Santos Laguna vs Atlas Prediction

Santos Laguna
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Atlas
Estadio TSM Corona, Torreon· Martin Molina Astorga, Mexico 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.40
SignalGOODModel36%RiskMediumGap+10.5%
Santos Laguna Rest
7 days
Atlas Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.54
X
33%3.25
2
33%2.67
Double Chance
1X
67%1.43
X2
66%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.64
No
42%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.27 = 2.62
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
56%1.86
Over 3.5
33%3.10
Under 1.5
25%3.65
Under 2.5
44%1.94
Under 3.5
67%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.5 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.47
Over 9.5
47%1.80
Over 10.5
36%2.29
Under 8.5
38%2.46
Under 9.5
53%1.89
Under 10.5
64%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.9 = 5.5
Over 3.5
80%-
Over 4.5
64%1.49
Under 3.5
20%-
Under 4.5
36%2.30

Match Events

30'C. GruezoFoul
45+1'Gustavo FerrareisFoul
64'E. Zaldivar
65'L. Di Yorio IND. Gonzalez out
66'Gustavo Ferrareis INJ. Sanchez out
69'A. Rocha INV. H. Rios De Alba out
71'R. Sordo INE. Orona out
71'C. Gruezo INA. Lopez out
77'A. Gonzalez INL. Esteves out
77'S. Hernandez INJ. Lozano out
77'E. Zaldivar INP. Ramirez out
84'M. Cuevas INK. Picon out
84'S. Mariscal Murra INJ. Mancha out
90+8'F. VillalbaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Santos Laguna
4-2-3-1Coach: Paiva Renato
Atlas
4-2-3-1Coach: Hernan Crespo
Carlos Acevedo1C. AcevedoCarlos Acevedo
Mauricio Cuevas3M. CuevasMauricio Cuevas
Franco Pardo18F. PardoFranco Pardo
Felipe Sánchez25F. SánchezFelipe Sánchez
Emmanuel Echeverría17E. EcheverríaEmmanuel Echeverría
Salvador Mariscal8S. MariscalSalvador Mariscal
Carlos Gruezo11C. GruezoCarlos Gruezo
Fran Villalba21F. VillalbaFran Villalba
Ezequiel Bullaude10E. BullaudeEzequiel Bullaude
Ramiro Sordo26R. SordoRamiro Sordo
Lucas Di Yorio9L. Di YorioLucas Di Yorio
Camilo Vargas12C. VargasCamilo Vargas
Gustavo Ferrareis2G. FerrareisGustavo Ferrareis
Manuel Capasso28M. CapassoManuel Capasso
Rodrigo Schlegel21R. SchlegelRodrigo Schlegel
Milton Valenzuela16M. ValenzuelaMilton Valenzuela
Aldo Rocha26A. RochaAldo Rocha
Edgar Zaldívar6E. ZaldívarEdgar Zaldívar
Duk11DukDuk
Arturo González58A. GonzálezArturo González
Sergio Hernandez23S. HernandezSergio Hernandez
Ryan Mmaee8R. MmaeeRyan Mmaee

Santos Laguna Substitutes

7Diego GonzálezF
14Efrain OronaM
5Aldo Lopez VargasM
22Kevin PiconD
15Joshua ManchaM
33Hector HolguinG
4José AbellaD
24Diego MedinaM
6Javier GüemezM
19Eduardo AguirreF

Atlas Substitutes

3Jorge SánchezD
27Victor RiosM
17Jose LozanoD
15Paulo RamírezD
10Luís EstevesM
22Antonio SánchezG
4Adrián MoraD
13Gaddi AguirreD
192Jesús SerratoM
203Jose MartinF

Match Stats

Santos LagunaAtlas
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots11
1Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots1
11Fouls11
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
474Total Passes373
385Passes Accurate297
81%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
AtlasAtlas
1479Elo Rating 1581
0.87Attack 1.58
1.86Defense 0.70
27%Hit Rate 31%
14.1Shots per Game 12.0
4.1Shots on Target 3.1
8.4Corners per Game 5.0
2.2Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AtlasAtlas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Santos Laguna 19%Draw 23%58% Atlas
2.16Avg Goals
23%BTTS Rate
37%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
3W0D2L
19/07/2026
MonterreySantos Laguna
32
L
10/07/2026
Santos LagunaAmerica de Cali
01
L
28/06/2026
NY CosmosSantos Laguna
12
W
24/06/2026
Annapolis BluesSantos Laguna
02
W
27/04/2026
Santos LagunaMonterrey
30
W
AtlasAtlas
1W1D3L
18/07/2026
LeonAtlas
23
W
10/07/2026
AtlasPuebla
34
L
04/07/2026
AtlasNecaxa
00
D
01/07/2026
AtlasAtletico San Luis
01
L
10/05/2026
Cruz AzulAtlas
10
L

Referee Profile

Martin Molina Astorga, Mexico · 10 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
23.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 49% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca961220:9+1119LWWWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro842211:8+314DWWLD
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana842212:10+214DLWLW
7LeonLeon942312:10+214DWLDW
8PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
9AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
10MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca933315:10+512DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna92169:15-67WWLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca920:919
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro811:814
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana812:1014
7LeonLeon912:1014
8PueblaPuebla911:1114
9AtlasAtlas913:1514
10MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca915:1012
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna99:157
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
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Santos Laguna vs Atlas Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Santos Laguna and Atlas have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.16 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.