sportivo Luqueno Rest
5 days

Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno: the result in context

Libertad Asuncion beat Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 in the Division Profesional - Clausura on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Libertad Asuncion have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Referee Juan Gabriel Benitez averages 4.22 cards a game, 0.54 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.50
X
21%4.10
2
18%5.80
Double Chance
1X
82%1.11
X2
39%2.48
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

41'Jonathan Vidal Ramos BenitezFoul
45'M. Barreto INAdrián Brizuela out
53'Alvaro CampuzadoFoul
54'Gustavo Aguilar INIvan Emanuel Ramirez Ferreira out
54'Lucas Sanabria INFederico Carrizo out
55'Hugo Fernandez INLorenzo Melgarejo out
57'Samuel Beltrán INAldo Maiz out
67'Nestor Gimenez INJ. Estigarribia Meza out
70'Iván Maggi INWalter González out
70'Marcelo Ojeda INKevin Pereira out
70'Jonathan Vidal Ramos Benitez INLautaro Comas out
71'Lorenzo MelgarejoAssist: Federico Carrizo
75'Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez INRodrigo Villalba out
82'Lucas Ramón Barrios CáceresDissent
84'N. ValdezDissent
85'Fernando Benitez AguirreDissent
86'Walter GonzálezDissent
90+2'Rodrigo VillalbaFoul

Lineups

Libertad Asuncion
4-4-2Coach: Nelson Valdez
Sportivo Luqueno
4-3-3Coach: Lucas Barrios
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.41
R. Morínigo8.312R. Morínigo
A. Benítez6.92A. Benítez
G. Flores7.05G. Flores
T. Fernández7.631T. Fernández
N. Giménez6.64N. Giménez
H. Fernández6.620H. Fernández
Á. Campuzano6.36Á. Campuzano
L. Sanabria7.021L. Sanabria
I. Franco6.719I. Franco
G. Aguilar6.29G. Aguilar
E. Vera6.811E. Vera
N. Campisi6.11N. Campisi
S. Ocampos6.522S. Ocampos
M. Barreto6.62M. Barreto
F. Wiechniak6.86F. Wiechniak
A. Cantero6.523A. Cantero
F. Benitez6.114F. Benitez
G. Bogado6.910G. Bogado
S. Beltrán6.424S. Beltrán
M. Ojeda6.421M. Ojeda
I. Maggi6.220I. Maggi
J. Ramos5.925J. Ramos

Libertad Asuncion Substitutes

7A. Manzur
23N. Freire
28M. Fernández
38J. Estigarribia Meza67'replaced by Nestor Gimenez
8F. Carrizo54'for Lucas Sanabria7.7
1Á. González
33C. Martínez
10L. Melgarejo55'for Hugo Fernandez71'8.2
32L. Nequecaur
26I. Ramirez54'for Gustavo Aguilar6.5
22P. Villalba
24R. Villalba75'for Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez90+2'6.9

Sportivo Luqueno Substitutes

28A. Balbuena
18F. Bobadilla
3Á. Brizuela45'for M. Barreto6.6
37L. Comas70'for Jonathan Vidal Ramos Benitez6.4
40A. Espinola
30T. Franco
9W. González70'for Iván Maggi86'6.2
26O. Lopez
8A. Maíz57'for Samuel Beltrán6.4
29T. Muro
7K. Pereira70'for Marcelo Ojeda6.7
19M. Pérez

Match Stats

Libertad AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots16
4Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal9
11Shots Inside Box10
1Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots1
11Fouls4
1Offsides3
6Goalkeeper Saves3
511Total Passes265
410Passes Accurate167
4Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno
1559Elo Rating 1425
0.99Attack 1.16
2.07Defense 1.05
44%Hit Rate 23%
13.1Shots per Game 18.7
4.2Shots on Target 6.3
3.3Corners per Game 7.3
2.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+134 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion8Wins · 80%
Draws110%
Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1Wins · 10%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Division Profesional - Clausura16/08/2026
Sportivo LuquenoLibertad Asuncion
12
Division Profesional - Apertura11/05/2026
Sportivo LuquenoLibertad Asuncion
23
Division Profesional - Apertura08/03/2026
Libertad AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
10
Division Profesional - Apertura12/05/2025
Sportivo LuquenoLibertad Asuncion
10
Division Profesional - Apertura01/03/2025
Libertad AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
30
Copa Paraguay13/11/2024
Libertad AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
20
Division Profesional - Apertura14/04/2024
Sportivo LuquenoLibertad Asuncion
03
Division Profesional - Apertura25/01/2024
Libertad AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
21
Division Profesional - Apertura25/04/2023
Sportivo LuquenoLibertad Asuncion
02
Division Profesional - Apertura11/02/2023
Libertad AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
11

Recent Form

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
4W3D3L
19/10/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseLibertad Asuncion
10
L
12/10/2026
Libertad AsuncionClub Guarani
22
D
05/10/2026
Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion
12
W
29/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionOlimpia
01
L
23/09/2026
Fernando De La MoraLibertad Asuncion
2131
W
19/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
11
D
11/09/2026
2 de MayoLibertad Asuncion
02
W
06/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionRubio NU
42
W
02/09/2026
Nacional AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
30
L
30/08/2026
Cerro PortenoLibertad Asuncion
11
D
Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno
4W1D5L
19/10/2026
Sportivo LuquenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
32
W
11/10/2026
Sportivo LuquenoCerro Porteno
03
L
05/10/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Luqueno
32
L
02/10/2026
OlimpiaSportivo Luqueno
2141
W
25/09/2026
Sportivo LuquenoClub Guarani
01
L
20/09/2026
Sportivo LuquenoDeportivo Recoleta
10
W
13/09/2026
OlimpiaSportivo Luqueno
30
L
06/09/2026
Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Ameliano
12
L
01/09/2026
2 de MayoSportivo Luqueno
22
D
28/08/2026
Sportivo LuquenoRubio NU
21
W

Referee Profile

Juan Gabriel Benitez164 matches

4.22Cards per match
4.04Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Gabriel Benitez4.22
Other referees4.76

4.22 cards a match, 0.54 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.76).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia16103328:12+1633WWDDW
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1693426:14+1230WWDWW
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1693424:17+730WLDWL
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1685323:9+1429LWWDD
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1685318:17+129DLWWD
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1667318:14+425WLDDW
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1563620:16+421DWLLW
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1647519:21-219LDLLD
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno16511017:30-1316LWLLL
10Rubio NURubio NU1634915:27-1213LLDWD
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta16331016:28-1212DWLLD
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo1504117:26-194LDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia1628:1233
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1626:1430
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1624:1730
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1623:929
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1618:1729
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1618:1425
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1520:1621
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1619:2119
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1617:3016
10Rubio NURubio NU1615:2713
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1616:2812
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo157:264
Promotion

About the Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno forecast

The forecasts for this Division Profesional - Clausura match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Libertad Asuncion and Sportivo Luqueno in the Division Profesional - Clausura table

The table shows a wide gap: Libertad Asuncion are 3rd in the Division Profesional - Clausura, while Sportivo Luqueno sit 9th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: Libertad Asuncion 24-17, Sportivo Luqueno 17-30. The full standings are on the Division Profesional - Clausura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.