Cesena vs Sampdoria Prediction

Cesena
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sampdoria
Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena·Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy 23/08/2026
CesenaCesena
1-1
Finished
SampdoriaSampdoria

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.79
SignalSOLIDModel31%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Cesena Rest
6 days
Sampdoria Rest
6 days

Cesena vs Sampdoria: the result in context

Cesena and Sampdoria drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.53
X
29%3.18
2
33%2.78
Double Chance
1X
67%1.41
X2
62%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.75
No
51%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.11 = 2.26
Over 1.5
66%1.32
Over 2.5
39%2.00
Over 3.5
20%3.50
Under 1.5
34%3.25
Under 2.5
61%1.79
Under 3.5
80%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.5 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.53
Over 9.5
57%1.89
Over 10.5
45%2.42
Under 8.5
34%2.33
Under 9.5
43%1.83
Under 10.5
55%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
61%1.28
Over 4.5
43%1.67
Under 3.5
39%2.95
Under 4.5
57%2.10

Match Events

17'C. ShpendiAssist: M. Guidi
38'Manuel CicconiFoul
43'Antonio DavidFoul
50'Antonio DavidFoul
50'Antonio DavidFoul
51'A. Fiori ING. Frabotta out
57'Cristian ShpendiArgument
58'A. Bellemo INT. Begic out
68'C. Shpendi INV. Magni out
70'F. Depaoli INY. Verschaeren out
76'M. Guidi INL. Schirone out
76'R. Pagano INM. Francesconi out
76'X. Druiventak INA. Debenedetti out
83'L. HendersonAssist: S. Gartenmann

Lineups

Cesena
4-1-4-1Coach: Alessandro Diamanti
Sampdoria
4-3-3Coach: Bernardo Corradi
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.70
A. Siano7.91A. Siano
A. CiofiC6.315A. Ciofi
M. Ilic7.26M. Ilic
J. Gelli6.94J. Gelli
A. David5.93A. David
R. Pagano7.010R. Pagano
X. Druiventak6.914X. Druiventak
D. Bisoli6.925D. Bisoli
M. Guidi18M. Guidi
A. Fiori6.680A. Fiori
C. Shpendi6.69C. Shpendi
P. Vindahl7.31P. Vindahl
A. Di Pardo6.629A. Di Pardo
S. Gartenmann7.53S. Gartenmann
M. Viti6.92M. Viti
M. Cicconi6.37M. Cicconi
L. HendersonC6.36L. Henderson
S. Esposito7.294S. Esposito
A. Bellemo6.614A. Bellemo
D. Sinani6.720D. Sinani
G. Tutino6.699G. Tutino
F. Depaoli6.523F. Depaoli

Cesena Substitutes

90T. Mazzi
39N. Fontana
7G. Frabotta51'for A. Fiori6.7
2M. Natta
23V. Magni68'for C. Shpendi6.3
5L. Schirone76'for M. Guidi6.7
8M. Francesconi76'for R. Pagano6.6
43F. Bertaccini
20M. Casadei
16L. D'Andrea
91A. Debenedetti76'for X. Druiventak6.3

Sampdoria Substitutes

31S. Ghidotti
12A. Krastev
25A. Ferrari
4A. Riccio
16Y. Verschaeren70'for F. Depaoli6.3
35L. Rodella
11T. Begic58'for A. Bellemo6.3
21G. Forte
17L. Paratici
37S. Amarandei

Match Stats

CesenaSampdoria
35%Ball Possession65%
0Corner Kicks12
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
7Total Shots21
2Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal9
5Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots3
18Fouls8
1Offsides2
8Goalkeeper Saves1
296Total Passes511
229Passes Accurate442
77%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

CesenaCesena
SampdoriaSampdoria
1534Elo Rating 1521
0.89Attack 1.04
1.47Defense 1.45
23%Hit Rate 27%
15.0Shots per Game 12.3
3.9Shots on Target 4.0
4.7Corners per Game 5.5
2.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CesenaCesena
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SampdoriaSampdoria
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CesenaCesena2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
SampdoriaSampdoria1Wins · 25%
3.5Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B25/04/2026
CesenaSampdoria
00
Serie B13/09/2025
SampdoriaCesena
12
Serie B17/01/2025
SampdoriaCesena
12
Serie B20/10/2024
CesenaSampdoria
35

Recent Form

CesenaCesena
2W4D4L
17/08/2026
SassuoloCesena
30
L
08/08/2026
ForliCesena
00
D
05/08/2026
CesenaVis Pesaro
30
W
01/08/2026
CesenaFossombrone
30
W
08/05/2026
CesenaPadova
34
L
01/05/2026
CarrareseCesena
00
D
25/04/2026
CesenaSampdoria
00
D
18/04/2026
PalermoCesena
20
L
11/04/2026
Juve StabiaCesena
20
L
06/04/2026
CesenaSudtirol
11
D
SampdoriaSampdoria
4W2D4L
17/08/2026
CremoneseSampdoria
20
L
09/08/2026
ParmaSampdoria
02
W
01/08/2026
SampdoriaNovara
12
L
23/07/2026
SampdoriaCagliari
00
D
18/07/2026
SampdoriaTaverne
20
W
08/05/2026
ReggianaSampdoria
10
L
01/05/2026
SampdoriaSudtirol
10
W
25/04/2026
CesenaSampdoria
00
D
17/04/2026
SampdoriaMonza
03
L
11/04/2026
PescaraSampdoria
12
W

Referee Profile

Juan Luca Sacchi123 matches

4.30Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Luca Sacchi4.30
Other referees4.60

4.30 cards a match, 0.30 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.60).

Cards come from 115 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo1183025:13+1227DWDWW
2ModenaModena1172220:10+1023WDWWL
3AscoliAscoli1155117:7+1020DDWWD
4MantovaMantova1154215:11+419DDLWL
5AvellinoAvellino1144316:11+516DWDLD
6BeneventoBenevento1144315:11+416DLDWD
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1144319:13+616DWWDD
8PisaPisa1144320:17+316DLDDW
9CremoneseCremonese1143414:12+215WWWLL
10PadovaPadova1143412:13-115DDWWL
11CesenaCesena1136212:14-215WDWLD
12SudtirolSudtirol1136213:12+115DDLDL
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1144312:11+112WDLWW
14ArezzoArezzo113269:20-1111LDLLW
15SampdoriaSampdoria1132611:18-711WWLDL
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1124511:14-310LLDLW
17CarrareseCarrarese113179:14-510LLWLW
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1123614:24-109LLLWD
19EmpoliEmpoli1123612:19-79DDLLD
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1113711:23-126LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo1125:1327
2ModenaModena1120:1023
3AscoliAscoli1117:720
4MantovaMantova1115:1119
5AvellinoAvellino1116:1116
6BeneventoBenevento1115:1116
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1119:1316
8PisaPisa1120:1716
9CremoneseCremonese1114:1215
10PadovaPadova1112:1315
11CesenaCesena1112:1415
12SudtirolSudtirol1113:1215
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1112:1112
14ArezzoArezzo119:2011
15SampdoriaSampdoria1111:1811
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1111:1410
17CarrareseCarrarese119:1410
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1114:249
19EmpoliEmpoli1112:199
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1111:236
PromotionRelegation

About the Cesena vs Sampdoria forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cesena and Sampdoria in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Cesena are 11th and Sampdoria 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Cesena 12-14, Sampdoria 11-18. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.