New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Prediction

Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison· Sergii Demianchuk, USA 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel42%RiskHighGap+6.7%
New York Red Bulls Rest
3 days
Chicago Fire Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.57
X
29%3.90
2
38%2.47
Double Chance
1X
62%1.55
X2
67%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.32
No
39%3.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.32 = 2.59
Over 1.5
76%1.09
Over 2.5
53%1.34
Over 3.5
31%1.86
Under 1.5
24%7.00
Under 2.5
47%3.17
Under 3.5
69%1.91
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.47
Over 9.5
52%1.82
Over 10.5
35%2.24
Under 8.5
39%2.50
Under 9.5
48%1.89
Under 10.5
65%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.5
69%1.42
Over 4.5
55%1.91
Under 3.5
31%2.58
Under 4.5
45%1.80

Match Events

17'L. Barroso
38'M. Haile-SelassieAssist: V. Radojevic
46'M. Jimenez INJ. Ruvalcaba out
46'C. Cowell INM. Sofo out
46'M. Dos Santos INJ. Marshall-Rutty out
56'D. Nealis INO. Valencia out
57'E. Forsberg INE. M. Choupo-Moting out
64'J. Waterman
65'S. Williams INA. Saletros out
65'P. Zinckernagel INR. Lewandowski out
66'M. Sofo
77'V. Radojevic INJ. Dean out
85'J. Hall INC. Harper out
85'C. HarperAssist: E. M. Choupo-Moting
86'M. Pineda IND. D'Avilla out
87'R. Lod INJ. Elliott out
87'J. Bamba INP. Dithejane out

Lineups

New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
4-3-3Coach: Mario Barcena

New York Red Bulls Starting XI

34E. HorvathG
12D. NealisD
2J. CheD
14J. BazanD
56M. Dos SantosD
48R. DonkorM
15A. MehmetiM
10E. ForsbergM
7C. CowellF
91M. JimenezF
16J. HallF

Chicago Fire Starting XI

1C. BradyG
2L. BarrosoD
5S. RogersD
16J. WatermanD
14V. RadojevicD
47S. WilliamsM
22M. PinedaM
7M. Haile-SelassieM
11P. ZinckernagelF
17R. LodF
19J. BambaF

New York Red Bulls Substitutes

77J. McCarthyG
5O. ValenciaD
26T. ParkerD
3J. Marshall-RuttyD
39N. BenedettiM
13E. M. Choupo-MotingF
17C. HarperF
11J. RuvalcabaF
37M. SofoF

Chicago Fire Substitutes

44J. CohenG
3J. ElliottD
15A. GutmanD
24J. DeanD
6A. SaletrosM
42D. D'AvillaM
29D. PorebaM
9R. LewandowskiF
12P. DithejaneF

Match Stats

New York Red BullsChicago Fire
48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal3
2Shots Inside Box8
9Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls10
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves5
504Total Passes542
447Passes Accurate481
89%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Chicago FireChicago Fire
1529Elo Rating 1648
0.64Attack 1.75
2.19Defense 0.84
50%Hit Rate 0%
10.5Shots per Game 14.8
2.8Shots on Target 5.8
4.9Corners per Game 6.3
2.3Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

New York Red Bulls 46%Draw 14%39% Chicago Fire
2.39Avg Goals
63%BTTS Rate
63%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Chicago FireChicago Fire
5W0D0L
20/08/2026
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
12
W
17/08/2026
Chicago FirePortland Timbers
21
W
14/08/2026
Cruz AzulChicago Fire
12
W
10/08/2026
Chicago FireSantos Laguna
31
W
07/08/2026
Chicago FireNecaxa
20
W

Referee Profile

Sergii Demianchuk, USA · 13 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
25.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 63% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.39 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.