Necaxa vs Monterrey Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Necaxa vs Monterrey: the result in context
Necaxa beat Monterrey 2-1 in the Liga MX on 27 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Monterrey have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Referee Ivan Antonio Lopez Sanchez averages 5.45 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Necaxa
Avg ratingAvg rating
12L. Jimenez
33R. Martínez
20F. Méndez
C3A. Oliveros
30R. Monreal
8L. Faravelli
6D. Leyva
88C. Vargas
11J. Torres
10J. Ruiz
9J. Carranza
22L. Cárdenas
2R. Chávez
33S. Medina
13C. Salcedo
3G. Arteaga
8Ó. Torres
30J. Rodríguez
10L. Orellano
C17J. Corona
7L. Ocampos
9D. RossiNecaxa Substitutes
Monterrey Substitutes
Match Stats
NecaxaMonterrey Team Comparison
NecaxaMonterreyAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Necaxa- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Monterrey- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Necaxa1Wins · 10%9Wins · 90%Previous meetings
14/01/2026NecaxaMonterrey24/08/2025MonterreyNecaxa02/02/2025MonterreyNecaxa18/07/2024NecaxaMonterrey29/04/2024NecaxaMonterrey01/11/2023MonterreyNecaxa20/02/2023MonterreyNecaxa13/08/2022NecaxaMonterrey15/01/2022NecaxaMonterrey25/10/2021MonterreyNecaxaRecent Form
NecaxaNecaxa
Atlante FC
AtlasNecaxa
Correcaminos UatNecaxaNecaxa
Monarcas
Cruz AzulNecaxaNecaxa
Guadalajara ChivasNecaxa
Tigres UANL
Club QueretaroNecaxaNecaxa
MazatlánNecaxa
Club TijuanaMonterreyMonterrey
Santos LagunaAtlante FCMonterrey
CancúnMonterreySantos LagunaMonterreyMonterrey
PueblaMonterrey
CF PachucaAtlasMonterreyMonterrey
Atletico San LuisMonterreyGuadalajara ChivasCruz AzulMonterreyReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.45 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.93).
Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 |  Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga MX matches
- Atlante FC vs Club America 25/07/26
- Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez 26/07/26
- Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis 26/07/26
- Santos Laguna vs Atlas 26/07/26
- CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro 27/07/26
- Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas 01/08/26
- Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana 01/08/26
- Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL 02/08/26
About the Necaxa vs Monterrey forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Necaxa and Monterrey in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Monterrey are 10th and Necaxa 17th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Necaxa 17-28, Monterrey 26-25. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.