Nasaf vs Sogdiana Prediction

Nasaf
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Sogdiana
Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi·S. Nasibullayev 24/10/2026
NasafNasaf
2-1
Finished
SogdianaSogdiana

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Nasaf Rest
7 days
Sogdiana Rest
3 days

Nasaf vs Sogdiana: the result in context

Nasaf beat Sogdiana 2-1 in the Super League on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Nasaf had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Sogdiana.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.45
X
22%4.26
2
15%5.90
Double Chance
1X
85%1.09
X2
37%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.74
No
46%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 0.94 = 2.79
Over 1.5
78%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.62
Over 3.5
34%2.51
Under 1.5
22%4.09
Under 2.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
66%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'B. Abdikholikov(Penalty)
36'P. Ghudushauri
46'O. Nurmatov INJ. Kakhramonov out
46'S. Mavlonkulov INZ. Urinboev out
46'B. Askarov INJ. Boltaboev out
63'S. Bakhromov INS. Mukhitdinov out
63'A. Gulomov INA. Shala out
67'P. Micin IND. Zajmovic out
72'B. Dzhumatov INS. Jamolov out
79'P. Ghudushauri INZ. Abdirakhmatov out
85'S. Jamolov
90'A. Davronov
90+2'

Team Comparison

NasafNasaf
SogdianaSogdiana
1581Elo Rating 1468
1.63Attack 1.17
2.03Defense 1.03
58%Hit Rate 0%
24.0Shots per Game -
6.0Shots on Target -
6.0Corners per Game -
3.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+113 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NasafNasaf
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
SogdianaSogdiana
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NasafNasaf5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
SogdianaSogdiana2Wins · 20%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League06/03/2026
SogdianaNasaf
02
Super League02/08/2025
SogdianaNasaf
12
Super League09/03/2025
NasafSogdiana
10
Super League09/11/2024
NasafSogdiana
01
Super League16/06/2024
SogdianaNasaf
10
Super League23/11/2023
NasafSogdiana
00
Super League28/05/2023
SogdianaNasaf
12
Super League09/10/2022
NasafSogdiana
11
Super League12/05/2022
SogdianaNasaf
12
Super League20/11/2021
SogdianaNasaf
11

Recent Form

NasafNasaf
4W2D4L
17/10/2026
LokomotivNasaf
00
D
14/10/2026
NasafAl Wahda FC
12
L
09/10/2026
NasafDinamo Samarqand
21
W
20/09/2026
AndijanNasaf
14
W
16/09/2026
KhalidiyaNasaf
00
D
09/09/2026
NasafBunyodkor
30
W
04/09/2026
NasafNeftchi
62
W
30/08/2026
NavbahorNasaf
10
L
26/08/2026
QizilqumNasaf
10
L
21/08/2026
NavbahorNasaf
10
L
SogdianaSogdiana
4W2D4L
20/10/2026
SogdianaAndijan
12
L
16/10/2026
BunyodkorSogdiana
11
D
11/10/2026
SogdianaLokomotiv
23
L
20/09/2026
SogdianaOlmaliq
12
L
10/09/2026
XorazmSogdiana
00
D
05/09/2026
SogdianaMash'al
52
W
30/08/2026
SogdianaJayxun
20
W
23/08/2026
NeftchiSogdiana
30
L
18/08/2026
SogdianaQizilqum
21
W
13/08/2026
SurkhonSogdiana
13
W

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi25184359:22+3758WWDWW
2PakhtakorPakhtakor25158244:25+1953LDWWW
3NavbahorNavbahor25147444:25+1949WDDWW
4OlmaliqOlmaliq25126736:32+442WWDWL
5NasafNasaf25118637:23+1441WDWWW
6BuxoroBuxoro25125837:32+541DWWLL
7LokomotivLokomotiv25117740:31+940DDWLW
8QizilqumQizilqum251041125:31-634DWDWL
9AndijanAndijan25941230:33-331DLLLW
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand25871036:39-331DLLLW
11SogdianaSogdiana25851242:49-729LDLLD
12SurkhonSurkhon25781019:28-929DDDWL
13BunyodkorBunyodkor25821526:41-1526WDLWL
14Kokand-1912Kokand-191225581225:36-1123LLWLL
15XorazmXorazm25581221:36-1523LDDLD
16Mash'alMash'al25112312:50-384LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2559:2258
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2544:2553
3NavbahorNavbahor2544:2549
4OlmaliqOlmaliq2536:3242
5NasafNasaf2537:2341
6BuxoroBuxoro2537:3241
7LokomotivLokomotiv2540:3140
8QizilqumQizilqum2525:3134
9AndijanAndijan2530:3331
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2536:3931
11SogdianaSogdiana2542:4929
12SurkhonSurkhon2519:2829
13BunyodkorBunyodkor2526:4126
14Kokand-1912Kokand-19122525:3623
15XorazmXorazm2521:3623
16Mash'alMash'al2512:504
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Nasaf vs Sogdiana forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nasaf and Sogdiana in the Super League table

In the Super League table, Nasaf are 5th and Sogdiana 11th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Nasaf 37-23, Sogdiana 42-49. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.