Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights: the result in context
Sacramento Republic beat Las Vegas Lights 3-2 in the USL Championship on 1 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Sacramento Republic
Las Vegas LightsAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Sacramento Republic- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Las Vegas Lights- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sacramento Republic4Wins · 40%3Wins · 30%Previous meetings
12/04/2026Las Vegas LightsSacramento Republic05/07/2025Las Vegas LightsSacramento Republic18/05/2025Sacramento RepublicLas Vegas Lights02/11/2024Las Vegas LightsSacramento Republic22/09/2024Las Vegas LightsSacramento Republic04/07/2024Sacramento RepublicLas Vegas Lights02/10/2023Sacramento RepublicLas Vegas Lights30/07/2023Las Vegas LightsSacramento Republic21/08/2022Las Vegas LightsSacramento Republic01/05/2022Sacramento RepublicLas Vegas LightsRecent Form
Sacramento Republic
New Mexico UnitedSacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
San AntonioSacramento Republic
Detroit City
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
Monterey BaySacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
Phoenix RisingSacramento Republic
Lexington
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
FC TulsaSacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
Sporting JAXLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
Hartford AthleticOrange County SCLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas LightsNew Mexico UnitedLas Vegas Lights
Charleston BatteryLexingtonLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
Brooklyn
Miami FCLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
Oakland RootsLas Vegas LightsPhoenix RisingDetroit CityLas Vegas LightsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 |  El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 5 |  Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 32:52 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More USL Championship matches
About the Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights forecast
The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sacramento Republic and Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship table
The table shows a wide gap: Sacramento Republic are 2nd in the USL Championship, while Las Vegas Lights sit 11th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Sacramento Republic 42-28, Las Vegas Lights 41-48. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.