Empoli vs Cremonese Prediction

Empoli
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Cremonese
Carlo Castellani, Empoli·Paride Tremolada, Italy 22/08/2026
EmpoliEmpoli
1-0
Finished
CremoneseCremonese

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Empoli Rest
5 days
Cremonese Rest
5 days

Empoli vs Cremonese: result, form and history

Empoli beat Cremonese 1-0 in the Serie B on 22 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Cremonese had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Empoli.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 4 matches. Referee Paride Tremolada averages 5.38 cards a game, 0.81 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.89
X
33%3.07
2
30%2.54
Double Chance
1X
70%1.49
X2
63%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.75
No
51%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.02 = 2.30
Over 1.5
69%1.34
Over 2.5
41%2.09
Over 3.5
24%3.70
Under 1.5
31%3.10
Under 2.5
59%1.74
Under 3.5
76%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.6 = 9.3
Over 8.5
59%1.59
Over 9.5
50%2.00
Over 10.5
39%2.50
Under 8.5
41%2.22
Under 9.5
50%1.74
Under 10.5
61%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.6 = 5.4
Over 3.5
75%1.29
Over 4.5
58%1.65
Under 3.5
25%2.92
Under 4.5
42%2.05

Match Events

16'J. VandeputteFoul
19'M. Collocolo INS. Elia out
21'S. ShpendiAssist: C. Cauz
45+2'M. BianchettiFoul
57'F. Di Stefano INB. Popov out
59'J. CeesayFoul
63'S. Shpendi INK. Zedadka out
65'M. De Luca INM. Nasti out
65'S. Elia INT. Berti out
77'G. Yepes INL. Deli out
77'E. Biondini INL. Belardinelli out
77'E. Saporiti INS. Romagnoli out
82'S. Luperto INY. Rocchetti out
85'F. BonazzoliUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+4'B. PopovDelay of game

Lineups

Empoli
4-2-3-1Coach: Guido Pagliuca
Cremonese
4-2-3-1Coach: Marco Giampaolo
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.57
Jacopo Seghetti7.312J. Seghetti
Matteo Egan6.235M. Egan
Marco Curto6.625M. Curto
Cristian Cauz6.933C. Cauz
Joseph Ceesay6.315J. Ceesay
Luca MagninoC6.28L. Magnino
Gerard Yepes7.021G. Yepes
Edoardo Biondini6.639E. Biondini
Edoardo Saporiti7.010E. Saporiti
Filippo Distefano6.520F. Distefano
Stiven Shpendi7.011S. Shpendi
Andrea Fulignati7.01A. Fulignati
Alessandro Vogliacco6.338A. Vogliacco
Matteo BianchettiC6.715M. Bianchetti
Sebastiano Luperto6.35S. Luperto
Giuseppe Pezzella6.23G. Pezzella
Simone Lottici Tessadri6.98S. Lottici Tessadri
Fabio Gerli6.716F. Gerli
Michele Collocolo6.518M. Collocolo
Federico Bonazzoli6.990F. Bonazzoli
Jari Vandeputte6.727J. Vandeputte
Manuel De Luca6.39M. De Luca

Empoli Substitutes

77Bogdan Popov57'for F. Di Stefano90+4'
22Federico Brancolini
1Samuele Perisan
29Lorenzo Tosto
31Samsondeen Babalola
6Simone Romagnoli77'for E. Saporiti
28Gabriele Indragoli
38Mattia Huqi
44Lapo Deli77'for G. Yepes
98Karim Zedadka63'for S. Shpendi
57Luca Belardinelli77'for E. Biondini
9Flavio Bianchi

Cremonese Substitutes

71Salvatore Elia19'for M. Collocolo65'for T. Berti6.3
22Federico Agazzi
12Marco Festa
13Fellipe Jack
21Yuri Rocchetti82'for S. Luperto
23Francesco Folino
14Tommaso Berti65'replaced by S. Elia
25Dachi Lordkipanidze
19Marco Nasti65'for M. De Luca

