Lexington vs Phoenix Rising Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Lexington vs Phoenix Rising: the result in context
Lexington beat Phoenix Rising 1-0 in the USL Championship on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Lexington
Phoenix RisingAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Lexington- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Phoenix Rising- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Lexington2Wins · 100%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
10/08/2025LexingtonPhoenix Rising05/07/2025Phoenix RisingLexingtonRecent Form
LexingtonLexington
Monterey Bay
FC TulsaLexingtonLexington
Oakland RootsLexington
New Mexico United
Louisville CityLexington
Tampa Bay RowdiesLexingtonLexington
Indy ElevenLexington
San Antonio
Detroit CityLexington
El Paso LocomotiveLexingtonPhoenix Rising
Las Vegas LightsPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Hartford AthleticPhoenix RisingMonterey Bay
AltaPhoenix Rising
Colorado SpringsPhoenix RisingPhoenix RisingOakland RootsEl Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingPhoenix RisingLouisville CityNew Mexico UnitedPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Sacramento RepublicLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 9 |  Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 32:52 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More USL Championship matches
- Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive 02/08/26
- Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX 02/08/26
- Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island 03/08/26
- Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots 06/08/26
- Loudoun United vs Charleston Battery 09/08/26
- Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights 09/08/26
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic 09/08/26
- FC Tulsa vs Detroit City 09/08/26
About the Lexington vs Phoenix Rising forecast
The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lexington and Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship table
In the USL Championship table, Lexington are 4th and Phoenix Rising 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Lexington 57-39, Phoenix Rising 45-46. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Phoenix Rising have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lexington and Phoenix Rising have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.