Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction

Plzen
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Union St. Gilloise
Doosan Arena, Plzen·I. Frid 17/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.52
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseHighGap+5.7%
Plzen Rest
4 days
Union St. Gilloise Rest
5 days

Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise: the result in context

Union St. Gilloise beat Plzen 3-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 17 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Union St. Gilloise had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Plzen.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.47
X
18%3.50
2
52%2.75
Double Chance
1X
48%1.43
X2
70%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.54
No
37%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 2.16 = 3.30
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.71
Over 3.5
39%2.62
Under 1.5
21%4.20
Under 2.5
43%2.17
Under 3.5
61%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.7 = 10
Over 8.5
59%1.54
Over 9.5
46%1.97
Over 10.5
36%2.54
Under 8.5
41%2.30
Under 9.5
54%1.80
Under 10.5
64%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.8 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.42
Over 4.5
34%1.91
Under 3.5
46%2.73
Under 4.5
66%1.82

Match Events

16'Ondrej KricfalusiTime wasting
17'Relebohile MofokengAssist: Massire Sylla
42'Mateo BiondicFoul
43'Mateo BiondicAssist: Louis Patris
45'Patrik HrošovskýFoul
45'Karel Spáčil INSampson Dweh out
45'Denis Višinský INSalim Fago Lawal out
59'Ondrej KricfalusiAssist: Besfort Zeneli
60'Stefan PirgicFoul
63'Mateo Biondic INKevin Rodriguez out
63'Relebohile Mofokeng INIlan Hurtevent out
63'Guilherme Smith INDenzel De Roeve out
64'Prince Kwabena Adu INBaboucarr Faal out
64'Amar Memić INAdam Gabriel out
72'Patrik Hrošovský INLukáš Červ out
75'Ondrej Kricfalusi INNohim Chibani out
82'Darius Olaru INDylan Aquino out

Lineups

Plzen
5-4-1Coach: R. Kováč
Union St. Gilloise
3-4-1-2Coach: D. Hubert
Avg rating6.20
Avg rating7.29
F. Wiegele7.444F. Wiegele
A. Memić5.299A. Memić
T. Pališčák6.12T. Pališčák
D. Vavro6.93D. Vavro
Karel Spáčil6.25K. Spáčil
C. Souaré6.419C. Souaré
A. Sojka5.912A. Sojka
S. Pirgić5.836S. Pirgić
P. Hrošovský5.717P. Hrošovský
D. Višinský5.89D. Višinský
P. Adu6.580P. Adu
H. Koffi7.812H. Koffi
N. Havenaar7.355N. Havenaar
M. Sylla8.029M. Sylla
O. Kričfaluši8.180O. Kričfaluši
L. Patris6.927L. Patris
R. Schoofs7.017R. Schoofs
D. Olaru6.328D. Olaru
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho7.211G. Henriques da Silva Carvalho
B. Zeneli7.723B. Zeneli
R. Mofokeng8.238R. Mofokeng
M. Biondic8.19M. Biondic

Plzen Substitutes

10M. Toure
23B. Faal64'for Prince Kwabena Adu6.4
18T. Ladra
30V. Baier
14Merchas Doski
29A. Gabriel64'for Amar Memić6.0
40S. Dweh45'for Karel Spáčil6.4
98F. Prebsl
6L. Červ72'for Patrik Hrošovský6.1
20Jiří Maxim Panoš
25C. Kabongo
7S. Lawal45'for Denis Višinský6.5

Union St. Gilloise Substitutes

25I. Hurtevent63'for Relebohile Mofokeng6.7
20D. Aquino82'for Darius Olaru6.5
13K. Rodríguez63'for Mateo Biondic6.7
43Daniel Tshilanda Kabongo
21D. De Roeve63'for Guilherme Smith7.0
4N. Chibani75'for Ondrej Kricfalusi7.2
18G. Kavelashvili
1V. Chambaere
32S. Keita
39youssef hamoutahar

Match Stats

PlzenUnion St. Gilloise
49%Ball Possession51%
5Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots22
5Shots on Goal13
5Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box14
6Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots3
13Fouls11
0Offsides3
10Goalkeeper Saves4
476Total Passes525
374Passes Accurate446
11Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

PlzenPlzen
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
1705Elo Rating 1905
2.66Attack 3.06
2.19Defense 2.11
69%Hit Rate 100%
18.0Shots per Game 18.2
7.1Shots on Target 7.6
5.2Corners per Game 4.8
2.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.3 goals
📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

PlzenPlzen
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 0.7 in first half)

Referee Profile

I. Frid164 matches

5.10Cards per match
4.76Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

I. Frid5.07
Other referees4.83

5.07 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.83).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica440013:3+1012WWWW
2BournemouthBournemouth440011:2+912WWWW
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC440011:3+812WWWW
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise431010:2+810WWDW
5JuventusJuventus431011:4+710WDWW
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus43104:1+310DWWW
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen43018:1+79LWWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş421111:8+37LDWW
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb42115:4+17WLWD
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia42114:3+17WWDL
11SunderlandSunderland42114:407LDWW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen42118:9-17WWDL
13LyonLyon42116:7-17DLWW
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar42027:4+36LWWL
15AnderlechtAnderlecht42026:3+36WWLL
16OFIOFI42025:4+16WLLW
17RennesRennes41304:3+16DDWD
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia42026:7-16LLWW
19TorreenseTorreense42027:9-26WLLW
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad41219:4+55DWDL
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41219:6+35DDLW
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha41126:604LLDW
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41126:604DWLL
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz41123:6-34LWLD
25CeljeCelje41125:9-44WDLL
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg41123:8-54LDLW
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo41034:6-23LWLL
28AC MilanAC Milan41034:7-33LLWL
29JagielloniaJagiellonia41034:7-33LLWL
30PlzenPlzen41033:7-43WLLL
31MarseilleMarseille41032:6-43WLLL
32CelticCeltic41036:11-53WLLL
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva40131:8-71LLLD
34LillestromLillestrom40132:10-81LLDL
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan40132:12-101LDLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia40044:14-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BenficaBenfica413:312
2BournemouthBournemouth411:212
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC411:312
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise410:210
5JuventusJuventus411:410
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus44:110
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen48:19
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş411:87
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb45:47
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia44:37
11SunderlandSunderland44:47
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen48:97
13LyonLyon46:77
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar47:46
15AnderlechtAnderlecht46:36
16OFIOFI45:46
17RennesRennes44:36
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia46:76
19TorreenseTorreense47:96
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad49:45
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace49:65
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha46:64
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim46:64
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz43:64
25CeljeCelje45:94
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg43:84
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo44:63
28AC MilanAC Milan44:73
29JagielloniaJagiellonia44:73
30PlzenPlzen43:73
31MarseilleMarseille42:63
32CelticCeltic46:113
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva41:81
34LillestromLillestrom42:101
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan42:121
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia44:140
Europa League

About the Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Plzen and Union St. Gilloise in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Union St. Gilloise are 4th and Plzen 30th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Plzen 3-7, Union St. Gilloise 10-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Plzen and Union St. Gilloise have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.