Match Stats

EmpoliCremonese
25%Ball Possession75%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
10Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots6
17Fouls11
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
235Total Passes707
186Passes Accurate657
79%Pass Accuracy93%

Team Comparison

EmpoliEmpoli
CremoneseCremonese
1543Elo Rating 1640
1.22Attack 1.16
0.88Defense 2.31
0%Hit Rate 50%
12.6Shots per Game 10.6
4.5Shots on Target 3.9
4.7Corners per Game 3.0
1.9Cards per Game 2.3

Game State Tendencies

EmpoliEmpoli
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CremoneseCremonese
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

EmpoliEmpoli2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
CremoneseCremonese1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie A14/04/2023
CremoneseEmpoli
10
Serie A11/11/2022
EmpoliCremonese
20
Serie B13/04/2021
CremoneseEmpoli
22
Serie B15/12/2020
EmpoliCremonese
10

Recent Form

EmpoliEmpoli
2W4D4L
17/08/2026
PisaEmpoli
4131
L
08/08/2026
LivornoEmpoli
11
D
01/08/2026
EmpoliSpezia
11
D
25/07/2026
EmpoliVirtus Entella
10
W
08/05/2026
MonzaEmpoli
22
D
01/05/2026
EmpoliAvellino
10
W
25/04/2026
VeneziaEmpoli
20
L
19/04/2026
EmpoliVirtus Entella
11
D
12/04/2026
PadovaEmpoli
10
L
06/04/2026
SampdoriaEmpoli
10
L
CremoneseCremonese
4W3D3L
17/08/2026
CremoneseSampdoria
20
W
01/08/2026
CremoneseLumezzane
00
D
29/07/2026
CremoneseCittadella
11
D
24/07/2026
CremoneseGiana Erminio
40
W
17/05/2026
UdineseCremonese
01
W
10/05/2026
CremonesePisa
30
W
04/05/2026
CremoneseLazio
12
L
24/04/2026
NapoliCremonese
40
L
19/04/2026
CremoneseTorino
00
D
11/04/2026
CagliariCremonese
10
L

Referee Profile

Paride Tremolada112 matches

5.38Cards per match
5.11Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Paride Tremolada5.38
Other referees4.57

5.38 cards a match, 0.81 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.57).

Cards come from 56 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo1183025:13+1227DWDWW
2ModenaModena1172220:10+1023WDWWL
3AscoliAscoli1155117:7+1020DDWWD
4MantovaMantova1154215:11+419DDLWL
5AvellinoAvellino1144316:11+516DWDLD
6BeneventoBenevento1144315:11+416DLDWD
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1144319:13+616DWWDD
8PisaPisa1144320:17+316DLDDW
9PadovaPadova1143412:13-115DDWWL
10CesenaCesena1136212:14-215WDWLD
11SudtirolSudtirol1136213:12+115DDLDL
12Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1144312:11+112WDLWW
13CremoneseCremonese1033410:11-112WWLLD
14ArezzoArezzo113269:20-1111LDLLW
15SampdoriaSampdoria1132611:18-711WWLDL
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1124511:14-310LLDLW
17CarrareseCarrarese113179:14-510LLWLW
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1023513:20-79LLWDL
19EmpoliEmpoli1123612:19-79DDLLD
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1113711:23-126LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo1125:1327
2ModenaModena1120:1023
3AscoliAscoli1117:720
4MantovaMantova1115:1119
5AvellinoAvellino1116:1116
6BeneventoBenevento1115:1116
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1119:1316
8PisaPisa1120:1716
9PadovaPadova1112:1315
10CesenaCesena1112:1415
11SudtirolSudtirol1113:1215
12Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1112:1112
13CremoneseCremonese1010:1112
14ArezzoArezzo119:2011
15SampdoriaSampdoria1111:1811
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1111:1410
17CarrareseCarrarese119:1410
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1013:209
19EmpoliEmpoli1112:199
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1111:236
PromotionRelegation

About the Empoli vs Cremonese forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Empoli and Cremonese in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Cremonese are 13th and Empoli 19th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Empoli 12-19, Cremonese 10-11. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.