Portugal vs Congo DR Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 1
Cup
Portugal
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Congo DR
NRG Stadium, Houston· Abdulrahman Al-Jassim, Qatar 17/06/2026
PortugalPortugal
1-1
Finished
Congo DRCongo DR

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.37
SignalGOODModel86%RiskMediumGap+5.3%
Portugal Rest
6 days
Congo DR Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.29
X
18%5.40
2
15%11.00
Double Chance
1X
85%1.05
X2
33%3.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.30
No
47%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.05 = 2.88
Over 1.5
74%1.23
Over 2.5
48%1.80
Over 3.5
26%3.00
Under 1.5
26%3.85
Under 2.5
52%2.02
Under 3.5
74%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 2.6 = 8.8
Over 8.5
52%1.57
Over 9.5
47%1.95
Over 10.5
34%2.48
Under 8.5
48%2.30
Under 9.5
53%1.80
Under 10.5
66%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
58%2.57
Over 4.5
35%3.90
Under 3.5
42%1.45
Under 4.5
65%1.23

Match Events

6'J. NevesAssist: P. Neto
13'B. SilvaTripping
32'C. MbembaRoughing
45+5'Y. WissaAssist: A. Masuaku
46'B. Silva INF. Conceicao out
57'N. Mukau INN. Sadiki out
71'P. Neto INR. Leao out
72'N. Mendes INN. Semedo out
74'E. Kayembe INC. Pickel out
74'A. Masuaku INJ. Kayembe out
83'Vitinha ING. Ramos out
85'A. Wan-Bissaka ING. Kalulu out
85'C. Bakambu INS. Banza out
88'N. SemedoHolding
90+2'T. AraujoRoughing

Lineups

Portugal
4-2-3-1Coach: Roberto Martinez
Congo DR
5-3-2Coach: Sebastien Desabre
Diogo Costa1D. CostaDiogo Costa
João Cancelo20J. CanceloJoão Cancelo
Tomás Araújo4T. AraújoTomás Araújo
Renato Veiga13R. VeigaRenato Veiga
Nuno Mendes25N. MendesNuno Mendes
João Neves15J. NevesJoão Neves
Vitinha23VitinhaVitinha
Bernardo Silva10B. SilvaBernardo Silva
Bruno Fernandes8B. FernandesBruno Fernandes
Pedro Neto18P. NetoPedro Neto
Cristiano Ronaldo7C. RonaldoCristiano Ronaldo
Lionel Mpasi Nzau1L. Mpasi NzauLionel Mpasi Nzau
Aaron Wan-Bissaka2A. Wan-BissakaAaron Wan-Bissaka
Chancel Mbemba22C. MbembaChancel Mbemba
Axel Tuanzebe4A. TuanzebeAxel Tuanzebe
Steve Kapuadi3S. KapuadiSteve Kapuadi
Arthur Masuaku26A. MasuakuArthur Masuaku
Ngal'ayel Mukau6N. MukauNgal'ayel Mukau
Samuel Moutoussamy8S. MoutoussamySamuel Moutoussamy
Edo Kayembe25E. KayembeEdo Kayembe
Yoane Wissa20Y. WissaYoane Wissa
Cédric Bakambu17C. BakambuCédric Bakambu

Portugal Substitutes

26Francisco ConceiçãoF
17Rafael LeãoF
2Nélson SemedoD
9Gonçalo RamosF
12José SáG
22Rui SilvaG
3Rúben DiasD
5Diogo DalotD
14Gonçalo InácioD
6Matheus NunesM
24Samú CostaM
21Rúben NevesM
16Francisco TrincãoF
19Gonçalo GuedesF
11João FélixF

Congo DR Substitutes

14Noah SadikiM
12Joris KayembeD
18Charles PickelM
24Gedeon KaluluD
23Simon BanzaF
16Timothy FayuluG
21Matthieu EpoloG
5Dylan BatubinsikaD
7Nathanaël MbukuF
10Théo BongondaM
15Aaron TshibolaM
9Brian CipengaF
11Gaël KakutaM
13Meschak EliaF
19Fiston MayeleF

Match Stats

PortugalCongo DR
75%Ball Possession25%
5Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots8
1Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal3
5Shots Inside Box2
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls10
3Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves0
783Total Passes251
723Passes Accurate197
92%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

PortugalPortugal
Congo DRCongo DR
1807Elo Rating 1672
1.43Attack 1.12
2.36Defense 1.87
39%Hit Rate 23%
12.2Shots per Game 11.5
3.2Shots on Target 2.4
4.5Corners per Game 3.4
1.4Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+135 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PortugalPortugal
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Congo DRCongo DR
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

PortugalPortugal
3W1D1L
10/06/2026
PortugalNigeria
21
W
06/06/2026
PortugalChile
21
W
16/11/2025
PortugalArmenia
91
W
13/11/2025
Rep. Of IrelandPortugal
20
L
14/10/2025
PortugalHungary
22
D
Congo DRCongo DR
2W1D2L
09/06/2026
Congo DRChile
12
L
03/06/2026
Congo DRDenmark
00
D
31/03/2026
Congo DRJamaica
1000
W
06/01/2026
AlgeriaCongo DR
1000
L
30/12/2025
BotswanaCongo DR
03
W

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group K

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ColombiaColombia32104:1+37DWW
2PortugalPortugal31206:1+55DWD
3Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
4UzbekistanUzbekistan30032:11-90LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ColombiaColombia34:17
2PortugalPortugal36:15
3Congo DRCongo DR34:34
4UzbekistanUzbekistan32:110

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0

Portugal vs Congo DR Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Portugal and Congo DR have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.