Pisa vs Padova Prediction

Pisa
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Padova
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa·Mario Perri, Italy 23/08/2026
PisaPisa
0-1
Finished
PadovaPadova

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
Pisa Rest
6 days
Padova Rest
8 days

Pisa vs Padova: the result in context

Padova beat Pisa 1-0 in the Serie B on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Pisa tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 3.0 for Padova.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.74
X
32%3.52
2
19%4.83
Double Chance
1X
81%1.17
X2
52%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.92
No
51%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 0.99 = 2.37
Over 1.5
69%1.34
Over 2.5
41%2.08
Over 3.5
24%3.75
Under 1.5
31%3.12
Under 2.5
59%1.72
Under 3.5
76%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.3 = 9.3
Over 8.5
59%1.67
Over 9.5
50%2.10
Over 10.5
39%2.74
Under 8.5
41%2.07
Under 9.5
50%1.67
Under 10.5
61%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.4 = 4.9
Over 3.5
74%1.40
Over 4.5
52%1.84
Under 3.5
26%2.60
Under 4.5
48%1.84

Match Events

35'Isak VuralFoul
46'A. Caracciolo INR. Bozhinov out
46'M. Bortolussi INK. Lasagna out
61'M. Tramoni INE. Rao out
62'I. Vural INO. Correia out
62'L. Zanimacchia INM. Cocchi out
63'P. Fusi
69'M. Pompetti ING. Giunti out
70'G. Caprari INA. Seghetti out
72'Giovanni GiuntiFoul
74'F. Loyola INI. Ferrah out
77'F. Sgarbi INE. Silletti out
86'S. Zanon INA. Calabresi out
90+3'Alessandro DellavalleFoul

Lineups

Pisa
4-3-3Coach: Paolo Bianco
Padova
3-5-2Coach: Roberto Breda
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating7.06
A. Confente6.298A. Confente
S. Zanon7.372S. Zanon
A. CaraccioloC6.94A. Caracciolo
S. Canestrelli6.35S. Canestrelli
M. Leris7.37M. Leris
F. Loyola6.214F. Loyola
G. Leone7.955G. Leone
I. Vural7.021I. Vural
T. Marras6.623T. Marras
A. Petagna6.737A. Petagna
M. Tramoni7.210M. Tramoni
A. Sorrentino8.922A. Sorrentino
A. Dellavalle8.327A. Dellavalle
F. Sgarbi7.232F. Sgarbi
C. Pastina7.758C. Pastina
L. Carissoni6.224L. Carissoni
M. Pompetti6.714M. Pompetti
E. Zuelli7.221E. Zuelli
P. FusiC7.68P. Fusi
L. Zanimacchia6.998L. Zanimacchia
M. Bortolussi6.620M. Bortolussi
G. Caprari6.910G. Caprari

Pisa Substitutes

1A. Semper
33A. Calabresi86'for S. Zanon6.9
19T. Esteves
44D. Denoon
13A. Primasso
27J. Mbambi
2R. Bozhinov46'for A. Caracciolo6.9
29O. Correia62'for I. Vural6.5
17E. Rao61'for M. Tramoni
11I. Ferrah74'for F. Loyola6.6
16L. Buffon
36G. Piccinini

Padova Substitutes

1L. Mouquet
18E. Silletti77'for F. Sgarbi6.6
34M. Cocchi62'for L. Zanimacchia6.9
72C. Faedo
6G. Giunti69'for M. Pompetti72'6.3
7K. Varas
74D. Marcolini
23F. Di Mariano
15K. Lasagna46'for M. Bortolussi6.2
9L. Moro
17A. Capelli
11A. Seghetti70'for G. Caprari6.7

Match Stats

PisaPadova
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box7
12Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots4
7Fouls18
1Goalkeeper Saves7
524Total Passes365
441Passes Accurate280
84%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

PisaPisa
PadovaPadova
1568Elo Rating 1555
1.80Attack 1.09
1.41Defense 2.12
31%Hit Rate 42%
15.4Shots per Game 8.2
5.1Shots on Target 1.9
6.6Corners per Game 3.0
2.1Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PisaPisa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PadovaPadova
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Recent Form

PisaPisa
2W2D6L
17/08/2026
PisaEmpoli
4131
W
08/08/2026
BolognaPisa
11
D
26/07/2026
PisaPRO Vercelli
01
L
25/07/2026
PisaJuventus U23
11
D
19/07/2026
PisaPavia
61
W
23/05/2026
LazioPisa
21
L
17/05/2026
PisaNapoli
03
L
10/05/2026
CremonesePisa
30
L
01/05/2026
PisaLecce
12
L
25/04/2026
ParmaPisa
10
L
PadovaPadova
5W1D4L
15/08/2026
UdinesePadova
10
L
07/08/2026
MonzaPadova
33
D
01/08/2026
CittadellaPadova
02
W
25/07/2026
PadovaOspitaletto
13
L
22/07/2026
SassuoloPadova
41
L
08/05/2026
CesenaPadova
34
W
01/05/2026
PadovaPescara
10
W
25/04/2026
Virtus EntellaPadova
10
L
19/04/2026
PadovaReggiana
10
W
12/04/2026
PadovaEmpoli
10
W

Referee Profile

Mario Perri97 matches

4.68Cards per match
4.54Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
28.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mario Perri4.68
Other referees4.55

4.68 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.55).

Cards come from 41 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo1183025:13+1227DWDWW
2ModenaModena1172220:10+1023WDWWL
3AscoliAscoli1155117:7+1020DDWWD
4MantovaMantova1154215:11+419DDLWL
5AvellinoAvellino1144316:11+516DWDLD
6BeneventoBenevento1144315:11+416DLDWD
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1144319:13+616DWWDD
8PisaPisa1144320:17+316DLDDW
9CremoneseCremonese1143414:12+215WWWLL
10PadovaPadova1143412:13-115DDWWL
11CesenaCesena1136212:14-215WDWLD
12SudtirolSudtirol1136213:12+115DDLDL
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1144312:11+112WDLWW
14ArezzoArezzo113269:20-1111LDLLW
15SampdoriaSampdoria1132611:18-711WWLDL
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1124511:14-310LLDLW
17CarrareseCarrarese113179:14-510LLWLW
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1123614:24-109LLLWD
19EmpoliEmpoli1123612:19-79DDLLD
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1113711:23-126LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo1125:1327
2ModenaModena1120:1023
3AscoliAscoli1117:720
4MantovaMantova1115:1119
5AvellinoAvellino1116:1116
6BeneventoBenevento1115:1116
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1119:1316
8PisaPisa1120:1716
9CremoneseCremonese1114:1215
10PadovaPadova1112:1315
11CesenaCesena1112:1415
12SudtirolSudtirol1113:1215
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1112:1112
14ArezzoArezzo119:2011
15SampdoriaSampdoria1111:1811
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1111:1410
17CarrareseCarrarese119:1410
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1114:249
19EmpoliEmpoli1112:199
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1111:236
PromotionRelegation

About the Pisa vs Padova forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pisa and Padova in the Serie B table

Pisa and Padova are close in the Serie B table, 8th and 10th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Pisa 20-17, Padova 12-13. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Padova have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Pisa and Padova have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.