Iraq vs Norway Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 1
Cup
Iraq
1-4
Finished
HT 1-2
Norway
Gillette Stadium, Boston·Pierre Ghislain Atcho, Gabon 17/06/2026
IraqIraq
1-4
Finished
NorwayNorway

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+11.9%
Iraq Rest
6 days
Norway Rest
9 days

Iraq vs Norway: the result in context

Norway beat Iraq 4-1 in the World Cup on 16 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Norway tend to win more corners, 4.5 a game to 2.5 for Iraq.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%13.25
X
23%6.45
2
55%1.22
Double Chance
1X
45%4.50
X2
78%1.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.30
No
47%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.05 + 1.52 = 2.57
Over 1.5
73%1.18
Over 2.5
47%1.62
Over 3.5
25%2.52
Under 1.5
27%4.58
Under 2.5
53%2.30
Under 3.5
75%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 5.5 = 9.2
Over 8.5
52%1.65
Over 9.5
47%2.02
Over 10.5
34%2.57
Under 8.5
48%2.12
Under 9.5
53%1.77
Under 10.5
66%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.8 = 3.8
Over 3.5
59%2.38
Over 4.5
35%3.90
Under 3.5
41%1.52
Under 4.5
65%1.23

Match Events

29'E. HaalandAssist: D. Wolfe
39'A. HusseinAssist: A. Al Ammari
43'E. Haaland
59'Z. Ismaeel INZ. Iqbal out
59'A. Al Hamadi INM. Farji out
73'A. Nusa INA. Schjelderup out
73'F. Aursnes INK. Thorstvedt out
73'D. Wolfe INL. Ostigard out
73'A. Sorloth INO. Bobb out
73'H. Ali INM. Saadoon out
73'A. Jasim INA. Qasem out
76'L. OstigardAssist: M. Odegaard
78'I. Bayesh INMeme out
81'M. Odegaard INP. Berg out
86'Z. TahseenHolding
90+7'A. HusseinOG

Lineups

Iraq
4-4-2Coach: Graham Arnold
Norway
4-4-2Coach: Stale Solbakken
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating6.91
Jalal HassanC6.312J. Hassan
Hussein Ali6.03H. Ali
Zaid Tahseen5.74Z. Tahseen
Akam Hashem6.35A. Hashem
Merchas Doski7.223M. Doski
Ibrahim Bayesh6.78I. Bayesh
Zaid Ismail6.624Z. Ismail
Amir Al-Ammari7.016A. Al-Ammari
Ali Jasim6.717A. Jasim
Aymen Hussein7.518A. Hussein
Ali Al-Hamadi6.69A. Al-Hamadi
Ørjan Nyland6.71Ø. Nyland
Julian Ryerson6.726J. Ryerson
Kristoffer Ajer6.93K. Ajer
Torbjørn Heggem6.917T. Heggem
David Møller Wolfe7.75D. Møller Wolfe
Martin ØdegaardC7.310M. Ødegaard
Sander Berge7.28S. Berge
Fredrik Aursnes6.614F. Aursnes
Antonio Nusa6.620A. Nusa
Alexander Sørloth6.27A. Sørloth
Erling Haaland8.29E. Haaland

Iraq Substitutes

21Marko Farji59'for A. Al Hamadi6.5
14Zidane Iqbal59'for Z. Ismaeel6.7
22Ahmed Basil
1Fahad Talib
2Rebin Sulaka
26Frans Putros
15Ahmed Hasan Maknazi
25Mustafa Saadoon73'for H. Ali6.3
6Munaf Younus
7Youssef Amyn
11Ahmed Qasem73'for A. Jasim6.7
19Kevin Yakob
20Aimar Sher
10Mohanad Ali6.3
13Ali Yousif

Norway Substitutes

12Sander Tangvik
13Egil Selvik
25Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
4Leo Østigård73'for D. Wolfe76'7.5
15Fredrik André Bjørkan
24Sondre Langås
21Andreas Schjelderup73'for A. Nusa6.5
19Thelo Aasgaard
2Morten Thorsby
16Marcus Pedersen
6Patrick Berg81'for M. Odegaard6.5
22Oscar Bobb73'for A. Sorloth6.3
18Kristian Thorstvedt73'for F. Aursnes6.7
11Jørgen Strand Larsen
23Jens Petter Hauge

Match Stats

IraqNorway
39%Ball Possession61%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots12
1Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots3
12Fouls13
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
334Total Passes537
271Passes Accurate477
81%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

IraqIraq
NorwayNorway
1602Elo Rating 1783
0.88Attack 1.33
0.56Defense 1.14
23%Hit Rate 17%
5.1Shots per Game 12.9
0.5Shots on Target 4.6
2.5Corners per Game 4.5
2.1Cards per Game 1.2

Game State Tendencies

IraqIraq
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NorwayNorway
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)

Recent Form

IraqIraq
5W3D2L
10/06/2026
IraqVenezuela
02
L
04/06/2026
SpainIraq
11
D
29/05/2026
IraqAndorra
10
W
01/04/2026
IraqBolivia
21
W
18/11/2025
IraqUnited Arab Emirates
21
W
13/11/2025
United Arab EmiratesIraq
11
D
14/10/2025
Saudi ArabiaIraq
00
D
11/10/2025
IraqIndonesia
10
W
10/06/2025
JordanIraq
01
W
05/06/2025
IraqSouth Korea
02
L
NorwayNorway
9W1D0L
07/06/2026
MoroccoNorway
11
D
01/06/2026
NorwaySweden
31
W
16/11/2025
ItalyNorway
14
W
13/11/2025
NorwayEstonia
41
W
11/10/2025
NorwayIsrael
50
W
09/09/2025
NorwayMoldova
111
W
09/06/2025
EstoniaNorway
01
W
06/06/2025
NorwayItaly
30
W
25/03/2025
IsraelNorway
24
W
22/03/2025
MoldovaNorway
05
W

Referee Profile

Pierre Ghislain Atcho51 matches

3.52Cards per match
3.45Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Pierre Ghislain Atcho3.39
Other referees3.71

3.39 cards a match, 0.32 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.71).

Cards come from 29 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance330010:2+89WWW
2NorwayNorway32018:7+16LWW
3SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
4IraqIraq30031:12-110LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance310:29
2NorwayNorway38:76
3SenegalSenegal38:63
4IraqIraq31:120

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About the Iraq vs Norway forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Iraq and Norway in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Norway are 2nd in the World Cup, 6 points ahead of Iraq in 4th. League goal record so far: Iraq 1-12, Norway 8-7. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Iraq and Norway have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.