Pakhtakor vs Neftchi Prediction

Pakhtakor
1-3
Finished
HT 1-0
Neftchi
Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent·F. Norsafarov 23/10/2026
PakhtakorPakhtakor
1-3
Finished
NeftchiNeftchi

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseHighGap-3.0%
Pakhtakor Rest
6 days
Neftchi Rest
3 days

Pakhtakor vs Neftchi: the result in context

Neftchi beat Pakhtakor 3-1 in the Super League on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.10
X
26%3.50
2
29%2.95
Double Chance
1X
71%1.33
X2
55%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.47
No
40%2.41
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.01 = 2.62
Over 1.5
77%1.16
Over 2.5
56%1.57
Over 3.5
36%2.39
Under 1.5
23%4.33
Under 2.5
44%2.25
Under 3.5
64%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'D. Khamdamov(Penalty)
31'Z. Marusic INS. Perica out
45'
46'N. Abduganiyev INA. Ismoilov out
46'M. Ubaydullaev INA. Odilov out
56'S. PericaAssist: A. Odilov
66'K. KouaoAssist: I. Alibaev
70'K. Kouao INI. Yuldoshev out
70'V. Jovovic INRatinho out
72'Z. Tahseen
76'D. Khamdamov INO. Bozorov out
76'B. Resan INK. Alizhonov out
79'Z. Tahseen IND. Abdullaev out
80'I. Alibaev
83'D. Saitov INA. Hussein out
89'D. Abdullaev
90'J. Iskanderov(Penalty)

Team Comparison

PakhtakorPakhtakor
NeftchiNeftchi
1680Elo Rating 1675
1.47Attack 2.49
1.46Defense 0.65
31%Hit Rate 46%
19.0Shots per Game 9.0
4.0Shots on Target 2.0
5.0Corners per Game 5.0
1.0Cards per Game 5.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

PakhtakorPakhtakor
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NeftchiNeftchi
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PakhtakorPakhtakor5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
NeftchiNeftchi4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup29/08/2026
NeftchiPakhtakor
10
Super League09/04/2026
NeftchiPakhtakor
01
Super Cup15/03/2026
NeftchiPakhtakor
10
Super League13/09/2025
PakhtakorNeftchi
21
Super League19/04/2025
NeftchiPakhtakor
04
Super League13/09/2024
PakhtakorNeftchi
00
Super League01/07/2024
NeftchiPakhtakor
02
Super League05/08/2023
PakhtakorNeftchi
01
Super League10/03/2023
NeftchiPakhtakor
21
Super League12/08/2022
NeftchiPakhtakor
02

Recent Form

NeftchiNeftchi
6W1D3L
20/10/2026
NeftchiLokomotiv
24
L
16/10/2026
Kokand-1912Neftchi
24
W
12/10/2026
Al-NassrNeftchi
31
L
07/10/2026
NeftchiXorazm
22
D
20/09/2026
LokomotivNeftchi
01
W
14/09/2026
NeftchiAl Quwa Al Jawiya
10
W
09/09/2026
NeftchiSurkhon
21
W
04/09/2026
NasafNeftchi
62
L
29/08/2026
NeftchiPakhtakor
10
W
23/08/2026
NeftchiSogdiana
30
W

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi25184359:22+3758WWDWW
2PakhtakorPakhtakor25158244:25+1953LDWWW
3NavbahorNavbahor25147444:25+1949WDDWW
4OlmaliqOlmaliq25126736:32+442WWDWL
5NasafNasaf25118637:23+1441WDWWW
6BuxoroBuxoro25125837:32+541DWWLL
7LokomotivLokomotiv25117740:31+940DDWLW
8QizilqumQizilqum251041125:31-634DWDWL
9AndijanAndijan25941230:33-331DLLLW
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand25871036:39-331DLLLW
11SogdianaSogdiana25851242:49-729LDLLD
12SurkhonSurkhon25781019:28-929DDDWL
13BunyodkorBunyodkor25821526:41-1526WDLWL
14Kokand-1912Kokand-191225581225:36-1123LLWLL
15XorazmXorazm25581221:36-1523LDDLD
16Mash'alMash'al25112312:50-384LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2559:2258
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2544:2553
3NavbahorNavbahor2544:2549
4OlmaliqOlmaliq2536:3242
5NasafNasaf2537:2341
6BuxoroBuxoro2537:3241
7LokomotivLokomotiv2540:3140
8QizilqumQizilqum2525:3134
9AndijanAndijan2530:3331
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2536:3931
11SogdianaSogdiana2542:4929
12SurkhonSurkhon2519:2829
13BunyodkorBunyodkor2526:4126
14Kokand-1912Kokand-19122525:3623
15XorazmXorazm2521:3623
16Mash'alMash'al2512:504
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Pakhtakor vs Neftchi forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pakhtakor and Neftchi in the Super League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Neftchi are 1st in the Super League, 5 points ahead of Pakhtakor in 2nd. League goal record so far: Pakhtakor 44-25, Neftchi 59-22. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pakhtakor have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.