Novara vs Desenzano Calvina Prediction

Serie C - Girone AItaly Italy · Girone A - 12
Novara
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Desenzano Calvina
Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara·D. Kovacevic 02/11/2026
NovaraNovara
1-0
Finished
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-10.2%
Novara Rest
8 days
Desenzano Calvina Rest
5 days

Novara vs Desenzano Calvina: result, form and history

Novara beat Desenzano Calvina 1-0 in the Serie C - Girone A on 2 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Desenzano Calvina had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Novara.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.10
X
29%3.00
2
32%3.40
Double Chance
1X
68%1.25
X2
60%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.83
No
48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.38 = 2.50
Over 1.5
70%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.05
Over 3.5
26%3.67
Under 1.5
30%3.06
Under 2.5
54%1.66
Under 3.5
74%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'E. LaniniAssist: E. Zambataro
17'A. Pilati INL. Baldi out
18'E. Lanini IND. Zuppel out
33'D. Dell'Erba
48'M. Romano
51'F. Liberati INM. Moscati out
51'L. Lupano INV. Millico out
57'R. Collodel INL. D'Alessio out
64'F. Lorenzini
70'C. Santini
77'L. Giorgi IND. Andreis out
77'C. Santini INL. Ubaldi out
85'N. Ledonne INJ. Canneti out
86'R. Arboscello INA. Valdesi out
90+3'F. Brancolini

Team Comparison

NovaraNovara
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
1459Elo Rating 1565
1.07Attack 1.31
1.17Defense 1.62
17%Hit Rate 58%

Game State Tendencies

NovaraNovara
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

NovaraNovara
2W3D5L
25/10/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
20
L18/10/2026
AlbinoleffeNovara
22
D10/10/2026
NovaraCittadella
02
L
04/10/2026
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
12
W
26/09/2026
NovaraOspitaletto
02
L
20/09/2026
NovaraAthletic Carpi
22
D17/09/2026
LumezzaneNovara
00
D
13/09/2026
NovaraPergolettese
01
L
07/09/2026
RenateNovara
12
W
03/09/2026
NovaraLivorno
1040
L
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
4W2D4L
28/10/2026
Dolomiti BellunesiDesenzano Calvina
01
W
25/10/2026
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
12
L18/10/2026
AlcioneDesenzano Calvina
41
L10/10/2026
Desenzano CalvinaDolomiti Bellunesi
20
W03/10/2026
Folgore CarateseDesenzano Calvina
12
W
26/09/2026
Desenzano CalvinaJuventus U23
00
D
21/09/2026
TrevisoDesenzano Calvina
00
D17/09/2026
Desenzano CalvinaLecco
13
L
13/09/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoDesenzano Calvina
12
W
06/09/2026
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
10
L

League Table

Serie C - Girone A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CittadellaCittadella12100219:6+1330WLWWL
2Union BresciaUnion Brescia1274123:9+1425WWLWD
3TrentoTrento1266017:6+1124DWWWD
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1263317:12+521DWLWD
5OspitalettoOspitaletto1254318:11+719DLLWD
6TrevisoTreviso1254312:9+319LWWLD
7AlcioneAlcione1246221:18+318WLWDD
8LeccoLecco1245318:11+717WDWDD
9AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1245319:17+217WDDLW
10PergolettesePergolettese1245312:12017LWWWD
11Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1134410:13-313LLWWD
12LumezzaneLumezzane1234513:17-413DLLDW
13PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1133510:19-912WLLWD
14Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1233616:26-1012LWWLL
15Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1225513:17-411LWWDD
16NovaraNovara1124510:16-610LDLWL
17Juventus U23Juventus U231124511:18-710LWDLD
18Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi122468:18-1010LLLLL
19RenateRenate1215614:16-28WDLDD
20Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1214711:21-107LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CittadellaCittadella1219:630
2Union BresciaUnion Brescia1223:925
3TrentoTrento1217:624
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1217:1221
5OspitalettoOspitaletto1218:1119
6TrevisoTreviso1212:919
7AlcioneAlcione1221:1818
8LeccoLecco1218:1117
9AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1219:1717
10PergolettesePergolettese1212:1217
11Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1110:1313
12LumezzaneLumezzane1213:1713
13PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1110:1912
14Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1216:2612
15Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1213:1711
16NovaraNovara1110:1610
17Juventus U23Juventus U231111:1810
18Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi128:1810
19RenateRenate1214:168
20Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1211:217
PromotionRelegation

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About the Novara vs Desenzano Calvina forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Novara and Desenzano Calvina in the Serie C - Girone A table

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Desenzano Calvina are 11th and Novara 16th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Novara 10-16, Desenzano Calvina 10-13. The full standings are on the Serie C - Girone A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novara and Desenzano Calvina have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.