Ponferradina vs Real Avilés Prediction

Ponferradina
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Real Avilés
11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Ponferradina Rest
7 days
Real Avilés Rest
8 days

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés: result, form and history

Real Avilés beat Ponferradina 2-0 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.78
X
27%3.40
2
20%4.20
Double Chance
1X
80%1.19
X2
47%1.91
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'M. ArtetxeFoul
29'C. MontesDiving
33'D. AndujarFoul
44'NeskesUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+4'A. JelbatFoul
46'A. Molina INJ. de Leon out
46'D. Andujar INE. Undabarrena out
48'Osky INI. Munoz out
52'B. ValleFoul
59'O. Vacas INS. Faye out
67'A. Santamaria(Penalty)
68'J. Sillero INI. Alday out
68'Neskes INP. Doncel out
69'Koke INSlavy out
79'A. Santamaria INJ. Mahicas out
79'C. Montes IND. Liduena Alonso out
84'J. MahicasAssist: B. Cayarga
86'Q. Bari INP. Munoz out
86'C. CalderonFoul
90'M. ArtetxeFoul
90'M. ArtetxeFoul

Team Comparison

PonferradinaPonferradina
Real AvilésReal Avilés
1553Elo Rating 1486
0.54Attack 1.93
2.24Defense 1.44
17%Hit Rate 42%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

PonferradinaPonferradina
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Real AvilésReal Avilés
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

PonferradinaPonferradina2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
Real AvilésReal Avilés0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs01/08/2026
PonferradinaReal Avilés
11
Primera División RFEF - Group 109/05/2026
PonferradinaReal Avilés
31
Primera División RFEF - Group 131/08/2025
Real AvilésPonferradina
03

Recent Form

PonferradinaPonferradina
4W4D2L
04/10/2026
PonferradinaMirandes
10
W
27/09/2026
PontevedraPonferradina
11
D
19/09/2026
PonferradinaMérida AD
10
W
13/09/2026
Deportivo La Coruña IIPonferradina
21
L
04/09/2026
PonferradinaLugo
00
D
29/08/2026
UD OurensePonferradina
01
W
19/08/2026
PonferradinaReal Madrid II
22
D
08/08/2026
Marino de LuancoPonferradina
03
W
01/08/2026
PonferradinaReal Avilés
11
D
29/07/2026
OviedoPonferradina
40
L
Real AvilésReal Avilés
3W3D4L
02/10/2026
Real AvilésLugo
12
L
27/09/2026
BarakaldoReal Avilés
33
D
19/09/2026
CD CoriaReal Avilés
11
D
12/09/2026
Real AvilésUnionistas de Salamanca
31
W
06/09/2026
Athletic Club IIReal Avilés
21
L
28/08/2026
Real AvilésPontevedra
01
L
21/08/2026
Real AvilésSporting Gijón II
42
W
15/08/2026
MosconiaReal Avilés
02
W
13/08/2026
Racing FerrolReal Avilés
11
D
08/08/2026
Racing Santander IIReal Avilés
21
L

League Table

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LugoLugo971116:8+822LWWWW
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés962120:12+820WDLWW
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol95139:7+216LWWWL
4CacereñoCacereño94328:5+315WLDLD
5MirandesMirandes942312:10+214WLDLW
6PontevedraPontevedra942312:11+114WWLLD
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924941416:10+613WDWWL
8Real UniónReal Unión934219:14+513WDDDL
9Mérida ADMérida AD941415:12+313DWWWL
10PonferradinaPonferradina93426:6013DDLWD
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II933314:12+212LLDLW
12ZamoraZamora933310:9+112LDDWW
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa933310:9+112LDWLD
14Real AvilésReal Avilés932415:13+211LWWLD
15BarakaldoBarakaldo92438:10-210DWLDD
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca931512:15-310WLDWL
17CD CoriaCD Coria923412:16-49DWLLD
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II92258:16-88LLLLW
19UD OurenseUD Ourense91263:15-125LLWDD
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo91267:22-155WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1LugoLugo916:822
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés920:1220
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol99:716
4CacereñoCacereño98:515
5MirandesMirandes912:1014
6PontevedraPontevedra912:1114
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924916:1013
8Real UniónReal Unión919:1413
9Mérida ADMérida AD915:1213
10PonferradinaPonferradina96:613
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II914:1212
12ZamoraZamora910:912
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa910:912
14Real AvilésReal Avilés915:1311
15BarakaldoBarakaldo98:1010
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca912:1510
17CD CoriaCD Coria912:169
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II98:168
19UD OurenseUD Ourense93:155
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo97:225
PromotionRelegation

About the Ponferradina vs Real Avilés forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ponferradina and Real Avilés in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Ponferradina are 10th and Real Avilés 14th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Ponferradina 6-6, Real Avilés 15-13. The full standings are on the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Real Avilés have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.