Canada vs Qatar Prediction

Canada
6-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Qatar
BC Place, Vancouver·Cristian Garay, Chile 19/06/2026
CanadaCanada
6-0
Finished
QatarQatar

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.42
SignalHIGHModel31%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.42
SignalHIGHModel28%SurpriseMediumGap+10.7%
Canada Rest
6 days
Qatar Rest
5 days

Canada vs Qatar: result, form and history

Canada beat Qatar 6-0 in the World Cup on 18 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Cristian Garay averages 4.64 cards a game, 0.80 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.30
X
24%5.40
2
30%10.25
Double Chance
1X
70%1.06
X2
54%3.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.16
No
48%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 1.24 = 2.27
Over 1.5
72%1.22
Over 2.5
45%1.73
Over 3.5
23%2.80
Under 1.5
28%4.05
Under 2.5
55%2.13
Under 3.5
77%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
53%1.52
Over 9.5
47%1.92
Over 10.5
34%2.41
Under 8.5
47%2.35
Under 9.5
53%1.85
Under 10.5
66%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
59%2.13
Over 4.5
36%3.27
Under 3.5
41%1.64
Under 4.5
64%1.29

Match Events

9'D. CorneliusTripping
16'C. Larin
29'J. David
33'H. Al AminFoul
40'Y. Abdurisag INS. Al Brake out
45+3'J. David
46'Edmilson Junior INA. Fathi out
46'J. Gaber INM. Al Mannai out
46'D. Cornelius INM. Bombito out
53'A. O. MadiboSerious foul
57'I. Kone INN. Saliba out
59'A. Afif INA. Al Hussain out
62'A. FathiTripping
64'N. Saliba
71'L. De Fougerolles INJ. Shaffelburg out
71'A. Ahmed INT. Oluwaseyi out
75'M. Al MannaiOG
83'T. Buchanan INN. Sigur out
87'A. Fathi INLucas Mendes out
90+2'J. DavidAssist: N. Saliba

Lineups

Canada
4-4-2Coach: Jesse Marsch
Qatar
4-3-3Coach: Julen Lopetegui
Avg rating7.32
Avg rating6.06
Maxime Crépeau6.316M. Crépeau
Alistair Johnston7.22A. Johnston
Luc De Fougerolles7.34L. De Fougerolles
Derek Cornelius6.313D. Cornelius
Richie Laryea8.322R. Laryea
Tajon Buchanan7.917T. Buchanan
Ismael Koné7.38I. Koné
Stephen EustaquioC8.27S. Eustaquio
Ali Ahmed7.220A. Ahmed
Jonathan David9.010J. David
Cyle Larin7.09C. Larin
Mahmud Abunada6.21M. Abunada
Ayoub Al Oui5.313A. Al Oui
Pedro Miguel6.22P. Miguel
Boualem KhoukhiC6.616B. Khoukhi
Homam Al-Amin4.314H. Al-Amin
Jassem Gaber Abdulsallam6.35J. Gaber Abdulsallam
Assim Madibo5.723A. Madibo
Issa Laye6.64I. Laye
Edmilson Junior6.38E. Junior
Yusuf Abdurisag6.315Y. Abdurisag
Akram Afif7.311A. Afif

Canada Substitutes

15Moise Bombito46'for D. Cornelius7.0
25Nathan-Dylan Saliba57'for I. Kone64'8.2
1Dayne St. Clair
18Owen Goodman
5Joel Waterman
19Alphonso Davies
23Niko Sigur83'for T. Buchanan6.7
6Mathieu Choinière
11Liam Millar
14Jacob Shaffelburg71'for L. De Fougerolles6.7
21Jonathan Osorio
12Tani Oluwaseyi71'for A. Ahmed6.5
24Promise David
26Jayden Nelson

Qatar Substitutes

18Sultan Al-Brake40'for Y. Abdurisag5.9
20Ahmed Fathi46'for Edmilson Junior62'87'for Lucas Mendes6.3
26Mohamed Naceur Almanai46'for J. Gaber75'5.5
25Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain6.0
21Salah Zakaria
22Meshaal Barsham
3Lucas Mendes87'replaced by A. Fathi6.2
6Abdelaziz Hatem
12Karim Boudiaf
17Ahmed Al-Ganehi
19Almoez Ali
7Ahmed Alaaeldin
9Mohammed Muntari
10Hassan Al Haydos
24Tahsin Mohammed Jamshid

Match Stats

CanadaQatar
79%Ball Possession21%
19Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards2
32Total Shots2
10Shots on Goal0
8Shots off Goal1
21Shots Inside Box1
11Shots Outside Box1
14Blocked Shots1
9Fouls10
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
567Total Passes162
515Passes Accurate104
91%Pass Accuracy64%

Team Comparison

CanadaCanada
QatarQatar
1651Elo Rating 1588
1.56Attack 0.90
1.66Defense 2.35
39%Hit Rate 36%
15.1Shots per Game 9.0
6.0Shots on Target 3.0
9.7Corners per Game 5.0
2.4Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

CanadaCanada
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
QatarQatar
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

CanadaCanada
5W3D2L
12/06/2026
CanadaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
06/06/2026
CanadaRep. Of Ireland
11
D
02/06/2026
CanadaUzbekistan
20
W
29/06/2025
CanadaGuatemala
5161
L
25/06/2025
CanadaEl Salvador
20
W
22/06/2025
CuraçaoCanada
11
D
18/06/2025
CanadaHonduras
60
W
22/03/2025
CanadaUSA
21
W
21/03/2025
CanadaMexico
02
L
20/11/2024
CanadaSuriname
30
W
QatarQatar
3W3D4L
13/06/2026
QatarSwitzerland
11
D
06/06/2026
QatarEl Salvador
00
D
28/05/2026
Rep. Of IrelandQatar
10
L
14/10/2025
QatarUnited Arab Emirates
21
W
08/10/2025
OmanQatar
00
D
10/06/2025
UzbekistanQatar
30
L
05/06/2025
QatarIran
10
W
25/03/2025
KyrgyzstanQatar
31
L
20/03/2025
QatarNorth Korea
51
W
19/11/2024
United Arab EmiratesQatar
50
L

Referee Profile

Cristian Garay185 matches

4.64Cards per match
4.30Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Cristian Garay4.64
Other referees5.44

4.64 cards a match, 0.80 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.44).

Cards come from 156 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland32107:3+47WWD
2CanadaCanada31118:3+54LWD
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
4QatarQatar30122:10-81LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland37:37
2CanadaCanada38:34
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
4QatarQatar32:101

About the Canada vs Qatar forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Canada and Qatar in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Canada are 2nd in the World Cup, 3 points ahead of Qatar in 4th. League goal record so far: Canada 8-3, Qatar 2-10. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Canada and Qatar have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.