Pontevedra vs Mérida AD Prediction

Pontevedra
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Mérida AD
11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Pontevedra Rest
8 days
Mérida AD Rest
6 days

Pontevedra vs Mérida AD: the result in context

Mérida AD beat Pontevedra 2-1 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.20
X
29%3.05
2
28%3.20
Double Chance
1X
72%1.29
X2
57%1.57
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'I. IvorraFoul
34'H. CarrilloFoul
45+1'S. El FtouhiAssist: R. Beneit
46'I. Charid IND. Mba out
46'I. Ivorra INJ. Ramos out
52'BarbuUnsportsmanlike conduct
61'L. Macias INP. Gaye out
63'J. Lopez INB. Dibrani out
64'R. BeneitFoul
71'I. Elejalde INA. Argos out
71'Barbu INFito out
72'S. El Ftouhi IND. Guagua out
77'J. AresoFoul
79'R. Beneit INA. Jay out
79'Kone INS. Hallsson out
82'S. HallssonAssist: B. Dibrani
84'A. Perez INB. Omoregbe out
90'P. GayeFoul
90+2'P. GayeAssist: Y. Pino
90+5'M. SolarFoul

Team Comparison

PontevedraPontevedra
Mérida ADMérida AD
1561Elo Rating 1510
1.10Attack 2.42
1.87Defense 1.80
50%Hit Rate 69%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

PontevedraPontevedra
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
Mérida ADMérida AD
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

PontevedraPontevedra0Wins · 0%
Draws250%
Mérida ADMérida AD2Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Primera División RFEF - Group 123/01/2026
Mérida ADPontevedra
11
Primera División RFEF - Group 115/11/2025
PontevedraMérida AD
11
Primera División RFEF - Group 115/04/2023
PontevedraMérida AD
15
Primera División RFEF - Group 101/10/2022
Mérida ADPontevedra
20

Recent Form

PontevedraPontevedra
4W2D4L
03/10/2026
Racing FerrolPontevedra
20
L
27/09/2026
PontevedraPonferradina
11
D
18/09/2026
UD LogroñésPontevedra
11
D
12/09/2026
PontevedraAthletic Club II
13
L
05/09/2026
PontevedraArenas Getxo
41
W
28/08/2026
Real AvilésPontevedra
01
W
19/08/2026
CoruxoPontevedra
31
L
15/08/2026
PontevedraOurense CF
21
W
08/08/2026
EstradensePontevedra
05
W
01/08/2026
ArosaPontevedra
31
L
Mérida ADMérida AD
3W0D7L
04/10/2026
Mérida ADCacereño
20
W
27/09/2026
Mérida ADUD Logroñés
35
L
19/09/2026
PonferradinaMérida AD
10
L
12/09/2026
Mérida ADMirandes
34
L
06/09/2026
Cultural LeonesaMérida AD
10
L
29/08/2026
Mérida ADDeportivo La Coruña II
10
W
14/08/2026
Mérida ADAlcorcon
21
W
07/08/2026
LeganesMérida AD
30
L
28/07/2026
Mérida ADAl-Nassr
02
L
25/07/2026
Benfica BMérida AD
40
L

League Table

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LugoLugo971116:8+822LWWWW
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés962120:12+820WDLWW
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol95139:7+216LWWWL
4CacereñoCacereño94328:5+315WLDLD
5MirandesMirandes942312:10+214WLDLW
6PontevedraPontevedra942312:11+114WWLLD
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924941416:10+613WDWWL
8Real UniónReal Unión934219:14+513WDDDL
9PonferradinaPonferradina93426:6013DDLWD
10Mérida ADMérida AD840415:12+312WWWLL
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II933314:12+212LLDLW
12ZamoraZamora933310:9+112LDDWW
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa933310:9+112LDWLD
14Real AvilésReal Avilés932415:13+211LWWLD
15BarakaldoBarakaldo92438:10-210DWLDD
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca931512:15-310WLDWL
17CD CoriaCD Coria822412:16-48WLLDD
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II92258:16-88LLLLW
19UD OurenseUD Ourense91263:15-125LLWDD
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo91267:22-155WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1LugoLugo916:822
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés920:1220
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol99:716
4CacereñoCacereño98:515
5MirandesMirandes912:1014
6PontevedraPontevedra912:1114
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924916:1013
8Real UniónReal Unión919:1413
9PonferradinaPonferradina96:613
10Mérida ADMérida AD815:1212
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II914:1212
12ZamoraZamora910:912
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa910:912
14Real AvilésReal Avilés915:1311
15BarakaldoBarakaldo98:1010
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca912:1510
17CD CoriaCD Coria812:168
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II98:168
19UD OurenseUD Ourense93:155
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo97:225
PromotionRelegation

About the Pontevedra vs Mérida AD forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División RFEF - Group 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pontevedra and Mérida AD in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Pontevedra are 6th and Mérida AD 10th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Pontevedra 12-11, Mérida AD 15-12. The full standings are on the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.