Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction

Plzen
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Mlada Boleslav
Stadion Mesta Plzne, Plzen·Ondrej Berka, Czechia 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-6.6%
Plzen Rest
19 days
Mlada Boleslav Rest
8 days

Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav: result, form and history

Plzen beat Mlada Boleslav 3-0 in the Czech Liga on 10 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Mlada Boleslav had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Plzen.

Plzen have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.44
X
22%4.70
2
20%5.63
Double Chance
1X
81%1.11
X2
42%2.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.53
No
39%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.3 = 2.93
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
64%1.40
Over 3.5
42%2.04
Under 1.5
17%6.20
Under 2.5
36%2.82
Under 3.5
58%1.75
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 4.7 = 11.2
Over 8.5
82%1.34
Over 9.5
73%1.58
Over 10.5
55%1.94
Under 8.5
18%2.90
Under 9.5
27%2.20
Under 10.5
45%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.67
Over 4.5
35%2.32
Under 3.5
46%2.12
Under 4.5
65%1.57

Match Events

2'C. KabongoAssist: A. Gabriel
13'T. PaliscakRoughing
21'S. PirgicAssist: P. Hrosovsky
23'A. GabrielHolding
32'S. JohnRoughing
46'T. Paliscak INC. Souare out
52'A. SojkaTripping
60'J. Klima INJ. Buryan out
60'S. John INJ. Kolarik out
65'C. Kabongo INB. Faal out
65'J. Panos INT. Ladra out
70'M. SubertHolding
71'A. Memic IND. Visinsky out
71'M. Subert INM. Havran out
71'F. Matousek INM. Zachoval out
78'P. Hrosovsky INL. Cerv out
80'D. Langhamer INF. Spatenka out
83'B. FaalRoughing
86'B. FaalAssist: A. Gabriel

Lineups

Plzen
4-2-3-1
Mlada Boleslav
4-2-3-1
Avg rating7.16
Avg rating6.73
Dominik Ťapaj7.91D. Ťapaj
Adam Gabriel7.529A. Gabriel
Sampson Dweh7.640S. Dweh
Filip Prebsl7.298F. Prebsl
Tobias Pališčák6.92T. Pališčák
Stefan Pirgić8.336S. Pirgić
Patrik HrošovskýC7.317P. Hrošovský
Amar Memić6.999A. Memić
Jiří Panoš5.720J. Panoš
Alexandr Sojka7.212A. Sojka
Christophe Kabongo7.925C. Kabongo
Jiří Floder6.559J. Floder
Filip Matoušek6.232F. Matoušek
Ondrej Karafiat6.944O. Karafiat
Martin KrálikC7.03M. Králik
Matěj Hybš6.711M. Hybš
David Kozel6.519D. Kozel
Jan Zíka7.576J. Zíka
Solomon John6.320S. John
Daniel Langhamer7.728D. Langhamer
Martin Šubert7.221M. Šubert
Jiří Klíma6.623J. Klíma

Plzen Substitutes

19Cheick Souaré46'for T. Paliscak6.6
30Viktor Baier
5Karel Spáčil
3Denis Vavro
6Lukáš Červ78'for P. Hrosovsky
9Denis Višinský71'for A. Memic6.3
23Baboucarr Faal65'for C. Kabongo83'86'6.9
7Salim Fago Lawal
80Prince Kwabena Adu
18Tomáš Ladra65'for J. Panos7.2

Mlada Boleslav Substitutes

49Josef Kolářík60'for S. John6.3
70Jan Buryan60'for J. Klima6.5
42Vojtěch Vorel
26Matěj Zachoval71'for F. Matousek6.3
13Denis Donát
5Harustak Jan
17Filip Špatenka80'for D. Langhamer
14Samuel Grygar
18Marek Havran71'for M. Subert6.7
9Lukáš Letenay

Match Stats

PlzenMlada Boleslav
38%Ball Possession62%
7Corner Kicks12
4Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots19
7Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal9
15Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots6
9Fouls8
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
354Total Passes579
292Passes Accurate508
82%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

PlzenPlzen
Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav
1660Elo Rating 1652
1.79Attack 0.78
1.33Defense 2.04
39%Hit Rate 37%
14.2Shots per Game 11.4
4.3Shots on Target 3.6
4.1Corners per Game 5.7
2.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PlzenPlzen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PlzenPlzen7Wins · 70%
Draws330%
Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Czech Liga30/11/2025
PlzenMlada Boleslav
21
Czech Liga19/08/2025
Mlada BoleslavPlzen
05
Czech Liga02/03/2025
Mlada BoleslavPlzen
02
Czech Liga29/09/2024
PlzenMlada Boleslav
11
Czech Liga05/05/2024
PlzenMlada Boleslav
30
Czech Liga10/02/2024
PlzenMlada Boleslav
11
Czech Liga06/12/2023
Mlada BoleslavPlzen
13
Czech Liga01/04/2023
Mlada BoleslavPlzen
00
Czech Liga08/10/2022
PlzenMlada Boleslav
20
Czech Liga20/04/2022
Mlada BoleslavPlzen
02

Recent Form

Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav
7W2D1L
02/10/2026
Mlada BoleslavPříbram
31
W
19/09/2026
Mlada BoleslavZbrojovka Brno
20
W
15/09/2026
TřinecMlada Boleslav
03
W
12/09/2026
Slovan LiberecMlada Boleslav
30
L
06/09/2026
Mlada BoleslavBaník Ostrava
40
W
26/08/2026
Meteor PrahaMlada Boleslav
04
W
22/08/2026
Mlada BoleslavSlovácko
21
W
15/08/2026
PardubiceMlada Boleslav
11
D
08/08/2026
Mlada BoleslavSparta Praha
20
W
02/08/2026
Sigma OlomoucMlada Boleslav
22
D

Referee Profile

Ondrej Berka191 matches

3.93Cards per match
3.78Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ondrej Berka3.93
Other referees4.36

3.93 cards a match, 0.43 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.36).

Cards come from 92 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Czech Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1284027:7+2028DDWWW
2Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1271425:13+1222WDWWW
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1263319:14+521DWLLW
4Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1263319:15+421DWDLW
5Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1162313:7+620LLDWW
6FK JablonecFK Jablonec1262416:13+320WLWDL
7Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1262416:16020DWLLW
8TepliceTeplice1253418:17+118DLDWL
9PlzenPlzen1244424:21+316LWWLL
10Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051144313:13016DWWLW
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1243511:15-415LDLLW
12PardubicePardubice1242614:17-314WWLWW
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava113267:18-1111DLDLL
14ArtisArtis1123611:20-99DWDLL
15SlováckoSlovácko1214711:23-127LLWDL
16ZlinZlin1202109:24-152DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1227:728
2Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1225:1322
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1219:1421
4Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1219:1521
5Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1113:720
6FK JablonecFK Jablonec1216:1320
7Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1216:1620
8TepliceTeplice1218:1718
9PlzenPlzen1224:2116
10Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051113:1316
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1211:1515
12PardubicePardubice1214:1714
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava117:1811
14ArtisArtis1111:209
15SlováckoSlovácko1211:237
16ZlinZlin129:242
Relegation

About the Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Plzen and Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Liga table

In the Czech Liga table, Mlada Boleslav are 3rd and Plzen 9th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Plzen 24-21, Mlada Boleslav 19-14. The full standings are on the Czech Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mlada Boleslav have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.