Monterrey vs Santos Laguna Prediction

Monterrey
3-2
Finished
HT 3-1
Santos Laguna
Estadio BBVA, Monterrey·Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava, Mexico 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.69
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+12.3%
Monterrey Rest
14 days
Santos Laguna Rest
9 days

Monterrey vs Santos Laguna: result, form and history

Monterrey beat Santos Laguna 3-2 in the Liga MX on 19 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Monterrey have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.53
X
25%4.45
2
17%5.31
Double Chance
1X
83%1.14
X2
42%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.53
No
42%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 0.99 = 2.71
Over 1.5
79%1.12
Over 2.5
62%1.44
Over 3.5
35%2.13
Under 1.5
21%5.60
Under 2.5
38%2.66
Under 3.5
65%1.69
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
61%1.50
Over 9.5
50%1.85
Over 10.5
36%2.36
Under 8.5
39%2.32
Under 9.5
50%1.85
Under 10.5
64%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 3 = 5.2
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

20'L. OcamposAssist: D. Rossi
25'L. OcamposAssist: O. Torres
31'J. CoronaAssist: L. Ocampos
40'L. Di Yorio
60'J. Abella INK. Picon out
60'L. Di Yorio INE. Aguirre out
60'D. Gonzalez INF. Villalba out
62'J. Corona INF. Ambriz out
76'J. Rodriguez INI. Fimbres out
82'R. Sordo IND. Medina out
82'C. Gruezo INA. Lopez out
89'L. Ocampos INL. Reyes out
89'O. Torres INU. Djurdjevic out
89'D. Rossi INR. de la Rosa out
90+6'E. AguirreAssist: F. Sanchez

Lineups

Monterrey
4-2-3-1Coach: Matias Almeyda
Santos Laguna
4-2-3-1Coach: Paiva Renato
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.74
Luis Cárdenas6.722L. Cárdenas
Ricardo Chávez5.92R. Chávez
Stefan Medina6.733S. Medina
Alonso Aceves6.319A. Aceves
Gerardo Arteaga6.33G. Arteaga
Óliver Torres7.28Ó. Torres
Jorge Rodríguez7.330J. Rodríguez
Luca Orellano7.210L. Orellano
Jesús CoronaC7.917J. Corona
Lucas Ocampos10.07L. Ocampos
Diego Rossi6.99D. Rossi
Carlos Acevedo7.31C. Acevedo
José AbellaC6.04J. Abella
Franco Pardo6.918F. Pardo
Felipe Sánchez7.725F. Sánchez
Mauricio Cuevas5.93M. Cuevas
Salvador Mariscal6.58S. Mariscal
Carlos Gruezo6.711C. Gruezo
Diego González6.27D. González
Ezequiel Bullaude6.210E. Bullaude
Ramiro Sordo6.926R. Sordo
Lucas Di Yorio7.29L. Di Yorio

Monterrey Substitutes

5Fidel Ambríz62'for J. Corona6.2
11Iker Fimbres76'for J. Rodriguez6.3
21Luis Reyes89'for L. Ocampos6.5
27Roberto de la Rosa89'for D. Rossi6.9
32Uroš Đurđević89'for O. Torres6.2
31César Ramos
4Victor Guzmán
18Cesar Garza
200Omar Galvez
194Cristian Reyes

Santos Laguna Substitutes

22Kevin Picon60'for J. Abella7.3
21Fran Villalba60'for D. Gonzalez6.9
19Eduardo Aguirre60'for L. Di Yorio90+6'6.9
5Aldo Lopez Vargas82'for C. Gruezo6.6
24Diego Medina82'for R. Sordo6.7
33Hector Holguin
14Efrain Orona
28Jonathan Pérez
15Joshua Mancha
192José Ulloa

Match Stats

MonterreySantos Laguna
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks5
19Total Shots11
13Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots3
14Fouls9
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves10
522Total Passes407
448Passes Accurate333
86%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

MonterreyMonterrey
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
1634Elo Rating 1600
2.06Attack 2.00
1.46Defense 1.94
36%Hit Rate 77%
13.0Shots per Game 10.8
5.1Shots on Target 3.8
7.0Corners per Game 6.6
2.5Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MonterreyMonterrey
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MonterreyMonterrey6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna3Wins · 30%
2.9Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX27/04/2026
Santos LagunaMonterrey
30
Liga MX28/09/2025
MonterreySantos Laguna
10
Liga MX03/03/2025
MonterreySantos Laguna
42
Liga MX15/09/2024
Santos LagunaMonterrey
02
Liga MX22/01/2024
Santos LagunaMonterrey
02
Liga MX09/11/2023
MonterreySantos Laguna
30
Liga MX14/05/2023
MonterreySantos Laguna
20
Liga MX11/05/2023
Santos LagunaMonterrey
00
Liga MX17/04/2023
MonterreySantos Laguna
12
Liga MX04/07/2022
Santos LagunaMonterrey
43

Recent Form

MonterreyMonterrey
2W4D4L
04/07/2026
Atlante FCMonterrey
11
D
22/06/2026
CancúnMonterrey
14
W
27/04/2026
Santos LagunaMonterrey
30
L
22/04/2026
MonterreyPuebla
21
W
19/04/2026
MonterreyCF Pachuca
13
L
12/04/2026
AtlasMonterrey
00
D
05/04/2026
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
12
L
22/03/2026
MonterreyGuadalajara Chivas
23
L
18/03/2026
Cruz AzulMonterrey
11
D
14/03/2026
FC JuarezMonterrey
22
D
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
4W1D5L
10/07/2026
Santos LagunaAmerica de Cali
01
L
28/06/2026
NY CosmosSantos Laguna
12
W
24/06/2026
Annapolis BluesSantos Laguna
02
W
27/04/2026
Santos LagunaMonterrey
30
W
23/04/2026
Atletico San LuisSantos Laguna
20
L
20/04/2026
Santos LagunaAtlas
01
L
12/04/2026
CF PachucaSantos Laguna
42
L
05/04/2026
Santos LagunaClub America
11
D
23/03/2026
Santos LagunaPuebla
21
W
15/03/2026
Guadalajara ChivasSantos Laguna
30
L

Referee Profile

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava206 matches

4.69Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava4.69
Other referees4.57

4.69 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.57).

Cards come from 194 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7LeonLeon1665523:21+223DLDWL
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7LeonLeon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
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About the Monterrey vs Santos Laguna forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Monterrey and Santos Laguna in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Santos Laguna are 6th and Monterrey 10th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Monterrey 26-25, Santos Laguna 23-20. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.