Iraq vs Norway Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 1
Cup
Iraq
1-4
Finished
HT 1-2
Norway
Gillette Stadium, Boston· Pierre Ghislain Atcho, Gabon 17/06/2026
IraqIraq
1-4
Finished
NorwayNorway

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalHIGHModel59%RiskMediumGap+11.9%
Iraq Rest
6 days
Norway Rest
9 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%13.25
X
23%6.45
2
55%1.22
Double Chance
1X
45%4.45
X2
78%1.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.30
No
47%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.05 + 1.52 = 2.57
Over 1.5
73%1.18
Over 2.5
47%1.62
Over 3.5
25%2.52
Under 1.5
27%4.58
Under 2.5
53%2.31
Under 3.5
75%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 5.5 = 9.2
Over 8.5
52%1.65
Over 9.5
47%2.02
Over 10.5
34%2.57
Under 8.5
48%2.12
Under 9.5
53%1.73
Under 10.5
66%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.8 = 3.8
Over 3.5
59%2.38
Over 4.5
35%3.63
Under 3.5
41%1.52
Under 4.5
65%1.25

Match Events

29'E. HaalandAssist: D. Wolfe
39'A. HusseinAssist: A. Al Ammari
43'E. Haaland
59'Z. Ismaeel INZ. Iqbal out
59'A. Al Hamadi INM. Farji out
73'A. Nusa INA. Schjelderup out
73'F. Aursnes INK. Thorstvedt out
73'D. Wolfe INL. Ostigard out
73'A. Sorloth INO. Bobb out
73'H. Ali INM. Saadoon out
73'A. Jasim INA. Qasem out
76'L. OstigardAssist: M. Odegaard
78'I. Bayesh INMeme out
81'M. Odegaard INP. Berg out
86'Z. TahseenHolding
90+7'A. HusseinOG

Lineups

Iraq
4-4-2Coach: Graham Arnold
Norway
4-4-2Coach: Stale Solbakken
Jalal Hassan12J. HassanJalal Hassan
Hussein Ali3H. AliHussein Ali
Zaid Tahseen4Z. TahseenZaid Tahseen
Akam Hashem5A. HashemAkam Hashem
Merchas Doski23M. DoskiMerchas Doski
Ibrahim Bayesh8I. BayeshIbrahim Bayesh
Zaid Ismail24Z. IsmailZaid Ismail
Amir Al-Ammari16A. Al-AmmariAmir Al-Ammari
Ali Jasim17A. JasimAli Jasim
Aymen Hussein18A. HusseinAymen Hussein
Ali Al-Hamadi9A. Al-HamadiAli Al-Hamadi
Ørjan Nyland1Ø. NylandØrjan Nyland
Julian Ryerson26J. RyersonJulian Ryerson
Kristoffer Ajer3K. AjerKristoffer Ajer
Torbjørn Heggem17T. HeggemTorbjørn Heggem
David Møller Wolfe5D. Møller WolfeDavid Møller Wolfe
Martin Ødegaard10M. ØdegaardMartin Ødegaard
Sander Berge8S. BergeSander Berge
Fredrik Aursnes14F. AursnesFredrik Aursnes
Antonio Nusa20A. NusaAntonio Nusa
Alexander Sørloth7A. SørlothAlexander Sørloth
Erling Haaland9E. HaalandErling Haaland

Iraq Substitutes

21Marko FarjiM
14Zidane IqbalM
22Ahmed BasilG
1Fahad TalibG
2Rebin SulakaD
26Frans PutrosD
15Ahmed Hasan MaknaziD
25Mustafa SaadoonD
6Munaf YounusD
7Youssef AmynF
11Ahmed QasemF
19Kevin YakobM
20Aimar SherM
10Mohanad AliF
13Ali YousifF

Norway Substitutes

12Sander TangvikG
13Egil SelvikG
25Henrik Sælebakke FalchenerD
4Leo ØstigårdD
15Fredrik André BjørkanD
24Sondre LangåsD
21Andreas SchjelderupF
19Thelo AasgaardM
2Morten ThorsbyM
16Marcus PedersenD
6Patrick BergM
22Oscar BobbM
18Kristian ThorstvedtM
11Jørgen Strand LarsenF
23Jens Petter HaugeM

Match Stats

IraqNorway
39%Ball Possession61%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots12
1Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots3
11Fouls13
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
332Total Passes530
270Passes Accurate472
81%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

IraqIraq
NorwayNorway
1601Elo Rating 1811
0.81Attack 1.71
0.00Defense 1.36
31%Hit Rate 56%
7.3Shots per Game 10.8
0.9Shots on Target 4.7
2.7Corners per Game 5.0
1.6Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

IraqIraq
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NorwayNorway
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Recent Form

IraqIraq
3W1D1L
10/06/2026
IraqVenezuela
02
L
04/06/2026
SpainIraq
11
D
29/05/2026
IraqAndorra
10
W
01/04/2026
IraqBolivia
21
W
18/11/2025
IraqUnited Arab Emirates
21
W
NorwayNorway
4W1D0L
07/06/2026
MoroccoNorway
11
D
01/06/2026
NorwaySweden
31
W
16/11/2025
ItalyNorway
14
W
13/11/2025
NorwayEstonia
41
W
11/10/2025
NorwayIsrael
50
W

Referee Profile

Pierre Ghislain Atcho, Gabon · 5 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
24.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 44% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance330010:2+89WWW
2NorwayNorway32018:7+16LWW
3SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
4IraqIraq30031:12-110LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance310:29
2NorwayNorway38:76
3SenegalSenegal38:63
4IraqIraq31:120

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0

Iraq vs Norway Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Iraq and Norway have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.