Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven Prediction

Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels·Nathan Verboomen, Belgium 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Union St. Gilloise Rest
21 days
OH Leuven Rest
22 days

Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven: result, form and history

Union St. Gilloise and OH Leuven drew 1-1 in the Jupiler Pro League on 11 Oct 2026. Union St. Gilloise had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 1 for OH Leuven.

Union St. Gilloise have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
77%1.25
X
16%6.00
2
7%10.25
Double Chance
1X
93%1.03
X2
23%3.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.89
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.5 + 0.8 = 3.30
Over 1.5
85%1.11
Over 2.5
65%1.44
Over 3.5
45%2.20
Under 1.5
15%5.44
Under 2.5
35%2.60
Under 3.5
55%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
62%1.29
Over 9.5
52%1.52
Over 10.5
38%1.89
Under 8.5
38%3.05
Under 9.5
48%2.30
Under 10.5
62%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.6 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.67
Over 4.5
39%2.32
Under 3.5
42%2.12
Under 4.5
61%1.57

Match Events

6'W. BalikwishaFoul
17'D. OpokuAssist: W. George
42'J. LawrenceFoul
43'O. GilUnsportsmanlike conduct
56'N. Chibani IND. De Roeve out
56'R. Mofokeng INR. Florucz out
66'D. OpokuOG
67'Guilherme Smith IND. Aquino out
67'D. Olaru INA. Ait El Hadj out
69'L. Lakomy INB. Verstraete out
72'R. Mirisola INC. Ikwuemesi out
85'D. Opoku INT. Ogiwara out
85'W. George INK. Vaesen out
85'S. Schrijvers INE. Pletinckx out
90'M. Sylla IND. Egel out
90+1'L. PatrisSerious foul

Lineups

Union St. Gilloise
3-1-4-2
OH Leuven
3-4-3
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.77
Hervé Koffi6.212H. Koffi
Nikki Havenaar7.255N. Havenaar
Massire Sylla7.229M. Sylla
Nohim Chibani6.34N. Chibani
Kamiel Van de PerreC7.36K. Van de Perre
Louis Patris7.727L. Patris
Besfort Zeneli7.323B. Zeneli
Darius Olaru6.928D. Olaru
Guilherme Smith6.711G. Smith
Mateo Biondic6.69M. Biondic
Relebohile Mofokeng6.338R. Mofokeng
Kiany Vroman6.613K. Vroman
Jamie Lawrence6.25J. Lawrence
Noë Dussenne7.03N. Dussenne
Roggerio Nyakossi7.534R. Nyakossi
Óscar Gil7.227Ó. Gil
Wouter George6.66W. George
Siebe SchrijversC7.08S. Schrijvers
Davis Opoku7.299D. Opoku
Łukasz Łakomy6.624Ł. Łakomy
Robin Mirisola6.718R. Mirisola
William Balikwisha6.921W. Balikwisha

Union St. Gilloise Substitutes

21Denzel De Roeve56'for N. Chibani6.7
30Raul Florucz56'for R. Mofokeng6.6
10Anouar Ait El Hadj67'for D. Olaru6.9
20Dylan Aquino67'for Guilherme Smith6.9
1Vic Chambaere
71Keo Boets
33Dennis Egel90'for M. Sylla
14Ivan Pavlić

OH Leuven Substitutes

4Birger Verstraete69'for L. Lakomy6.3
61Owen Jochmans
30Alessandro Fontanarosa
28Ewoud Pletinckx85'for S. Schrijvers
26Takuya Ogiwara85'for D. Opoku
72Sebastian Murru
7Emmanuel Addai
19Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi72'for R. Mirisola6.2
17Kyan Vaesen85'for W. George

Match Stats

Union St. GilloiseOH Leuven
63%Ball Possession37%
9Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
18Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots5
11Fouls11
1Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves2
551Total Passes344
445Passes Accurate240
81%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
1870Elo Rating 1522
1.99Attack 1.05
2.58Defense 2.18
58%Hit Rate 46%
18.8Shots per Game 12.0
7.1Shots on Target 2.9
5.4Corners per Game 3.5
1.7Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+348 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.3 goals

Game State Tendencies

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
OH LeuvenOH Leuven1Wins · 10%
2.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League24/01/2026
OH LeuvenUnion St. Gilloise
00
Jupiler Pro League03/08/2025
Union St. GilloiseOH Leuven
50
Jupiler Pro League19/01/2025
Union St. GilloiseOH Leuven
10
Jupiler Pro League24/11/2024
OH LeuvenUnion St. Gilloise
11
Jupiler Pro League02/03/2024
OH LeuvenUnion St. Gilloise
02
Jupiler Pro League12/08/2023
Union St. GilloiseOH Leuven
51
Jupiler Pro League21/01/2023
Union St. GilloiseOH Leuven
10
Jupiler Pro League01/10/2022
OH LeuvenUnion St. Gilloise
03
Jupiler Pro League11/03/2022
OH LeuvenUnion St. Gilloise
14
Jupiler Pro League26/11/2021
Union St. GilloiseOH Leuven
13

Referee Profile

Nathan Verboomen169 matches

4.56Cards per match
4.27Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nathan Verboomen4.56
Other referees4.12

4.56 cards a match, 0.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.12).

Cards come from 142 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent871015:4+1122WWDWW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV870119:4+1521WWWWL
3CharleroiCharleroi870116:7+921WWWLW
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise862022:4+1820DWWWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht85129:6+316WWWDW
6KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo841320:17+313WWWWD
7GenkGenk833216:12+412WLDDW
8Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem832310:9+111LLLWD
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege832313:13011LLLWW
10Lommel UnitedLommel United83239:9011WDLLW
11SK BeverenSK Beveren83058:14-69LLWWL
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden822415:16-18LLLWL
13AntwerpAntwerp821512:20-87LLLLL
14KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
15OH LeuvenOH Leuven81256:14-85DWDLL
16RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière81168:18-104LLWLD
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge80359:16-73LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent815:422
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV819:421
3CharleroiCharleroi816:721
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise822:420
5AnderlechtAnderlecht89:616
6KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo820:1713
7GenkGenk816:1212
8Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem810:911
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege813:1311
10Lommel UnitedLommel United89:911
11SK BeverenSK Beveren88:149
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden815:168
13AntwerpAntwerp812:207
14KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
15OH LeuvenOH Leuven86:145
16RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière88:184
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge89:163
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union St. Gilloise and OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League table

The table shows a wide gap: Union St. Gilloise are 4th in the Jupiler Pro League, while OH Leuven sit 15th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Union St. Gilloise 22-4, OH Leuven 6-14. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

OH Leuven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.