Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Prediction

BMO Field, Toronto· Joseph Dickerson, USA 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel48%RiskMediumGap-0.1%
Toronto FC Rest
15 days
New England Revolution Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.00
X
25%3.70
2
25%3.40
Double Chance
1X
74%1.30
X2
50%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.57
No
36%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.3 = 2.80
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
35%2.63
Under 1.5
22%4.40
Under 2.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
65%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.3 = 9.5
Over 8.5
57%1.36
Over 9.5
46%1.63
Over 10.5
33%2.00
Under 8.5
43%2.90
Under 9.5
54%2.16
Under 10.5
67%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
62%1.64
Over 4.5
42%2.15
Under 3.5
38%2.19
Under 4.5
58%1.65

Match Events

25'B. Raines
40'P. Miller ING. Yow out
43'W. SandsOG
45+6'N. DorschAssist: D. Mihailovic
73'D. Turgeman INW. Harris out
74'W. Zimmerman
76'D. Mihailovic
81'M. Polster INM. Zambrano out
81'T. Corbeanu INZ. Monlouis out
81'D. Salloi INA. Coello out
86'B. Raines IND. Fagundez out
90'W. HarrisAssist: J. Harrison
90+1'J. Sargent INE. Aristizabal out
90+1'M. Cimermancic INK. Franklin out

Lineups

Toronto FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Robin Fraser
New England Revolution
4-3-3Coach: Marko Mitrovic
L. Gavran1L. GavranL. Gavran
R. Laryea22R. LaryeaR. Laryea
W. Zimmerman25W. ZimmermanW. Zimmerman
B. Kuscevic13B. KuscevicB. Kuscevic
J. Gilman38J. GilmanJ. Gilman
M. Cimermancic71M. CimermancicM. Cimermancic
N. Dorsch6N. DorschN. Dorsch
T. Corbeanu7T. CorbeanuT. Corbeanu
D. Mihailovic10D. MihailovicD. Mihailovic
D. Salloi20D. SalloiD. Salloi
J. Sargent9J. SargentJ. Sargent
M. Turner30M. TurnerM. Turner
M. Polster8M. PolsterM. Polster
E. Kohler22E. KohlerE. Kohler
M. Fofana2M. FofanaM. Fofana
W. Sands23W. SandsW. Sands
C. Gil10C. GilC. Gil
B. Raines21B. RainesB. Raines
A. Yusuf80A. YusufA. Yusuf
J. Harrison11J. HarrisonJ. Harrison
D. Turgeman99D. TurgemanD. Turgeman
P. Miller25P. MillerP. Miller

Toronto FC Substitutes

23W. YarbroughG
19K. FranklinD
44R. EdwardsD
12Z. MonlouisD
14A. CoelloM
78M. HenryM
11D. EtienneF
99J. VilsaintF
17E. AristizabalF

New England Revolution Substitutes

33D. ParisianG
4T. BeasonD
15C. BakerD
14J. YueillM
65J. SiqueiraF
77D. FagundezM
7G. YowF
17M. ZambranoF
27W. HarrisF

Match Stats

Toronto FCNew England Revolution
29%Ball Possession71%
0Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
3Total Shots24
1Shots on Goal7
1Shots off Goal11
2Shots Inside Box17
1Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots6
11Fouls5
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves0
264Total Passes622
199Passes Accurate565
75%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

Toronto FCToronto FC
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
1546Elo Rating 1624
1.68Attack 1.83
0.88Defense 1.81
37%Hit Rate 66%
14.9Shots per Game 13.2
5.7Shots on Target 5.9
4.1Corners per Game 3.4
1.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend23% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Toronto FCToronto FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Toronto FC 31%Draw 50%19% New England Revolution
1.15Avg Goals
23%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
1W2D2L
08/08/2026
New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo
02
L
02/08/2026
CF MontrealNew England Revolution
22
D
26/07/2026
New England RevolutionAtlanta United FC
41
W
23/07/2026
New England RevolutionToronto FC
00
D
24/05/2026
CharlotteNew England Revolution
10
L

Referee Profile

Joseph Dickerson, USA · 6 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
25.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 58% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami25129461:46+1545DDDWL
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2561:4645
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

New England Revolution have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Toronto FC and New England Revolution have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.15 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.