Monterrey vs Santos Laguna Prediction

Monterrey
3-2
Finished
HT 3-1
Santos Laguna
Estadio BBVA, Monterrey· Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava, Mexico 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.67
SignalGOODModel55%RiskMediumGap+12.3%
Monterrey Rest
14 days
Santos Laguna Rest
9 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.53
X
25%4.45
2
17%5.31
Double Chance
1X
83%1.14
X2
42%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.53
No
42%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 0.99 = 2.71
Over 1.5
79%1.11
Over 2.5
62%1.44
Over 3.5
35%2.11
Under 1.5
21%5.55
Under 2.5
38%2.66
Under 3.5
65%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
61%1.50
Over 9.5
50%1.86
Over 10.5
36%2.35
Under 8.5
39%2.34
Under 9.5
50%1.85
Under 10.5
64%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 3 = 5.2
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

20'L. OcamposAssist: D. Rossi
25'L. OcamposAssist: O. Torres
31'J. CoronaAssist: L. Ocampos
40'L. Di Yorio
60'J. Abella INK. Picon out
60'L. Di Yorio INE. Aguirre out
60'D. Gonzalez INF. Villalba out
62'J. Corona INF. Ambriz out
76'J. Rodriguez INI. Fimbres out
82'R. Sordo IND. Medina out
82'C. Gruezo INA. Lopez out
89'L. Ocampos INL. Reyes out
89'O. Torres INU. Djurdjevic out
89'D. Rossi INR. de la Rosa out
90+6'E. AguirreAssist: F. Sanchez

Lineups

Monterrey
4-2-3-1Coach: Matias Almeyda
Santos Laguna
4-2-3-1Coach: Paiva Renato
Luis Cárdenas22L. CárdenasLuis Cárdenas
Ricardo Chávez2R. ChávezRicardo Chávez
Stefan Medina33S. MedinaStefan Medina
Alonso Aceves19A. AcevesAlonso Aceves
Gerardo Arteaga3G. ArteagaGerardo Arteaga
Óliver Torres8Ó. TorresÓliver Torres
Jorge Rodríguez30J. RodríguezJorge Rodríguez
Luca Orellano10L. OrellanoLuca Orellano
Jesús Corona17J. CoronaJesús Corona
Lucas Ocampos7L. OcamposLucas Ocampos
Diego Rossi9D. RossiDiego Rossi
Carlos Acevedo1C. AcevedoCarlos Acevedo
José Abella4J. AbellaJosé Abella
Franco Pardo18F. PardoFranco Pardo
Felipe Sánchez25F. SánchezFelipe Sánchez
Mauricio Cuevas3M. CuevasMauricio Cuevas
Salvador Mariscal8S. MariscalSalvador Mariscal
Carlos Gruezo11C. GruezoCarlos Gruezo
Diego González7D. GonzálezDiego González
Ezequiel Bullaude10E. BullaudeEzequiel Bullaude
Ramiro Sordo26R. SordoRamiro Sordo
Lucas Di Yorio9L. Di YorioLucas Di Yorio

Monterrey Substitutes

5Fidel AmbrízM
11Iker FimbresM
21Luis ReyesD
27Roberto de la RosaF
32Uroš ĐurđevićF
31César RamosG
4Victor GuzmánD
18Cesar GarzaM
200Omar GalvezM
194Cristian ReyesM

Santos Laguna Substitutes

22Kevin PiconD
21Fran VillalbaM
19Eduardo AguirreF
5Aldo Lopez VargasM
24Diego MedinaM
33Hector HolguinG
14Efrain OronaM
28Jonathan PérezD
15Joshua ManchaM
192José UlloaM

Match Stats

MonterreySantos Laguna
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks5
19Total Shots11
13Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots3
14Fouls9
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves10
522Total Passes407
448Passes Accurate333
86%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

MonterreyMonterrey
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
1611Elo Rating 1479
0.84Attack 0.87
1.51Defense 1.86
14%Hit Rate 27%
14.6Shots per Game 14.1
3.5Shots on Target 4.1
8.3Corners per Game 8.4
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+132 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MonterreyMonterrey
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Monterrey 73%Draw 0%27% Santos Laguna
2.82Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MonterreyMonterrey
2W1D2L
04/07/2026
Atlante FCMonterrey
11
D
22/06/2026
CancúnMonterrey
14
W
27/04/2026
Santos LagunaMonterrey
30
L
22/04/2026
MonterreyPuebla
21
W
19/04/2026
MonterreyCF Pachuca
13
L
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
3W0D2L
10/07/2026
Santos LagunaAmerica de Cali
01
L
28/06/2026
NY CosmosSantos Laguna
12
W
24/06/2026
Annapolis BluesSantos Laguna
02
W
27/04/2026
Santos LagunaMonterrey
30
W
23/04/2026
Atletico San LuisSantos Laguna
20
L

Referee Profile

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava, Mexico · 46 matches analysed

4.8Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
26.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 79% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca961220:9+1119LWWWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro842211:8+314DWWLD
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana842212:10+214DLWLW
7LeonLeon942312:10+214DWLDW
8PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
9AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
10MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca933315:10+512DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna92169:15-67WWLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca920:919
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro811:814
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana812:1014
7LeonLeon912:1014
8PueblaPuebla911:1114
9AtlasAtlas913:1514
10MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca915:1012
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna99:157
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
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Monterrey vs Santos Laguna Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Monterrey and Santos Laguna have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.82 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.