Como vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Como
4-1
Finished
HT 2-0
RB Leipzig
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como 10/09/2026
ComoComo
4-1
Finished
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Como Rest
6 days
RB Leipzig Rest
5 days

Como vs RB Leipzig: the result in context

Como beat RB Leipzig 4-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.78
X
24%4.00
2
21%4.10
Double Chance
1X
79%1.23
X2
45%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.47
No
45%2.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 1.27 = 2.99
Over 1.5
76%1.14
Over 2.5
56%1.49
Over 3.5
36%2.20
Under 1.5
24%5.42
Under 2.5
44%2.61
Under 3.5
64%1.68
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.9 = 9.7
Over 8.5
59%1.80
Over 9.5
45%2.20
Over 10.5
33%2.91
Under 8.5
41%1.95
Under 9.5
55%1.60
Under 10.5
67%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%1.62
Over 4.5
28%2.33
Under 3.5
54%2.17
Under 4.5
72%1.53

Match Events

2'Willi OrbánFoul
15'Martin Baturina
24'Christopher NkunkuFoul
38'Anastasios DouvikasAssist: Martin Baturina
47'Nico PazFoul
54'Assane Diao DiaouneAssist: Nico Paz
58'Andrija MaksimovićAssist: Christopher Nkunku
60'Nicolas Seiwald INTidiam Gomis out
60'Marc Guiu INAssan Ouedraogo out
60'Christopher Nkunku INEzechiel Banzuzi out
64'Ezechiel BanzuziFoul
65'Anastasios Douvikas INMoise Kean out
65'Lucas Da Cunha INMaximo Perrone out
66'Martin Baturina INMarc-Oliver Kempf out
70'Andrija Maksimović INBrajan Gruda out
74'Yan Couto INIvan Smolcic out
86'Assane Diao Diaoune INSamuele Ricci out
88'Ridle Baku INBenjamin Henrichs out
90'Maximo PerroneAssist: Nico Paz
90+4'Maximo PerroneFoul

Lineups

Como
4-2-3-1Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
RB Leipzig
4-4-2Coach: M. Demichelis
Avg rating7.15
Avg rating6.18
J. Butez6.81J. Butez
Yan Couto7.227Y. Couto
Jacobo Ramón Naveros6.64J. Ramón Naveros
T. Chalobah6.999T. Chalobah
Álex Valle6.73Á. Valle
L. da Cunha6.37L. da Cunha
Luis Milla6.46L. Milla
Assane Diao8.011A. Diao
N. Paz8.410N. Paz
M. Baturina9.020M. Baturina
T. Douvikas7.89T. Douvikas
M. Vandevoordt5.926M. Vandevoordt
R. Baku5.317R. Baku
W. Orbán5.64W. Orbán
C. Lukeba6.223C. Lukeba
D. Raum6.322D. Raum
A. Maksimović7.230A. Maksimović
N. El Aynaoui6.321N. El Aynaoui
N. Seiwald5.913N. Seiwald
A. Nusa6.57A. Nusa
Marc Guiu6.19M. Guiu
C. Nkunku7.128C. Nkunku

Como Substitutes

13A. Dossena
16Kaiki
90M. Kean65'for Anastasios Douvikas7.0
2M. Kempf66'for Martin Baturina6.9
30M. Liberali
5M. Perrone65'for Lucas Da Cunha90'90+4'7.5
21S. Ricci86'for Assane Diao Diaoune6.4
17Jesús Rodríguez
97Robert Sánchez
28I. Smolčić74'for Yan Couto6.5
12Lorenzo Luigi Ginelli

RB Leipzig Substitutes

40Rômulo
8A. Ouédraogo60'for Marc Guiu6.1
1Ø. Nyland
16L. Klostermann
37Benno Kaltefleiter
39B. Henrichs88'for Ridle Baku5.7
10B. Gruda70'for Andrija Maksimović6.4
27T. Gomis60'for Nicolas Seiwald6.6
35Max Finkgräfe
3M. Estève
6E. Banzuzi60'for Christopher Nkunku64'5.7
11J. Bakayoko

Match Stats

ComoRB Leipzig
49%Ball Possession51%
1Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal8
10Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots2
9Fouls10
5Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
519Total Passes498
467Passes Accurate444
10Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

