OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen Prediction

OH Leuven
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
KV Mechelen
The King Power AT Den Dreef Stadium, Heverlee·Lawrence Visser, Belgium 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.37
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
OH Leuven Rest
6 days
KV Mechelen Rest
2 days

OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen: the result in context

OH Leuven beat KV Mechelen 2-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Lawrence Visser averages 4.86 cards a game, 0.63 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.28
X
29%3.48
2
31%2.89
Double Chance
1X
69%1.37
X2
60%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.61
No
42%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.39 = 2.83
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.79
Over 3.5
32%2.90
Under 1.5
23%3.90
Under 2.5
45%2.01
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 5.4 = 11.1
Over 8.5
75%1.27
Over 9.5
65%1.50
Over 10.5
54%1.85
Under 8.5
25%3.30
Under 9.5
35%2.42
Under 10.5
46%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.7 = 5.3
Over 3.5
78%1.44
Over 4.5
62%1.87
Under 3.5
22%2.65
Under 4.5
38%1.87

Match Events

32'M. Decherf IND. Praet out
46'B. Raman INC. Van Meirvenne out
50'E. AddaiAssist: R. Mirisola
53'F. HammarFoul
62'J. LawrenceFoul
72'E. Addai INK. Vaesen out
72'O. Gil INT. Vlietinck out
73'M. Lohunanu-Mbasi INH. Ozdemir out
73'J. Marsa INB. Antonio out
76'M. van BrederodeFoul
80'S. SchrijversFoul
86'R. MirisolaFoul
88'F. Hammar INK. Vanrafelghem out
90+3'R. Nyakossi INN. Dussenne out
90+4'W. Balikwisha

Lineups

OH Leuven
3-4-2-1
KV Mechelen
3-4-1-2
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.92
Dani van den Heuvel7.31D. van den Heuvel
Jamie Lawrence7.05J. Lawrence
Ewoud Pletinckx7.928E. Pletinckx
Roggerio Nyakossi6.934R. Nyakossi
Óscar Gil6.927Ó. Gil
Wouter George6.76W. George
Siebe SchrijversC7.78S. Schrijvers
Davis Opoku6.999D. Opoku
Emmanuel Addai7.97E. Addai
William Balikwisha6.321W. Balikwisha
Robin Mirisola7.618R. Mirisola
Ortwin De Wolf7.71O. De Wolf
Kobe Corbanie7.220K. Corbanie
Mike Eerdhuijzen7.344M. Eerdhuijzen
José Marsà6.93J. Marsà
Simion Michez7.223S. Michez
Fredrik HammarC7.26F. Hammar
Marco Decherf6.230M. Decherf
Thérence Koudou6.97T. Koudou
Myron Van Brederode7.29M. Van Brederode
Benito Raman6.714B. Raman
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi6.319M. Lohunanu-Mbasi

OH Leuven Substitutes

13Kiany Vroman
30Alessandro Fontanarosa
77Thibault Vlietinck72'for O. Gil6.7
3Noë Dussenne90+3'for R. Nyakossi
24Łukasz Łakomy
48Bryang Kayo
17Kyan Vaesen72'for E. Addai6.7
19Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
20Shin Yamada

KV Mechelen Substitutes

26Dennis Praet32'for M. Decherf6.9
17Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne46'for B. Raman6.9
15Tijn Van Ingelgom
2Luc Marijnissen
4Gora Diouf
39Massimo Decoene
29Bill Antonio73'for J. Marsa6.6
21Halil Özdemir73'for M. Lohunanu-Mbasi6.6
27Keano Vanrafelghem88'for F. Hammar

Match Stats

OH LeuvenKV Mechelen
43%Ball Possession57%
6Corner Kicks16
3Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots17
6Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal10
11Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots5
20Fouls9
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
362Total Passes462
276Passes Accurate380
76%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

OH LeuvenOH Leuven
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
1549Elo Rating 1594
1.64Attack 2.67
2.11Defense 2.04
61%Hit Rate 86%
17.9Shots per Game 11.2
4.2Shots on Target 4.8
6.4Corners per Game 3.7
2.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

OH LeuvenOH Leuven
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 1.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

OH LeuvenOH Leuven3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
KV MechelenKV Mechelen4Wins · 40%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League01/02/2026
OH LeuvenKV Mechelen
22
Jupiler Pro League25/10/2025
KV MechelenOH Leuven
11
Jupiler Pro League03/05/2025
OH LeuvenKV Mechelen
12
Jupiler Pro League13/04/2025
KV MechelenOH Leuven
11
Jupiler Pro League31/01/2025
OH LeuvenKV Mechelen
10
Jupiler Pro League05/10/2024
KV MechelenOH Leuven
50
Jupiler Pro League27/04/2024
KV MechelenOH Leuven
30
Jupiler Pro League30/03/2024
OH LeuvenKV Mechelen
23
Jupiler Pro League17/03/2024
OH LeuvenKV Mechelen
10
Jupiler Pro League23/09/2023
KV MechelenOH Leuven
12

Referee Profile

Lawrence Visser216 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.57Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lawrence Visser4.86
Other referees4.23

4.86 cards a match, 0.63 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.23).

Cards come from 184 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1192030:7+2329WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1191127:9+1828DWWWW
3GentGent1191120:6+1428WLWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi1190226:13+1327WWLWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1162314:12+220DWLWW
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1144315:13+216DWDWD
7GenkGenk1143418:15+315LLWWL
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1143418:16+215WDLLL
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1142526:30-414LLDWW
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1133512:17-512WWDDW
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1133513:20-712LWWWD
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1132622:22011WLLLL
13AntwerpAntwerp1132618:24-611DLWLL
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1132613:20-711LLLLL
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1131713:23-1010LLDLL
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1123614:22-89WWLLL
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1121813:24-117LLWLL
18KortrijkKortrijk111194:23-194LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1130:729
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1127:928
3GentGent1120:628
4CharleroiCharleroi1126:1327
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1114:1220
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1115:1316
7GenkGenk1118:1515
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1118:1615
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1126:3014
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1112:1712
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1113:2012
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1122:2211
13AntwerpAntwerp1118:2411
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1113:2011
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1113:2310
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1114:229
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1113:247
18KortrijkKortrijk114:234
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About the OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

OH Leuven and KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, OH Leuven (10th) and KV Mechelen (11th) are level on 12 points. League goal record so far: OH Leuven 12-17, KV Mechelen 13-20. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

KV Mechelen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.