Deportes Tolima vs Junior Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Value Analysis
52%Trust
1X2
Home Win
2.09
SignalNEUTRALModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Deportes Tolima Rest
4 days
Junior Rest
3 days
Deportes Tolima vs Junior: result, form and history
Deportes Tolima beat Junior 2-1 in the Primera A on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches. Deportes Tolima tend to win more corners, 5.4 a game to 3.4 for Junior.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%2.09
X29%3.10
222%3.60
Double Chance
1X78%1.25
X251%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.83
No51%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 0.88 = 2.11
Over 1.567%1.33
Over 2.536%2.09
Over 3.516%3.69
Under 1.533%3.05
Under 2.564%1.70
Under 3.584%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.1 = 8.9
Over 8.551%1.61
Over 9.539%1.91
Over 10.529%2.50
Under 8.549%2.12
Under 9.561%1.80
Under 10.571%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.560%-
Over 4.539%-
Under 3.540%-
Under 4.561%-
Match Events
25'J. Sarmiento
37'J. HurtadoAssist: J. Hernandez
45+1'K. FlorezAssist: J. Hurtado
46'C. Trujillo INH. E. Martinez Yepez out
46'F. S. Angel Bernal ING. Celis out
46'J. Sarmiento INY. Chara out
49'J. Hurtado
59'E. Valencia INJ. Valencia out
59'K. Florez INA. Parra Osorio out
67'C. Barrios INJ. Canchimbo out
68'J. Hurtado INC. Arrieta out
72'K. Perez IND. Caicedo out
79'G. PaivaAssist: D. Caicedo
86'L. Sandoval INS. P. Barbosa Gomez out
90'J. Canchimbo
90+1'J. Rios INJ. D. Munive out
90+4'G. Paiva
Lineups
Deportes TolimaJunior
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfredo AriasAvg ratingAvg rating
13M. Ortega
33J. Mosquera
3J. Ángulo
C2A. Angulo
20J. Hernández
7J. Hurtado
6C. Trujillo
32S. Guzmán
18K. Florez
8E. Valencia
9L. Sandoval
30J. Martínez
5D. Rivera
3E. Herrera
98J. Peña
26Y. Suárez
14J. David Ríos
C80F. Ángel
77C. Barrios
20J. Sarmiento
18K. Pérez
9G. PaivaDeportes Tolima Substitutes
14Homer Martinez46'for C. Trujillo
24Adrián Parra59'for K. Florez
11Jader Valencia59'for E. Valencia
17Cristian Arrieta68'for J. Hurtado
30Shean Barbosa86'for L. Sandoval
23Gali Balanta
71Yordan Osorio
19Santiago Joven
22Santiago Urrutia
Junior Substitutes
28Guillermo Celis46'for F. S. Angel Bernal
8Yimmi Chará46'for J. Sarmiento
21Joel Canchimbo67'for C. Barrios90'
25Déiber Caicedo72'for K. Perez
15José Munive
12Jaime Acosta
24Jean Carlos Pestaña
6Dilan Villareal
99Fabian Correa
Match Stats
Deportes TolimaJunior 40%Ball Possession60%
1Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots5
14Fouls8
1Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
421Total Passes621
366Passes Accurate549
87%Pass Accuracy88%
Team Comparison
Deportes TolimaJunior1566Elo Rating 1559
1.33Attack 1.10
1.61Defense 1.82
27%Hit Rate 19%
14.3Shots per Game 10.6
5.2Shots on Target 3.0
5.4Corners per Game 3.4
3.5Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Deportes Tolima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Junior- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Deportes Tolima4Wins · 40%Draws220%
Junior4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%1.8Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10
Previous meetings
19/01/2026JuniorDeportes Tolima02
17/12/2025Deportes TolimaJunior01
13/12/2025JuniorDeportes Tolima30
06/10/2025JuniorDeportes Tolima01
19/06/2025Deportes TolimaJunior20
01/06/2025JuniorDeportes Tolima11
16/04/2025Deportes TolimaJunior00
05/12/2024JuniorDeportes Tolima32
25/11/2024Deportes TolimaJunior10
25/08/2024Deportes TolimaJunior01
Recent Form
Deportes Tolima5W2D3L
22/07/2026Deportes Tolima
Quindio
Deportes TolimaQuindio21
W27/05/2026
UniversitarioDeportes Tolima
UniversitarioDeportes Tolima00
D24/05/2026
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima31
L20/05/2026
Coquimbo UnidoDeportes Tolima
Coquimbo UnidoDeportes Tolima30
L17/05/2026Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional
Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional01
L14/05/2026
Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima
Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima02
W10/05/2026Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto10
W07/05/2026Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportes TolimaClub Nacional30
W03/05/2026Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Cali
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Cali11
D29/04/2026Deportes TolimaCoquimbo Unido
Deportes TolimaCoquimbo Unido30
WJunior4W3D3L
23/07/2026Junior
Barranquilla
09/06/2026JuniorBarranquilla22
DAtletico NacionalJunior10
L03/06/2026JuniorAtletico Nacional
JuniorAtletico Nacional30
W29/05/2026
PalmeirasJunior
PalmeirasJunior41
L24/05/2026Junior
Santa Fe
JuniorSanta Fe5040
W21/05/2026Junior
Sporting Cristal
JuniorSporting Cristal32
W17/05/2026Santa FeJunior
Santa FeJunior11
D14/05/2026Junior
Once Caldas
JuniorOnce Caldas22
D11/05/2026Once CaldasJunior
Once CaldasJunior01
W08/05/2026Junior
Cerro Porteno
JuniorCerro Porteno01
LReferee Profile
6.36Cards per match
5.76Yellow cards per match
0.60Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.36 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.01).
Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWWDL |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWDDL |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DLDWD |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DLWDW |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 36 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:18 | +10 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 | DLWDW |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 23 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 | WLWDL |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 19 | DWWLW |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 19 | LLWLW |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 15 | LWWDL |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 31:12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 25:27 | 19 |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 15:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 13:29 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Llaneros vs Deportivo Pereira 25/07/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Jaguares 25/07/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto 25/07/26
- Millonarios vs Bucaramanga 26/07/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs America de Cali 26/07/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe 26/07/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza FC 27/07/26
- Once Caldas vs Cucuta 27/07/26
About the Deportes Tolima vs Junior forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Deportes Tolima and Junior in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Junior are 2nd and Deportes Tolima 6th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportes Tolima 27-17, Junior 31-24. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.