Santos Laguna vs Atlas Prediction

Santos Laguna
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Atlas
Estadio TSM Corona, Torreon·Martin Molina Astorga, Mexico 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.41
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
Santos Laguna Rest
7 days
Atlas Rest
8 days

Santos Laguna vs Atlas: result, form and history

Atlas beat Santos Laguna 1-0 in the Liga MX on 26 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Santos Laguna had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Atlas.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Martin Molina Astorga averages 4.18 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.54
X
33%3.25
2
33%2.67
Double Chance
1X
67%1.43
X2
66%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.64
No
42%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.27 = 2.62
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
56%1.86
Over 3.5
33%3.05
Under 1.5
25%3.63
Under 2.5
44%1.94
Under 3.5
67%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.5 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.47
Over 9.5
47%1.80
Over 10.5
36%2.29
Under 8.5
38%2.46
Under 9.5
53%1.88
Under 10.5
64%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.9 = 5.5
Over 3.5
80%-
Over 4.5
64%1.49
Under 3.5
20%-
Under 4.5
36%2.30

Match Events

30'C. GruezoFoul
45+1'Gustavo FerrareisFoul
64'E. Zaldivar
65'L. Di Yorio IND. Gonzalez out
66'Gustavo Ferrareis INJ. Sanchez out
69'A. Rocha INV. H. Rios De Alba out
71'R. Sordo INE. Orona out
71'C. Gruezo INA. Lopez out
77'A. Gonzalez INL. Esteves out
77'S. Hernandez INJ. Lozano out
77'E. Zaldivar INP. Ramirez out
84'M. Cuevas INK. Picon out
84'S. Mariscal Murra INJ. Mancha out
90+8'F. VillalbaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Santos Laguna
4-2-3-1Coach: Paiva Renato
Atlas
4-2-3-1Coach: Hernan Crespo
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.86
Carlos Acevedo6.91C. Acevedo
Mauricio Cuevas6.93M. Cuevas
Franco PardoC7.318F. Pardo
Felipe Sánchez6.925F. Sánchez
Emmanuel Echeverría6.317E. Echeverría
Salvador Mariscal6.68S. Mariscal
Carlos Gruezo6.611C. Gruezo
Fran Villalba7.621F. Villalba
Ezequiel Bullaude6.210E. Bullaude
Ramiro Sordo7.026R. Sordo
Lucas Di Yorio6.09L. Di Yorio
Camilo Vargas7.312C. Vargas
Gustavo Ferrareis6.62G. Ferrareis
Manuel Capasso7.728M. Capasso
Rodrigo Schlegel7.321R. Schlegel
Milton Valenzuela7.316M. Valenzuela
Aldo RochaC6.326A. Rocha
Edgar Zaldívar7.36E. Zaldívar
Duk6.511Duk
Arturo González7.358A. González
Sergio Hernandez6.923S. Hernandez
Ryan Mmaee5.98R. Mmaee

Santos Laguna Substitutes

7Diego González65'for L. Di Yorio6.7
14Efrain Orona71'for R. Sordo6.3
5Aldo Lopez Vargas71'for C. Gruezo6.9
22Kevin Picon84'for M. Cuevas6.7
15Joshua Mancha84'for S. Mariscal Murra7.0
33Hector Holguin
4José Abella
24Diego Medina
6Javier Güemez
19Eduardo Aguirre

Atlas Substitutes

3Jorge Sánchez66'for Gustavo Ferrareis6.6
27Victor Rios69'for A. Rocha6.9
17Jose Lozano77'for S. Hernandez6.3
15Paulo Ramírez77'for E. Zaldivar6.9
10Luís Esteves77'for A. Gonzalez6.7
22Antonio Sánchez
4Adrián Mora
13Gaddi Aguirre
192Jesús Serrato
203Jose Martin

Match Stats

Santos LagunaAtlas
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots11
1Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots1
11Fouls11
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
474Total Passes373
385Passes Accurate297
81%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
AtlasAtlas
1600Elo Rating 1632
2.00Attack 2.05
1.94Defense 1.20
77%Hit Rate 66%
10.8Shots per Game 13.7
3.8Shots on Target 3.9
6.6Corners per Game 6.4
2.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
AtlasAtlas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
AtlasAtlas4Wins · 40%
1.9Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX20/04/2026
Santos LagunaAtlas
01
Liga MX14/09/2025
AtlasSantos Laguna
22
Liga MX24/02/2025
Santos LagunaAtlas
20
Liga MX17/07/2024
AtlasSantos Laguna
10
Liga MX05/02/2024
AtlasSantos Laguna
30
Liga MX14/07/2023
Santos LagunaAtlas
00
Liga MX27/01/2023
AtlasSantos Laguna
22
Copa por México13/12/2022
AtlasSantos Laguna
00
Liga MX01/08/2022
Santos LagunaAtlas
10
Liga MX07/02/2022
AtlasSantos Laguna
21

Recent Form

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
4W1D5L
19/07/2026
MonterreySantos Laguna
32
L
10/07/2026
Santos LagunaAmerica de Cali
01
L
28/06/2026
NY CosmosSantos Laguna
12
W
24/06/2026
Annapolis BluesSantos Laguna
02
W
27/04/2026
Santos LagunaMonterrey
30
W
23/04/2026
Atletico San LuisSantos Laguna
20
L
20/04/2026
Santos LagunaAtlas
01
L
12/04/2026
CF PachucaSantos Laguna
42
L
05/04/2026
Santos LagunaClub America
11
D
23/03/2026
Santos LagunaPuebla
21
W
AtlasAtlas
3W3D4L
18/07/2026
LeonAtlas
23
W
10/07/2026
AtlasPuebla
34
L
04/07/2026
AtlasNecaxa
00
D
01/07/2026
AtlasAtletico San Luis
01
L
10/05/2026
Cruz AzulAtlas
10
L
03/05/2026
AtlasCruz Azul
23
L
26/04/2026
Club AmericaAtlas
01
W
23/04/2026
AtlasTigres UANL
00
D
20/04/2026
Santos LagunaAtlas
01
W
12/04/2026
AtlasMonterrey
00
D

Referee Profile

Martin Molina Astorga98 matches

4.18Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Molina Astorga4.18
Other referees4.68

4.18 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.68).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7LeonLeon1665523:21+223DLDWL
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7LeonLeon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
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About the Santos Laguna vs Atlas forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Santos Laguna and Atlas in the Liga MX table

Atlas and Santos Laguna are close in the Liga MX table, 5th and 6th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Santos Laguna 23-20, Atlas 27-30. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.