Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar Prediction

06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel65%RiskMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel47%RiskMediumGap+3.6%
Independiente Petrolero Rest
5 days
Bolívar Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%4.75
X
21%4.20
2
62%1.53
Double Chance
1X
37%2.27
X2
83%1.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.48
No
44%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.83 = 2.92
Over 1.5
77%1.09
Over 2.5
55%1.41
Over 3.5
34%2.11
Under 1.5
23%5.40
Under 2.5
45%2.58
Under 3.5
66%1.66
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'G. MendozaFoul
24'Billy ArceAssist: Carlos Melgar
39'Rodrigo ZamoraFoul
43'dorny romeroAssist: Jhon velasquez
45'C. Urdininea INJefferson Carioca out
58'Gustavo Cristaldo INSaul Torres Rojas out
58'Gilbert Alvarez INAlan Mercado out
61'WillieDissent
63'Alan MercadoPersistent infringement
70'Saul Torres RojasSerious foul
73'Willie INDiego Navarro out
75'Billy ArceAssist: Dairon Asprilla
78'Jhon velasquez INCarlos Sejas out
78'Billy Arce INJohn García out
82'Dairon Asprilla INMartín Cauteruccio out
82'dorny romero INDamian Batallini out
82'Leonel Justiniano INBruno Miranda out
86'Bruno MirandaAssist: Damian Batallini

Lineups

Independiente Petrolero
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Grass
Bolívar
4-4-2Coach: A. Restrepo
J. Gutiérrez1J. GutiérrezJ. Gutiérrez
R. Zamora77R. ZamoraR. Zamora
W. Soleto28W. SoletoW. Soleto
L. Crescencio3L. CrescencioL. Crescencio
G. Mendoza34G. MendozaG. Mendoza
Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana14C. Jhamil Urdininea ZambranaCristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana
D. Rojas6D. RojasD. Rojas
R. Cardozo7R. CardozoR. Cardozo
Willie93WillieWillie
G. Cristaldo19G. CristaldoG. Cristaldo
G. Álvarez91G. ÁlvarezG. Álvarez
C. Lampe1C. LampeC. Lampe
E. Rivero35E. RiveroE. Rivero
S. Echeverría5S. EcheverríaS. Echeverría
X. Arreaga3X. ArreagaX. Arreaga
Jesús Sagredo4J. SagredoJesús Sagredo
D. Romero77D. RomeroD. Romero
L. Justiniano23L. JustinianoL. Justiniano
C. Melgar80C. MelgarC. Melgar
J. Velásquez7J. VelásquezJ. Velásquez
D. Asprilla27D. AsprillaD. Asprilla
B. Arce10B. ArceB. Arce

Independiente Petrolero Substitutes

12Jhunior VeraG
2S. TorresF
4L. RodríguezD
50Roni SantosD
15J. BejaranoM
99FerreirinhaM
39P. GrassD
20A. MercadoM
27D. NavarroD
5Luis Braihan Palma EscobarD
22R. RocabadoM
16Santiago Chavez Suarez

Bolívar Substitutes

12J. MoralesG
19J. GarcíaM
18L. ChávezM
9M. CauteruccioF
99D. BatalliniF
33F. MenaD
11B. MirandaF
8L. PazD
2Jesús SagredoD
20C. SejasM
6E. VacaM
16L. ZabalaD

Match Stats

Independiente PetroleroBolívar
37%Ball Possession63%
0Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards0
2Red Cards0
5Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal11
2Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box8
0Blocked Shots4
14Fouls10
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
267Total Passes447
199Passes Accurate389
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
BolívarBolívar
1400Elo Rating 1708
0.69Attack 2.53
0.22Defense 2.04
0%Hit Rate 81%
10.6Shots per Game 26.2
3.2Shots on Target 10.6
4.3Corners per Game 7.7
1.9Cards per Game 0.6

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend66% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
BolívarBolívar
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Independiente Petrolero 44%Draw 0%56% Bolívar
3.47Avg Goals
66%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
3W0D2L
01/09/2026
Real TomayapoIndependiente Petrolero
30
L
28/08/2026
Independiente PetroleroGuabirá
31
W
23/08/2026
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
30
L
20/08/2026
Independiente PetroleroBlooming
52
W
17/08/2026
Independiente PetroleroGualberto Villarroel SJ
10
W
BolívarBolívar
4W0D1L
02/09/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJBolívar
01
W
30/08/2026
BolívarThe Strongest
42
W
28/08/2026
BolívarABB
41
W
23/08/2026
Real OruroBolívar
24
W
19/08/2026
Sao PauloBolívar
31
L

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Always ReadyAlways Ready20136147:13+3445WWWDD
2BolívarBolívar20143354:22+3245WWWWW
3The StrongestThe Strongest20126239:22+1742WWWWW
4Real PotosíReal Potosí2088427:14+1332WWDLD
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2093836:27+930WLLDW
6AuroraAurora2079431:27+430LWWDD
7GuabiráGuabirá2085732:39-729WLDLD
8BloomingBlooming2069530:22+827DWLDD
9Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2083930:28+227LWWLW
10Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero1974826:32-625LLWLW
11Real OruroReal Oruro20631132:50-1821LLWDL
12ABBABB20621231:45-1420LLWLD
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto20531226:39-1318DWLWL
14San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo19521218:39-2117LLLLL
15Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo20441215:39-2416LLLWD
16Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ20281021:37-1614LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Always ReadyAlways Ready2047:1345
2BolívarBolívar2054:2245
3The StrongestThe Strongest2039:2242
4Real PotosíReal Potosí2027:1432
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2036:2730
6AuroraAurora2031:2730
7GuabiráGuabirá2032:3929
8BloomingBlooming2030:2227
9Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2030:2827
10Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero1926:3225
11Real OruroReal Oruro2032:5021
12ABBABB2031:4520
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2026:3918
14San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo1918:3917
15Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2015:3916
16Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2021:3714

Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

ScorePredicts covers Bolivia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Bolívar have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Independiente Petrolero and Bolívar have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.47 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.