Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar Prediction

06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+3.6%
Independiente Petrolero Rest
5 days
Bolívar Rest
4 days

Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar: result, form and history

Bolívar beat Independiente Petrolero 4-0 in the Primera División on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Bolívar have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%4.75
X
21%4.20
2
62%1.53
Double Chance
1X
37%2.27
X2
83%1.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.48
No
44%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.83 = 2.92
Over 1.5
77%1.09
Over 2.5
55%1.41
Over 3.5
34%2.11
Under 1.5
23%5.40
Under 2.5
45%2.58
Under 3.5
66%1.66
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'G. MendozaFoul
24'Billy ArceAssist: Carlos Melgar
39'Rodrigo ZamoraFoul
43'dorny romeroAssist: Jhon velasquez
45'C. Urdininea INJefferson Carioca out
58'Gustavo Cristaldo INSaul Torres Rojas out
58'Gilbert Alvarez INAlan Mercado out
61'WillieDissent
63'Alan MercadoPersistent infringement
70'Saul Torres RojasSerious foul
73'Willie INDiego Navarro out
75'Billy ArceAssist: Dairon Asprilla
78'Jhon velasquez INCarlos Sejas out
78'Billy Arce INJohn García out
82'Dairon Asprilla INMartín Cauteruccio out
82'dorny romero INDamian Batallini out
82'Leonel Justiniano INBruno Miranda out
86'Bruno MirandaAssist: Damian Batallini

Lineups

Independiente Petrolero
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Grass
Bolívar
4-4-2Coach: A. Restrepo
Avg rating5.75
Avg rating7.33
J. Gutiérrez5.51J. Gutiérrez
R. Zamora4.977R. Zamora
W. Soleto5.728W. Soleto
L. Crescencio5.43L. Crescencio
G. Mendoza5.434G. Mendoza
Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana6.114C. Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana
D. Rojas6.36D. Rojas
R. Cardozo6.07R. Cardozo
Willie6.493Willie
G. Cristaldo5.819G. Cristaldo
G. Álvarez6.291G. Álvarez
C. Lampe7.11C. Lampe
E. Rivero6.735E. Rivero
S. Echeverría7.85S. Echeverría
X. Arreaga7.53X. Arreaga
Jesús Sagredo7.44J. Sagredo
D. Romero8.277D. Romero
L. Justiniano6.523L. Justiniano
C. Melgar7.780C. Melgar
J. Velásquez7.77J. Velásquez
D. Asprilla7.027D. Asprilla
B. Arce9.110B. Arce

Independiente Petrolero Substitutes

12Jhunior Vera
2S. Torres58'for Gustavo Cristaldo70'5.2
4L. Rodríguez
50Roni Santos
15J. Bejarano
99Ferreirinha45'for C. Urdininea5.9
39P. Grass
20A. Mercado58'for Gilbert Alvarez63'5.9
27D. Navarro73'for Willie5.6
5Luis Braihan Palma Escobar
22R. Rocabado
16Santiago Chavez Suarez

Bolívar Substitutes

12J. Morales
19J. García78'for Billy Arce6.8
18L. Chávez
9M. Cauteruccio82'for Dairon Asprilla6.5
99D. Batallini82'for dorny romero7.0
33F. Mena
11B. Miranda82'for Leonel Justiniano86'7.5
8L. Paz
2Jesús Sagredo7.4
20C. Sejas78'for Jhon velasquez6.9
6E. Vaca
16L. Zabala

Match Stats

Independiente PetroleroBolívar
37%Ball Possession63%
0Corner Kicks4
5Yellow Cards0
2Red Cards0
5Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal11
2Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box8
0Blocked Shots4
14Fouls10
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
266Total Passes448
198Passes Accurate390
74%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
BolívarBolívar
1468Elo Rating 1715
2.21Attack 1.42
1.57Defense 2.08
36%Hit Rate 83%
11.9Shots per Game 17.1
4.2Shots on Target 6.0
2.4Corners per Game 3.4
2.3Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.9 in second half)
BolívarBolívar
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
BolívarBolívar6Wins · 60%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División22/04/2026
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
12
Primera División07/12/2025
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
12
Copa de la División Profesional25/10/2025
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
03
Copa de la División Profesional04/10/2025
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
23
Primera División08/07/2025
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
40
Primera División26/09/2024
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
30
Primera División12/05/2024
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
01
Primera División11/11/2023
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
51
Primera División14/05/2023
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
21
Primera División02/10/2022
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
00

Recent Form

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
5W1D4L
BolívarBolívar
7W1D2L
02/09/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJBolívar
01
W
30/08/2026
BolívarThe Strongest
42
W
28/08/2026
BolívarABB
41
W
23/08/2026
Real OruroBolívar
24
W
19/08/2026
Sao PauloBolívar
31
L
15/08/2026
BolívarSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
41
W
12/08/2026
BolívarSao Paulo
11
D
09/08/2026
AuroraBolívar
24
W
06/08/2026
BolívarOriente Petrolero
21
W
02/08/2026
Always ReadyBolívar
10
L

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar25193361:24+3760WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready25176261:19+4257WWWLW
3The StrongestThe Strongest25146546:29+1748LWLWL
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero25125842:30+1241WDWDW
5Real PotosíReal Potosí251010532:18+1440DDLWW
6AuroraAurora25812536:32+436DDWLD
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí25961037:33+433DDWLD
8GuabiráGuabirá25961040:50-1033WLLDL
9BloomingBlooming25710833:27+631LWLDL
10Real OruroReal Oruro25941241:58-1731WDLWW
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero25861132:42-1030LDWDL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo25831428:50-2227LWWLD
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo25651419:42-2323WLLWD
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto25641532:49-1722DLLWL
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ25481330:47-1720LLWLW
16ABBABB25621737:57-2020LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2561:2460
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2561:1957
3The StrongestThe Strongest2546:2948
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2542:3041
5Real PotosíReal Potosí2532:1840
6AuroraAurora2536:3236
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2537:3333
8GuabiráGuabirá2540:5033
9BloomingBlooming2533:2731
10Real OruroReal Oruro2541:5831
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2532:4230
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2528:5027
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2519:4223
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2532:4922
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2530:4720
16ABBABB2537:5720

About the Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Independiente Petrolero and Bolívar in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Bolívar are 1st and Independiente Petrolero 11th, 30 points apart. League goal record so far: Independiente Petrolero 32-42, Bolívar 61-24. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.