New York City FC vs New England Revolution Prediction

Citi Field, New York· Allen Chapman, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.59
SignalSTRONGModel72%RiskMediumGap+11.1%
New York City FC Rest
5 days
New England Revolution Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.50
X
25%3.50
2
35%2.64
Double Chance
1X
65%1.44
X2
60%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.54
No
33%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.22 = 2.77
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.68
Over 3.5
34%2.66
Under 1.5
22%4.33
Under 2.5
44%2.17
Under 3.5
66%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.58
Over 9.5
51%1.92
Over 10.5
39%2.46
Under 8.5
36%2.20
Under 9.5
49%1.77
Under 10.5
61%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 1.9 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.67
Over 4.5
40%2.27
Under 3.5
41%2.10
Under 4.5
60%1.54

Match Events

12'Carles Gil(Penalty)
18'Alhassan YusufFoul
19'Alhassan Yusuf INJackson Yueill out
31'Matt PolsterFoul
63'Aiden O'Neill INHannes Wolf out
63'Agustin Ojeda INLuighi Hanri Sousa Santos out
71'Luighi Hanri Sousa SantosAssist: Nicolás Fernández Mercau
72'Matt Polster INIlay Feingold out
72'Dor Turgeman INDániel Gazdag out
80'Jack Harrison INWilson Harris out
80'Peyton Miller INLuca Daniel·Langoni out
85'Goal cancelledDániel Gazdag
89'Bénie Adama Traoré INMalachi Jones out
90+3'Dániel GazdagAssist: Ilay Feingold
90+5'William Sands INTanner·Beason out

Lineups

New York City FC
4-3-3Coach: P. Jansen
New England Revolution
4-3-3Coach: M. Mićović
M. Freese49M. FreeseM. Freese
M. Ilenič35M. IleničM. Ilenič
Thiago Martins13T. MartinsThiago Martins
Raul Gustavo34R. GustavoRaul Gustavo
K. O'Toole22K. O'TooleK. O'Toole
N. Fernández Mercau7N. Fernández MercauN. Fernández Mercau
A. O'Neill21A. O'NeillA. O'Neill
J. Sands6J. SandsJ. Sands
A. Ojeda26A. OjedaA. Ojeda
B. Traoré9B. TraoréB. Traoré
A. Perea8A. PereaA. Perea
M. Turner30M. TurnerM. Turner
M. Polster8M. PolsterM. Polster
E. Kohler22E. KohlerE. Kohler
M. Fofana2M. FofanaM. Fofana
W. Sands23W. SandsW. Sands
Carles Gil10C. GilCarles Gil
B. Raines21B. RainesB. Raines
A. Yusuf80A. YusufA. Yusuf
J. Harrison11J. HarrisonJ. Harrison
D. Turgeman99D. TurgemanD. Turgeman
P. Miller25P. MillerP. Miller

New York City FC Substitutes

16A. MartínezF
24T. GrayD
88M. JonesF
23Maxwell MurrayD
30T. RomeroG
32J. ShoreM
20Luighi HanriF
17H. WolfF
2Nico CavalloD

New England Revolution Substitutes

14J. YueillM
4T. BeasonD
77D. FagundezM
12I. FeingoldD
16D. GazdagM
27W. HarrisF
41L. LangoniF
33D. ParisianG
7G. YowF

Match Stats

New York City FCNew England Revolution
65%Ball Possession35%
12Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal1
9Shots Inside Box9
9Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots4
5Fouls10
3Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves6
608Total Passes321
535Passes Accurate252
88%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

New York City FCNew York City FC
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
1592Elo Rating 1624
0.79Attack 1.83
2.20Defense 1.81
23%Hit Rate 66%
10.8Shots per Game 13.2
3.4Shots on Target 5.9
5.0Corners per Game 3.4
1.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

New York City FCNew York City FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

New York City FC 50%Draw 27%23% New England Revolution
2.03Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
19%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Allen Chapman, USA · 28 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
3.9Avg Cards
21.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 14% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
Promotion

New York City FC vs New England Revolution Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

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Key Factors for This Match

New England Revolution have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. New York City FC and New England Revolution have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.03 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.