ComoComo
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1964Elo Rating 1852
4.13Attack 2.19
2.39Defense 1.43
100%Hit Rate 59%
16.6Shots per Game 13.7
7.2Shots on Target 6.1
5.5Corners per Game 5.1
0.7Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+112 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ComoComo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (3 vs 1.2 in first half)
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

ComoComo
6W3D1L
04/09/2026
GenoaComo
14
W
30/08/2026
NapoliComo
12
W
22/08/2026
UdineseComo
11
D
16/08/2026
LiverpoolComo
00
D
12/08/2026
ArsenalComo
4131
L
31/07/2026
FamalicaoComo
23
W
17/05/2026
ComoParma
10
W
10/05/2026
Hellas VeronaComo
01
W
02/05/2026
ComoNapoli
00
D
26/04/2026
GenoaComo
02
W
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
5W0D5L
05/09/2026
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
31
L
29/08/2026
RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach
30
W
22/08/2026
Eintracht TrierRB Leipzig
06
W
15/08/2026
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
31
L
08/08/2026
LeedsRB Leipzig
20
L
01/08/2026
RB LeipzigVerl
40
W
25/07/2026
RB LeipzigFC Ingolstadt 04
10
W
18/07/2026
AltglienickeRB Leipzig
12
W
29/05/2026
Mamelodi SundownsRB Leipzig
31
L
16/05/2026
SC FreiburgRB Leipzig
41
L

League Table

UEFA Champions League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain440020:5+1512WWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid440013:7+612WWWW
3ArsenalArsenal43108:3+510WDWW
4ComoComo430119:6+139WWLW
5BarcelonaBarcelona430114:6+89WLWW
6Aston VillaAston Villa430112:6+69LWWW
7Manchester CityManchester City430112:7+59WWLW
8LiverpoolLiverpool430114:10+49LWWW
9Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV430111:7+49WWWL
10Sporting CPSporting CP43018:4+49WLWW
11Real BetisReal Betis43018:6+29LWWW
12Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund43017:5+29WWLW
13Bayern MünchenBayern München422012:5+78WDDW
14VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart42117:4+37LDWW
15InterInter42028:6+26WWLL
16Lask LinzLask Linz420210:9+16WWLL
17Manchester UnitedManchester United42028:806WLLW
18GalatasarayGalatasaray42028:9-16WWLL
19FenerbahçeFenerbahçe41216:11-55WDLD
20AS RomaAS Roma411210:8+24LWLD
21Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk41124:404LLWD
22VikingViking41129:10-14WLDL
23Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid41124:5-14LDWL
24PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven41123:4-14LWLD
25Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt41124:9-54DLWL
26FC PortoFC Porto41036:7-13WLLL
27NapoliNapoli41036:11-53LWLL
28VillarrealVillarreal41038:14-63LLWL
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC41035:11-63LLLW
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig41035:11-63LLWL
31Sabah FASabah FA41034:10-63LLWL
32FeyenoordFeyenoord41034:11-73LLWL
33LensLens41034:16-123LLLW
34Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha40135:9-41LDLL
35LilleLille40134:10-61DLLL
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava40041:17-160LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain420:512
2Real MadridReal Madrid413:712
3ArsenalArsenal48:310
4ComoComo419:69
5BarcelonaBarcelona414:69
6Aston VillaAston Villa412:69
7Manchester CityManchester City412:79
8LiverpoolLiverpool414:109
9Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV411:79
10Sporting CPSporting CP48:49
11Real BetisReal Betis48:69
12Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund47:59
13Bayern MünchenBayern München412:58
14VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart47:47
15InterInter48:66
16Lask LinzLask Linz410:96
17Manchester UnitedManchester United48:86
18GalatasarayGalatasaray48:96
19FenerbahçeFenerbahçe46:115
20AS RomaAS Roma410:84
21Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk44:44
22VikingViking49:104
23Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid44:54
24PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven43:44
25Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt44:94
26FC PortoFC Porto46:73
27NapoliNapoli46:113
28VillarrealVillarreal48:143
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC45:113
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig45:113
31Sabah FASabah FA44:103
32FeyenoordFeyenoord44:113
33LensLens44:163
34Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha45:91
35LilleLille44:101
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava41:170
Champions League

About the Como vs RB Leipzig forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Como and RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League table

In the UEFA Champions League table, Como are 4th and RB Leipzig 30th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Como 19-6, RB Leipzig 5-11. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Como have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Como and RB Leipzig have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.