Paysandu vs La Luz Prediction

Paysandu
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
La Luz
12/09/2026
PaysanduPaysandu
0-1
Finished
La LuzLa Luz

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+2.5%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Paysandu Rest
7 days
La Luz Rest
8 days

Paysandu vs La Luz: the result in context

La Luz beat Paysandu 1-0 in the Segunda División on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Paysandu had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for La Luz.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.88
X
25%2.94
2
29%2.40
Double Chance
1X
71%1.50
X2
54%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.91
No
50%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.96 = 2.46
Over 1.5
67%1.40
Over 2.5
46%2.27
Over 3.5
25%4.10
Under 1.5
33%2.67
Under 2.5
54%1.55
Under 3.5
75%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

PaysanduPaysandu
La LuzLa Luz
1462Elo Rating 1466
1.48Attack 1.47
1.97Defense 2.01
59%Hit Rate 56%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

PaysanduPaysandu
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
La LuzLa Luz
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

PaysanduPaysandu1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
La LuzLa Luz0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Segunda División06/06/2026
La LuzPaysandu
12

Recent Form

PaysanduPaysandu
6W1D3L
05/09/2026
CerritoPaysandu
12
W
30/08/2026
PaysanduAtenas
20
W
22/08/2026
PaysanduCA River Plate
00
D
15/08/2026
Sportivo HuracanPaysandu
32
L
08/08/2026
Uruguay MontevideoPaysandu
10
L
04/08/2026
PaysanduOriental
21
W
25/07/2026
ColónPaysandu
23
W
14/07/2026
PaysanduFenix
10
W
04/07/2026
RentistasPaysandu
12
W
28/06/2026
PaysanduMiramar
23
L
La LuzLa Luz
2W3D5L
04/09/2026
La LuzSportivo Huracan
13
L
29/08/2026
Uruguay MontevideoLa Luz
00
D
23/08/2026
La LuzOriental
02
L
17/08/2026
ColónLa Luz
21
L
08/08/2026
FenixLa Luz
00
D
01/08/2026
La LuzRentistas
25
L
27/07/2026
MiramarLa Luz
01
W
13/07/2026
La LuzTacuarembo
20
W
04/07/2026
Plaza ColoniaLa Luz
10
L
28/06/2026
CA River PlateLa Luz
00
D

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313WWLWW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712DDWWL
3FenixFenix632113:7+611LDWLD
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310WDLWW
5ColónColón62318:5+39LDLWW
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29LDLDL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19WLWWD
8CerritoCerrito62318:809LDDLL
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17WLWLD
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45LWWLD
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34DLWWD
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64DWDWL
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74WDLLD
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas26145736:23+1347DWDWL
2RentistasRentistas26127735:27+843WLWWD
3ColónColón26126830:27+342LDLWW
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia26108831:26+538DDWWL
5La LuzLa Luz26107925:27-237WLWLD
6PaysanduPaysandu251051033:32+135DLWWD
7CA River PlateCA River Plate26971037:34+334WDLLD
8OrientalOriental26810834:31+334WWLWW
9CerritoCerrito26810832:30+234LDDLL
10Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan26971027:33-634WDLWW
11MiramarMiramar2689929:32-333LWWLD
12FenixFenix26710928:31-331LDWLD
13TacuaremboTacuarembo26681220:31-1126DDDLL
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo25571323:36-1322LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2636:2347
2RentistasRentistas2635:2743
3ColónColón2630:2742
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2631:2638
5La LuzLa Luz2625:2737
6PaysanduPaysandu2533:3235
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2637:3434
8OrientalOriental2634:3134
9CerritoCerrito2632:3034
10Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2627:3334
11MiramarMiramar2629:3233
12FenixFenix2628:3131
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2620:3126
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2523:3622

About the Paysandu vs La Luz forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Paysandu and La Luz in the Segunda División table

La Luz and Paysandu are close in the Segunda División table, 9th and 11th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Paysandu 4-7, La Luz 5-6. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Paysandu and La Luz have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.