Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay: the result in context
Monterey Bay beat Orange County SC 2-1 in the USL Championship on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Orange County SC
Monterey BayAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Orange County SC- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Monterey Bay- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Orange County SC4Wins · 45%4Wins · 44%Previous meetings
26/07/2026Monterey BayOrange County SC12/07/2025Monterey BayOrange County SC23/03/2025Orange County SCMonterey Bay22/09/2024Monterey BayOrange County SC28/04/2024Orange County SCMonterey Bay15/10/2023Monterey BayOrange County SC02/07/2023Orange County SCMonterey Bay08/09/2022Monterey BayOrange County SC10/07/2022Orange County SCMonterey BayRecent Form
Orange County SCOrange County SC
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
LexingtonOrange County SCOrange County SC
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
Sacramento Republic
Oakland RootsOrange County SCOrange County SC
FC TulsaOrange County SC
Louisville CityOrange County SC
Tampa Bay RowdiesOrange County SC
El Paso LocomotiveMonterey BayOrange County SCMonterey BayMonterey BayLexington
Charleston BatteryMonterey BayMonterey Bay
Phoenix RisingMonterey BaySacramento Republic
Rhode IslandMonterey BayOakland RootsMonterey BayMonterey Bay
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso LocomotiveMonterey BayLexingtonMonterey BayMonterey BayOrange County SCLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 48:37 | +11 | 50 | LWLDW |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 44:34 | +10 | 49 | LWWLL |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 39:26 | +13 | 48 | WDDWW |
| 4 | Lexington | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 54:36 | +18 | 47 | WDWWW |
| 5 |  Colorado Springs | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WDDDD |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34:29 | +5 | 43 | LDDWD |
| 7 |  San Antonio | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 30:29 | +1 | 42 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 39 | WWLLL |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38:47 | -9 | 39 | LLLWL |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 38 | WDDWW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40:46 | -6 | 36 | LLWLD |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 30:51 | -21 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 29 | 48:37 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 29 | 44:34 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 29 | 39:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Lexington | 29 | 54:36 | 47 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 29 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 29 | 34:29 | 43 |
| 7 | San Antonio | 29 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 29 | 42:43 | 39 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 29 | 38:47 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 29 | 37:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 29 | 40:46 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 29 | 30:51 | 21 |
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This match
About the Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay forecast
The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Orange County SC and Monterey Bay in the USL Championship table
In the USL Championship table, Orange County SC are 9th and Monterey Bay 12th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Orange County SC 38-47, Monterey Bay 30-51. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.