Monterey Bay vs Lexington Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Monterey Bay vs Lexington: the result in context
Lexington beat Monterey Bay 3-2 in the USL Championship on 27 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lexington had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Monterey Bay.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Monterey Bay
LexingtonAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Monterey Bay- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Lexington- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Monterey Bay1Wins · 25%2Wins · 50%Previous meetings
02/08/2026LexingtonMonterey Bay09/05/2026LexingtonMonterey Bay08/06/2025Monterey BayLexington20/04/2025LexingtonMonterey BayRecent Form
Monterey Bay
Charleston BatteryMonterey BayMonterey Bay
Phoenix RisingMonterey Bay
Sacramento Republic
Rhode IslandMonterey Bay
Oakland RootsMonterey BayMonterey Bay
New Mexico United
El Paso LocomotiveMonterey BayLexingtonMonterey BayMonterey Bay
Orange County SCPhoenix RisingMonterey BayLexingtonLexingtonOrange County SCOakland RootsLexington
Sporting JAXLexingtonLexington
Colorado SpringsNew Mexico UnitedLexingtonLexington
Las Vegas LightsSacramento RepublicLexingtonLexingtonPhoenix RisingLexingtonMonterey Bay
FC TulsaLexingtonLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 48:37 | +11 | 50 | LWLDW |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 44:34 | +10 | 49 | LWWLL |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 39:26 | +13 | 48 | WDDWW |
| 4 | Lexington | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 54:36 | +18 | 47 | WDWWW |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WDDDD |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34:29 | +5 | 43 | LDDWD |
| 7 |  San Antonio | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 30:29 | +1 | 42 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 39 | WWLLL |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38:47 | -9 | 39 | LLLWL |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 38 | WDDWW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40:46 | -6 | 36 | LLWLD |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 30:51 | -21 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 29 | 48:37 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 29 | 44:34 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 29 | 39:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Lexington | 29 | 54:36 | 47 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 29 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 29 | 34:29 | 43 |
| 7 | San Antonio | 29 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 29 | 42:43 | 39 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 29 | 38:47 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 29 | 37:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 29 | 40:46 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 29 | 30:51 | 21 |
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This match
About the Monterey Bay vs Lexington forecast
The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Monterey Bay and Lexington in the USL Championship table
The table shows a wide gap: Lexington are 4th in the USL Championship, while Monterey Bay sit 12th, 26 points behind. League goal record so far: Monterey Bay 30-51, Lexington 54-36. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.